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北弗吉尼亞州地區委員會發布了一份有關該地區人口變化的新報告,警告說,由於生活成本較高,該地區的新居民正在看到新居民的“緩慢增長”。
A new report by the Northern Virginia Regional Commission has highlighted the concerning impact of the high cost of living on the region's population growth, particularly among young adults. The report, titled "Shifting Migration Patterns of Northern Virginia: Affordable Housing Needs," analyzes the trends in domestic migration and its relation to housing affordability, income, and age.
北弗吉尼亞州地區委員會的一份新報告強調了高生活成本對該地區人口增長的影響,尤其是在年輕人中。該報告標題為“北弗吉尼亞州的移民模式:經濟適用房的需求”,分析了國內移民的趨勢及其與住房負擔能力,收入和年齡的關係。
According to the report, while Northern Virginia has experienced an annual increase in population since 2021, the growth has slowed compared to pre-pandemic levels. This slowdown is attributed to shifts in "domestic migration inflows and outflows."
根據該報告,雖然北弗吉尼亞州自2021年以來人口的年增長率增加,但與大流行前水平相比,增長速度有所放緩。這種放緩歸因於“國內遷移流入和流出”的轉變。
The report underscores a broader national challenge faced by many regions across the country. The message is clear: the affordable housing crisis, further exacerbated by new increases to the cost of living, is largely keeping young people out of high-cost areas like Northern Virginia. Experts warn that these local issues are not simply a problem to be ignored or passed down to the younger generation, as the affordable housing crisis has more profound implications for the community's economic stability and growth.
該報告強調了全國許多地區面臨的更廣泛的國家挑戰。信息很明顯:經濟適用房危機,由於新的成本增長而進一步加劇了住房危機,這在很大程度上使年輕人遠離了北弗吉尼亞州等高成本地區。專家警告說,這些地方問題不僅是一個要忽略或傳給年輕一代的問題,因為經濟適用的住房危機對社區的經濟穩定和增長具有更大的影響。
As noted by Jill Kaneff, the commission's senior regional demographer, if county leaders fail to address the cost of living and affordable housing issues, the departure of people from the area will impact the economy, tax revenue, and fair access to housing.
正如委員會的高級地區人口統計學家吉爾·凱恩夫(Jill Kaneff)指出的那樣,如果縣領導人未能解決生活和經濟適用房問題,那麼人們離開該地區將影響經濟,稅收收入以及公平的住房機會。
The report analyzes the "volume of domestic migration" in Northern Virginia and the destinations where people are going, while also studying the effect of housing affordability, income, and age on people moving in and out of Northern Virginia.
該報告分析了北弗吉尼亞州北部的“家庭移民量”以及人們前進的目的地,同時還研究了住房負擔能力,收入和年齡對進出北弗吉尼亞州遷出的人們的影響。
In the report, Kaneff writes, "migration patterns in the region raise concerns about the young workforce." Young adults, who have "low and middle incomes" up to $150,000, "are increasingly choosing more affordable housing options outside the region."
凱恩夫(Kaneff)在報告中寫道:“該地區的移民模式引起了對年輕勞動力的擔憂。”年輕人的“低收入和中等收入”高達150,000美元,“越來越多地選擇了該地區以外的負擔得起的住房選擇”。
"This trend is driven by the combination of high living costs and limited availability of affordable housing, both for first-time homebuyers and those looking for larger homes to raise a family," the report notes.
報告指出:“這一趨勢是由高昂的生活成本和有限的經濟適用房提供的組合,無論是首次購房者和尋求大型房屋來養家的人的範圍。”
According to Kaneff, Northern Virginia is becoming "less attractive to young talent."
根據凱恩夫(Kaneff)的說法,北弗吉尼亞州正變得“對年輕人才的吸引力降低”。
The report suggests that businesses will likely face increasing difficulty in "attracting and retaining young talent due to the cost of living." To address this issue, the report proposes that the region's businesses should "continue offering hybrid work options and upskill employees for higher-paying jobs."
該報告表明,“由於生活成本,企業在吸引和保留年輕人才方面可能會面臨越來越多的困難。為了解決這個問題,該報告建議該地區的業務“繼續提供混合工作選擇,並為高薪工作提供高薪工作。”
"To ensure a prosperous and sustainable future for the region," Kaneff says, "it will be important for governments and businesses to collectively address these issues and to strengthen and expand housing programs."
凱恩夫說:“為確保該地區的繁榮和可持續的未來,對於政府和企業來說,集體解決這些問題並加強和擴大住房計劃將非常重要。”
When it comes to Northern Virginia's migration patterns, Kaneff observes two major dynamics at play: larger households with higher incomes are staying in the same county, while smaller households with low and middle incomes are moving away.
當談到北弗吉尼亞州的遷移模式時,凱恩夫(Kaneff)觀察到了兩個主要的動態:較大收入的較大家庭正在同一縣留在同一縣,而中低收入的較小家庭正在搬家。
The top five area destinations where Northern Virginians are heading are Washington, D.C., Montgomery County, Md., Prince George's County, Md., and Stafford County and Fauquier counties in Virginia.
北弗吉尼亞人前進的前五名目的地是華盛頓特區,馬里蘭州蒙哥馬利縣,馬里蘭州喬治王子縣,斯塔福德縣和弗吉尼亞州的福基爾縣。
The report specifically highlights the challenges faced by young people in Fairfax County. "The issue of retaining young, highly educated workers in the region becomes even more critical as these people reach the stage where they want to settle down and start a family," the report notes. For this reason, it is observed that young people ready to start a family are attracted to localities outside of Northern Virginia.
該報告特別強調了費爾法克斯縣年輕人面臨的挑戰。報告指出:“當這些人到達他們想要定居並建立家庭的階段時,保留該地區年輕,受過良好教育的工人的問題變得更加至關重要。”因此,觀察到準備成立家庭的年輕人被北弗吉尼亞州以外的地區吸引。
"Local and state governments can play a crucial role in addressing the region's housing challenges," the report concludes.
報告總結說:“地方和州政府在應對該地區的住房挑戰方面可以發揮關鍵作用。”
One way that governments can alleviate the problem, it says, is "by speeding up housing construction by prioritizing an overhaul of the lengthy and complex local zoning and permitting processes, as well as increasing incentives for builders."
它說,政府可以減輕該問題的一種方法是“通過優先考慮漫長而復雜的本地分區和允許過程,以及增加建築商的激勵措施來加快住房建設的加速。”
Additionally, the report says, "It will be important for local and state governments to dedicate more resources to housing programs for the middle class, particularly those earning less than $150,000." Also, the report suggests that "to reflect the current market's median price of lower-and mid-tier housing, the maximum home purchase price for first time homebuyer programs administered by Northern Virginia jurisdictions should be raised."
此外,報告還說:“對於地方和州政府來說,將更多資源專門用於中產階級的住房計劃非常重要,尤其是那些收入不到15萬美元的人。”此外,該報告還建議“為了反映當前市場的下層住房價格中位數,應該提高北弗吉尼亞州司法管轄區首次購房計劃的最高購房價格。”
The report adds, "Expanding educational outreach and access to federal, state, and local housing programs would help more people stay in the region and become homeowners."
該報告補充說:“擴大教育外展和進入聯邦,州和地方住房計劃的訪問將幫助更多的人留在該地區並成為房主。”
Despite the challenges, the report expresses optimism that the housing situation and high cost of living in Northern Virginia are not irreversible. The report notes that it is possible to improve affordability and foster a more "equitable living environment in Northern Virginia."
儘管面臨挑戰,但該報告表明,北弗吉尼亞州的住房狀況和較高的生活成本並非不可逆轉。該報告指出,有可能提高負擔能力並促進北弗吉尼亞州更加“公平的生活環境”。
According to the report, "The high cost of living and limited housing options will hinder job growth." It says that if businesses in Northern Virginia cannot compete with metropolitan areas that have more affordable housing and attract younger talent, the region "risks mediocre economic growth and the possibility of businesses relocating."
根據該報告,“生活成本的高成本和有限的住房選擇將阻礙工作增長。”它說,如果北弗吉尼亞州北部的企業無法與擁有更多負擔得起的住房並吸引年輕人才的大都市地區競爭,那麼該地區“冒著平庸的經濟增長和企業搬遷的可能性”。
To prevent this economic downfall, different partnerships are imaginable. For example, the report noted that Amazon donated vacant land to Arlington County to create new affordable housing units. To prevent a socioeconomic crisis, the report added, "The region's
為了防止這種經濟衰落,可以想像到不同的伙伴關係。例如,報告指出,亞馬遜向阿靈頓縣捐贈了空置土地,以創建新的經濟適用房。該報告補充說,為防止社會經濟危機,該地區的
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