|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
基於區塊鏈的博彩網站 Polymarket 在過去幾個月中用戶活動和交易量迅速增加。事實上,根據 Dune Analytics 的數據,Polymarket 的歷史交易量現已超過 20 億美元
Blockchain-based betting platform Polymarket has seen a rapid surge in user activity and transactions over the last few months.
過去幾個月,基於區塊鏈的博彩平台 Polymarket 的用戶活動和交易量迅速激增。
According to Dune Analytics, all-time trading volumes on Polymarket have now crossed the $2 billion mark, with this growth being largely driven by speculation around the winner of the U.S Presidential election.
根據 Dune Analytics 的數據,Polymarket 的歷史交易量現已突破 20 億美元大關,這一增長主要是由圍繞美國總統選舉獲勝者的猜測所推動的。
In September alone, volumes on the Polygon-based betting platform hit $486 million. This number could climb significantly this month, given that month-to-date volumes have already surpassed $161 million.
光是 9 月份,Polygon 博彩平台的交易額就達到 4.86 億美元。鑑於本月迄今的交易量已超過 1.61 億美元,這個數字可能會在本月大幅攀升。
(Source: Dune Analytics)
(資料來源:沙丘分析)
Data from Artemis also showed that on 3 October, the number of new daily active wallets on Polymarket hit a two-week high. This suggested that more users are continuing to join the platform.
Artemis的數據也顯示,10月3日,Polymarket的日活躍錢包新增數量創兩週新高。這表明更多用戶正在繼續加入該平台。
On that day, the daily transactions on the platform soared to a record high of 93,000.
當日,該平台日交易量飆升至9.3萬筆的歷史新高。
(Source: Dune Analytics)
(資料來源:沙丘分析)
Now, what’s driving the growth of this blockchain-based betting site?
現在,是什麼推動了這個基於區塊鏈的博彩網站的成長?
U.S election betting
美國大選投注
The U.S Presidential race has sparked a lot of interest in Polymarket. The “Presidential Election Winner 2024” bet on Polymarket has more than $1.19 billion in volumes.
美國總統競選引發了人們對 Polymarket 的濃厚興趣。 Polymarket 上「2024 年總統選舉獲勝者」的賭注金額超過 11.9 億美元。
At press time, former U.S President Donald Trump had taken a narrow lead of 49.9% while Kamalaもと Harris trailed closely with 49.1% of bets in her favor.
截至發稿時,美國前總統唐納德·川普以 49.9% 的微弱優勢領先,而卡馬拉·哈里斯以 49.1% 的支持率緊隨其後。
(Source: Polymarket)
(來源:Polymarket)
This wager will close on 4 November, a day before the U.S presidential elections. Now, while election betting drove interest in Polymarket, the platform has quickly garnered interest in other prediction markets.
該賭注將於 11 月 4 日結束,即美國總統選舉前一天。現在,雖然選舉投注引發了人們對 Polymarket 的興趣,但該平台也迅速引起了其他預測市場的興趣。
Satoshi bet gains traction
中本聰的賭注獲得關注
Recently, Polymarket saw a hike in interest following speculation around the identity of Bitcoin (BTC) creator, Satoshi Nakamoto.
最近,由於圍繞比特幣 (BTC) 創造者中本聰 (Satoshi Nakamoto) 的身份進行猜測,Polymarket 的興趣大增。
As AMBCrypto reported, a documentary by HBO set to air on 8 October claims to have identified Nakamoto. As a result, the “Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?” bet on Polymarket has already amassed $814,000 in betting volumes, barely two days after launching.
根據 AMBCrypto 報導,HBO 將於 10 月 8 日播出的一部紀錄片聲稱已經確認了中本聰的身份。因此,“HBO 紀錄片將認定誰是中本聰?”推出僅兩天后,Polymarket 的投注就已經累積了 814,000 美元的投注額。
(Source: Polymarket)
(來源:Polymarket)
At press time, 49.5% of wagers predicted that computer scientist Len Sassaman, who passed on in 2011, would be revealed as Satoshi. The speculation is driven by Sassaman’s history as a member of the International Financial Cryptography Association.
截至發稿時,49.5% 的賭注預測 2011 年去世的電腦科學家 Len Sassaman 將被揭露為中本聰。這項猜測是由薩薩曼作為國際金融密碼學協會成員的歷史所推動的。
Is Polymarket’s growth good for POL?
Polymarket 的成長對 POL 有利嗎?
Polymarket runs on the Polygon layer 2 network and the popularity of this betting site has driven the network’s usage, but the same has not been reflected in its native token POL, formerly known as MATIC.
Polymarket 在 Polygon 第 2 層網路上運行,該博彩網站的流行推動了網路的使用,但同樣的情況並未反映在其原生代幣 POL(以前稱為 MATIC)中。
POL was trading at $0.384, at press time, after 1.92% gains in 24 hours. This, after it fell by over 10% in just 7 days.
截至發稿時,POL 交易價格為 0.384 美元,24 小時內上漲 1.92%。這是在短短 7 天內下跌超過 10% 後的結果。
On the hourly chart, POL appeared to be trading within an ascending broadening wedge pattern. This is usually a bearish continuation pattern, one that suggests sellers might take control of the price action.
在小時圖上,POL 似乎在上升加寬楔形模式內交易。這通常是一種看跌持續模式,表明賣方可能會控制價格走勢。
(Source: Tradingview)
(來源:Tradingview)
However, its bearish momentum was showing signs of weakness as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) line converged with the Signal line from below. If the RSI confirms a strong move above the Signal line, it will invalidate the bearish thesis.
然而,隨著相對強弱指數(RSI)線從下方與訊號線收斂,其看跌勢頭顯示出疲軟跡象。如果 RSI 確認強勁移動至訊號線之上,則看跌論點將失效。
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line also highlighted a similar outlook after converging with the Signal line. However, to confirm the bullish thesis, the MACD histogram bars should turn green.
移動平均收斂分歧(MACD)線在與訊號線收斂後也強調了類似的前景。然而,為了證實看漲論點,MACD 長條圖應該會變成綠色。
If bears take control, POL will likely plunge to test support at $0.37. However, buying activity could see POL break resistance at $0.38 and extend gains.
如果空頭佔據主導地位,POL 可能會暴跌至 0.37 美元的支撐位。然而,購買活動可能導致 POL 突破 0.38 美元的阻力位並擴大漲幅。
With POL struggling, speculation is rife that Polymarket could be launching its own token. According to The Information, this token will be used to run the betting site.
隨著 POL 陷入困境,人們普遍猜測 Polymarket 可能會推出自己的代幣。根據 The Information 報道,該代幣將用於經營該投注網站。
免責聲明:info@kdj.com
所提供的資訊並非交易建議。 kDJ.com對任何基於本文提供的資訊進行的投資不承擔任何責任。加密貨幣波動性較大,建議您充分研究後謹慎投資!
如果您認為本網站使用的內容侵犯了您的版權,請立即聯絡我們(info@kdj.com),我們將及時刪除。
-
- 隨著投資者變得不確定,比特幣恐懼和貪婪指數觸及 37
- 2024-10-06 12:15:02
- 與普遍的看漲情緒相反,比特幣在 10 月開始出現看跌情緒,該月前三天價格下跌超過 7%。