Spot On Chain 使用 Google Cloud 的 AI 提供深入的比特币价格预测

链上分析公司 Spot On Chain 发布了一份报告，使用谷歌云的 Vertex AI 预测比特币的未来价格趋势。该报告预测，2024 年 5 月至 7 月，比特币价格可能在 56,000 美元至 70,000 美元之间波动，其中有 48% 的可能性跌破 60,000 美元。然而，该报告表明，由于预期利率下调，比特币价格可能在 2024 年下半年飙升，有 63% 的可能性达到 10 万美元。该报告预测，2025 年上半年，比特币突破 15 万美元的可能性为 42%，全年突破 15 万美元的可能性为 70%，与减半事件后的历史模式相符。

Spot On Chain's Comprehensive Bitcoin Price Forecast: A Data-Driven Analysis Using Google Cloud's Vertex AI

Spot On Chain 的综合比特币价格预测：使用 Google Cloud 的 Vertex AI 进行数据驱动的分析

Introduction

介绍

Spot On Chain, a renowned on-chain analytics firm, has embarked on a comprehensive study of Bitcoin's future price trajectory, employing the advanced capabilities of Google Cloud's Vertex artificial intelligence platform. The resulting report provides a detailed and well-grounded projection of Bitcoin's price movements in the short-, medium-, and long-term horizons.

著名的链上分析公司 Spot On Chain 已开始利用 Google Cloud 的 Vertex 人工智能平台的先进功能，对比特币的未来价格轨迹进行全面研究。由此产生的报告对比特币的短期、中期和长期价格走势进行了详细且有依据的预测。

Short-Term Outlook: May-July 2024

短期展望：2024 年 5 月至 7 月

Spot On Chain's analysis predicts that Bitcoin will likely oscillate within a range of $56,000 and $70,000 during the three-month period from May to July 2024. This range suggests the potential for significant market volatility, with a 48% probability that Bitcoin could dip below $60,000. Investors are advised to remain cautious while considering short-term price fluctuations and potential corrections.

Spot On Chain 的分析预测，在 2024 年 5 月至 7 月的三个月期间，比特币可能会在 56,000 美元至 70,000 美元的范围内波动。这个范围表明市场存在大幅波动的可能性，比特币有 48% 的可能性跌破 60,000 美元。建议投资者在考虑短期价格波动和潜在调整的同时保持谨慎。

Medium-Term Outlook: Second Half of 2024

中期展望：2024 年下半年

A notable revelation in the report is Spot On Chain's expectation of a substantial surge in Bitcoin's price during the second half of 2024. The analysis assigns a high probability (63%) that Bitcoin could reach the $100,000 mark, reflecting a prevailing bullish sentiment in the market. This optimism is fueled by the anticipation of rate reductions following the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in December 2023, which aims to stimulate demand for risk-on assets such as stocks and Bitcoin.

报告中值得注意的一点是，Spot On Chain 预计比特币价格将在 2024 年下半年大幅上涨。该分析认为，比特币很有可能 (63%) 达到 10 万美元大关，反映出市场普遍看涨的情绪。市场。 2023 年 12 月联邦公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 会议旨在刺激对股票和比特币等风险资产的需求，市场对降息的预期加剧了这种乐观情绪。

Long-Term Outlook: 2025 and Beyond

长期展望：2025 年及以后

Extending the forecast horizon to the first half of 2025, Spot On Chain's mathematical modeling indicates a strong likelihood (42%) that Bitcoin will surpass the significant threshold of $150,000. This projection is supported by historical data and patterns observed in previous cycles, which suggest that Bitcoin tends to establish new all-time highs within 6 to 12 months after a Halving event.

将预测范围延长至 2025 年上半年，Spot On Chain 的数学模型表明，比特币很有可能 (42%) 突破 150,000 美元的重要门槛。这一预测得到了之前周期中观察到的历史数据和模式的支持，这表明比特币往往会在减半事件后 6 至 12 个月内创下新的历史高点。

In the broader context of 2025, the probability of Bitcoin exceeding $150,000 rises to 70%. This optimistic forecast is predicated on the belief that Bitcoin will continue its historical trend of achieving sustained price appreciation over time.

在2025年更广泛的背景下，比特币突破15万美元的概率上升至70%。这一乐观的预测基于这样的信念：比特币将继续其随着时间的推移实现持续价格升值的历史趋势。

Additional Insights from Retk Capital

Retk Capital 的其他见解

Complementing Spot On Chain's analysis, prominent crypto analyst Retk Capital provides valuable insights into Bitcoin's current price action. Retk Capital identifies critical resistance levels and suggests the possibility of a consolidation phase prior to an anticipated parabolic rise.

著名加密货币分析师 Retk Capital 提供了有关比特币当前价格走势的宝贵见解，对 Spot On Chain 的分析进行了补充。 Retk Capital 确定了关键阻力位，并建议在预期的抛物线上涨之前出现盘整阶段的可能性。

Notably, Retk Capital observes that Bitcoin has encountered difficulty breaching the $65,600 resistance level, repeatedly failing to establish it as a support level. This resistance level has emerged as a significant obstacle to Bitcoin's upward movement in recent times, as evidenced in the Bitcoin daily BTC/USD chart.

值得注意的是，Retk Capital 观察到，比特币在突破 65,600 美元阻力位时遇到了困难，多次未能将其确立为支撑位。正如比特币每日 BTC/USD 图表所证明的那样，这一阻力位近年来已成为比特币上涨的重大障碍。

Concurrently, Bitcoin has consistently touched a pool of liquidity around $60,600, indicating the presence of potential buyers at this price level. Should Bitcoin continue its downward trend, Retk Capital suggests that it could revisit this liquidity pool again.

与此同时，比特币的流动性一直在 60,600 美元左右，这表明在这个价格水平上存在潜在买家。如果比特币继续下跌趋势，Retk Capital 表示可能会再次重新审视这个流动性池。

Current Market Situation

目前的市场情况

As of the present moment, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $63,900, reflecting an approximate 8% decline over the past two weeks and a comparable decline over the past month.

截至目前，比特币交易价格约为 63,900 美元，过去两周下跌约 8%，过去一个月跌幅相当。

Conclusion

结论

Spot On Chain's comprehensive Bitcoin price forecast, powered by Google Cloud's Vertex AI, provides a well-grounded and informative perspective on Bitcoin's potential future trajectory. While the short-term outlook suggests the possibility of market volatility, the medium- and long-term forecasts paint a more optimistic picture, predicting substantial price appreciation. Investors are encouraged to consider these projections in the context of their own investment strategies and risk tolerance.

Spot On Chain 的全面比特币价格预测由 Google Cloud 的 Vertex AI 提供支持，为比特币潜在的未来轨迹提供了有依据且信息丰富的视角。虽然短期前景表明市场可能出现波动，但中长期预测描绘了一幅更为乐观的图景，预计价格将大幅上涨。鼓励投资者根据自己的投资策略和风险承受能力考虑这些预测。