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在這篇技術文章中,我們將看一下網站會員區發布的比特幣 BTCUSD 的艾略特波浪圖表。
In this technical article we’re going to take a look at the recent Elliott Wave charts of Bitcoin BTCUSD , which we’ve published in the members area of the website. As our members know, we generally favor the long side in BTCUSD, and it has recently offered good trading opportunities. However, BTCUSD is currently correcting the cycle from the August low and is not ready for buying at this stage. Recently, we observed a recovery against the 108364 high, which unfolded as an Irregular Flat pattern. Once this flat correction was completed, the crypto declined as anticipated.
在這篇技術文章中,我們將看一下比特幣 BTCUSD 最近的艾略特波浪圖表,我們已在網站的會員區發布了該圖表。正如我們的會員所知,我們通常看好 BTCUSD 的多頭方向,並且它最近提供了良好的交易機會。然而,BTCUSD 目前正在從 8 月低點開始修正週期,現階段尚未準備好買入。最近,我們觀察到對 108364 高點的反彈,該高點以不規則平坦模式展開。一旦這次平坦修正完成,加密貨幣就會如預期般下跌。
Before we take a look at the real market example of Expanded Flat, let’s explain the pattern in a few words.
在我們看一下 Expanded Flat 的真實市場範例之前,讓我們先簡單解釋一下這個模式。
Elliott Wave Expanded Flat Theory
艾略特波浪擴展平坦理論
Elliott Wave Flat is a 3 wave corrective pattern which could often be seen in the market nowadays. Inner subdivision is labeled as A,B,C , with inner 3,3,5 structure. Waves A and B have forms of corrective structures like zigzag, flat, double three or triple three. Third wave C is always 5 waves structure, either motive impulse or ending diagonal pattern. It’s important to notice that in Irregular Flat Pattern wave B completes below the starting point of wave A. Wave C ends above the ending point of wave A . Wave C of Flat completes usually between 1.00 to 1.236 Fibonacci extension of A related to B, but sometimes it could go up to 1.618 fibs ext.
艾略特波浪平坦是當今市場上常見的三浪修正形態。內部細分標示為 A,B,C ,具有內部 3,3,5 結構。 A 浪和 B 浪具有鋸齒形、扁平形、雙三或三三等調整結構形式。第三波 C 總是 5 波結構,不是動力衝動,就是結束對角線形態。值得注意的是,在不規則平坦形態中,波 B 在波 A 的起點下方完成。平直波 C 通常完成 A 與 B 相關的 1.00 至 1.236 斐波那契擴展,但有時可能會上升至 1.618 斐波那契擴展。
At the graphic below, we can see what Expanded Flat structure looks like
在下圖中,我們可以看到擴展扁平結構的樣子
Now, let’s take a look what Elliott Wave Flat Pattern looks like in the real market
現在,讓我們來看看艾略特波浪形態在真實市場中是什麼樣子的
Bitcoin BTCUSD 1h Hour Elliott Wave Analysis 01.05.2025.
比特幣 BTCUSD 1 小時艾略特波浪分析 01.05.2025。
Currently, BTCUSD is correcting the cycle from the 108364 high. The Elliott Wave view suggests that the recovery is unfolding as an Irregular Flat Pattern. When we analyze the lower time frames, we can observe that the inner subdivisions of waves A and B (red) exhibit corrective sequences. Wave B has already broken below the starting point of wave A, while wave C is expected to break above the point of wave A, which is characteristic of an Irregular Flat pattern. At this stage, we see that the C leg is still missing another wave up to complete its structure as a 5-wave move. We recommend our members avoid buying at this stage.
目前,BTCUSD正在從108364高點開始修正週期。艾略特波浪觀點表明,復甦正在以不規則平坦模式展開。當我們分析較低的時間框架時,我們可以觀察到波浪 A 和 B(紅色)的內部細分呈現修正序列。 B 浪已經跌破 A 浪起點,而 C 浪預計將突破 A 浪起點,這是不規則扁平形態的特徵。在這個階段,我們看到 C 腿仍然缺少另一波上漲來完成其 5 浪走勢的結構。我們建議我們的會員避免在這個階段購買。
Bitcoin BTCUSD 1h Hour Elliott Wave Analysis 01.09.2025.
比特幣 BTCUSD 1 小時艾略特波浪分析 01.09.2025。
Bitcoin made another leg up in wave ((v)) of C, completing the (X) blue recovery at the 102730 high. As anticipated, the crypto turned lower. We are now looking for a break below wave B (red) to confirm that the next leg down is in progress. At this stage, we do not favor selling and would prefer to wait for the (Y) leg to reach the extreme area before considering buying BTC again.
比特幣在C浪((v))中再次上漲,在102730高點完成(X)藍色復甦。正如預期的那樣,加密貨幣價格下跌。我們現在正在尋找跌破 B 浪(紅色)的突破,以確認下一波下跌正在進行中。在這個階段,我們不贊成賣出,寧願等待(Y)腿到達極限區域,然後再考慮再次購買 BTC。
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