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由於中東緊張局勢加劇,市場擔憂情緒依然存在,比特幣目前交易價格約為 61,300 美元。 Lekker Capital 的 Quinn Thompson 在一篇 X 貼文中表示,人們在以當前價格購買比特幣之前不應該三思而後行。
Bitcoin price slipped below the crucial 200-day moving average (MA) on Monday, sparking fear among investors and triggering a sell-off. However, one investment chief says this dip is a “no-brainer” for buying more BTC.
週一,比特幣價格跌破關鍵的 200 日移動平均線 (MA),引發投資者恐慌並引發拋售。然而,一位投資主管表示,對於購買更多比特幣來說,這種下跌是「理所當然的」。
What Happened: Bitcoin price dropped below the 200-day MA on three previous occasions in 2024. Each time, the apex cryptocurrency went on to rally.
發生了什麼事:2024 年,比特幣價格曾三度跌破 200 日均線。
Now, Bitcoin price has bounced off the 200-day MA, which is a 180-degree shift in its macro backdrop from the previous price movements.
現在,比特幣價格已從 200 日均線反彈,這與先前的價格走勢相比,其宏觀背景發生了 180 度的轉變。
“I don’t usually give very short-term views, but it seems like a no-brainer to be bidding this area with the clear invalidation of a 180-degree shift in the macro backdrop from the relative to the three previous similar setups,” said Quinn Thompson, chief investment officer at Lekker Capital, in an X post.
「我通常不會給出非常短期的觀點,但在宏觀背景與之前三個類似設置相比發生 180 度轉變的情況下,競標這一領域似乎是理所當然的, Lekker Capital 首席投資官Quinn Thompson 在X貼文中表示。
Thompson attached a chart showing Bitcoin price action since March, when it went on to hit its new all-time high of $73,750.
Thompson 附上了一張圖表,顯示了自 3 月以來比特幣價格走勢,當時比特幣創下了 73,750 美元的歷史新高。
“Relative to the three previous times BTC dropped below the 200-day MA (March, May and August), this time is different. The bounces off the 200-day MA in March and May led to an extension of the downtrend from the previous all-time high, while the bounce in August led to a new all-time high,” the investment expert said.
「相對於前三次 BTC 跌破 200 日均線(3 月、5 月和 8 月),這次有所不同。 3月和5月從200日均線反彈導致跌勢從之前的歷史高點延續,而8月的反彈則創下歷史新高。
The chart showed Bitcoin price rallying each time after bouncing off the 200-day MA.
該圖表顯示,比特幣價格每次從 200 日均線反彈後都會上漲。
“This time around, Bitcoin price bounced off the 200-day MA and went to print a lower high. This suggests that the macro backdrop shifted and we could see a strong upside soon.”
「這一次,比特幣價格從 200 日均線反彈,並創下了更低的高點。這表明宏觀背景發生了變化,我們很快就會看到強勁的上行空間。
Thompson’s analysis suggests that now could be a good time to buy more Bitcoin ahead of an impending price increase.
湯普森的分析表明,現在可能是在價格即將上漲之前購買更多比特幣的好時機。
While buying BTC may seem like a no-brainer, given the optimistic analysis, it’s important to note that rising tension between Israel and neighboring Middle East countries continues to rattle the markets.
雖然考慮到樂觀的分析,購買比特幣似乎是理所當然的事情,但值得注意的是,以色列與中東鄰國之間日益緊張的局勢繼續擾亂市場。
Bearish investor sentiment triggered massive sell-offs in risk assets, including Bitcoin.
看跌的投資者情緒引發了包括比特幣在內的風險資產的大規模拋售。
Weakening U.S. economic data and uncertainty surrounding the upcoming presidential election created a gloomy outlook.
美國經濟數據疲軟以及即將舉行的總統選舉的不確定性造成前景黯淡。
Crypto Prices Plummeted: Is ‘Uptober’ Rally Postponed?
加密貨幣價格暴跌:「Uptober」集會被延後了嗎?
October is known for strong historical bullish cryptocurrency price actions, earning it the nickname “Uptober.”
十月以強勁的歷史看漲加密貨幣價格走勢而聞名,並贏得了“Uptober”的綽號。
However, many investors may have lost hope in the historical “Uptober” rally as crypto prices took a downturn.
然而,隨著加密貨幣價格下跌,許多投資者可能對歷史性的「Uptober」漲勢失去了希望。
Amid the steady decline in crypto prices, mentions of “Uptober” across social media platforms also declined, according to a recent X post by Santiment.
根據 Santiment 最近發布的 X 帖子,隨著加密貨幣價格的穩步下跌,社交媒體平台上對「Uptober」的提及也有所下降。
“Mentions of "Uptober" have declined significantly, painting a picture that traders have become much more bearish on the idea of this month being an automatic money printer for crypto. The lack of optimism opens the door for (at least) a short-term bounce. ”
「Uptober」的提及量大幅下降,顯示交易者對本月成為加密貨幣自動印鈔機的想法變得更加悲觀。缺乏樂觀情緒為(至少)短期反彈打開了大門。 」
Many analysts, like Thompson, believe the lack of optimism could lead to a short-term bounce if investors took the opportunity to buy the dip.
湯普森等許多分析師認為,如果投資人趁機逢低買入,缺乏樂觀情緒可能會導致短期反彈。
“The lack of excitement for Uptober due to market dips opens doors for a short-term bounce, but it’s unclear whether the larger downtrend is over,” said Maksim Balashevich of Santiment.
Santiment 的 Maksim Balashevich 表示:“由於市場下跌,Uptober 缺乏興奮感,這為短期反彈打開了大門,但目前尚不清楚更大的下跌趨勢是否已經結束。”
Although October is typically bullish with an average gain of over 20% over the last 11 years, most rallies were recorded later in the month.
儘管 10 月通常是看漲的,過去 11 年平均漲幅超過 20%,但大多數反彈都是在本月稍後出現的。
Bitcoin price declined ۷% in the first half of October last year but went on to rally nearly 30% in two weeks to reach $34,500 by the end of the month.
去年 10 月上半月,比特幣價格下跌了 7%,但在兩週內上漲了近 30%,到月底達到 34,500 美元。
This raises hope among investors that a sharp upswing could still occur later this month.
這讓投資者燃起了希望,認為本月稍後仍可能大幅上漲。
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