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由于中东紧张局势加剧,市场担忧情绪依然存在,比特币目前交易价格约为 61,300 美元。 Lekker Capital 的 Quinn Thompson 在一篇 X 帖子中表示,人们在以当前价格购买比特币之前不应该三思而后行。
Bitcoin price slipped below the crucial 200-day moving average (MA) on Monday, sparking fear among investors and triggering a sell-off. However, one investment chief says this dip is a “no-brainer” for buying more BTC.
周一,比特币价格跌破关键的 200 日移动平均线 (MA),引发投资者恐慌并引发抛售。然而,一位投资主管表示,对于购买更多比特币来说,这次下跌是“理所当然的”。
What Happened: Bitcoin price dropped below the 200-day MA on three previous occasions in 2024. Each time, the apex cryptocurrency went on to rally.
发生了什么:2024 年,比特币价格曾三次跌破 200 日均线。每次,这种顶级加密货币都会继续上涨。
Now, Bitcoin price has bounced off the 200-day MA, which is a 180-degree shift in its macro backdrop from the previous price movements.
现在,比特币价格已经从 200 日均线反弹,这与之前的价格走势相比,其宏观背景发生了 180 度的转变。
“I don’t usually give very short-term views, but it seems like a no-brainer to be bidding this area with the clear invalidation of a 180-degree shift in the macro backdrop from the relative to the three previous similar setups,” said Quinn Thompson, chief investment officer at Lekker Capital, in an X post.
“我通常不会给出非常短期的观点,但在宏观背景与之前三个类似设置相比发生 180 度转变的情况下,竞标这一领域似乎是理所当然的, Lekker Capital 首席投资官 Quinn Thompson 在 X 帖子中表示。
Thompson attached a chart showing Bitcoin price action since March, when it went on to hit its new all-time high of $73,750.
Thompson 附上了一张图表,显示了自 3 月份以来比特币价格走势,当时比特币创下了 73,750 美元的历史新高。
“Relative to the three previous times BTC dropped below the 200-day MA (March, May and August), this time is different. The bounces off the 200-day MA in March and May led to an extension of the downtrend from the previous all-time high, while the bounce in August led to a new all-time high,” the investment expert said.
“相对于前三次 BTC 跌破 200 日均线(3 月、5 月和 8 月),这一次有所不同。 3月和5月从200日均线反弹导致跌势从之前的历史高点延续,而8月的反弹则创下历史新高。”该投资专家表示。
The chart showed Bitcoin price rallying each time after bouncing off the 200-day MA.
该图表显示,比特币价格每次从 200 日均线反弹后都会上涨。
“This time around, Bitcoin price bounced off the 200-day MA and went to print a lower high. This suggests that the macro backdrop shifted and we could see a strong upside soon.”
“这一次,比特币价格从 200 日均线反弹,并创下了更低的高点。这表明宏观背景发生了变化,我们很快就会看到强劲的上行空间。”
Thompson’s analysis suggests that now could be a good time to buy more Bitcoin ahead of an impending price increase.
汤普森的分析表明,现在可能是在价格即将上涨之前购买更多比特币的好时机。
While buying BTC may seem like a no-brainer, given the optimistic analysis, it’s important to note that rising tension between Israel and neighboring Middle East countries continues to rattle the markets.
虽然考虑到乐观的分析,购买比特币似乎是理所当然的事情,但值得注意的是,以色列与中东邻国之间日益紧张的局势继续扰乱市场。
Bearish investor sentiment triggered massive sell-offs in risk assets, including Bitcoin.
看跌的投资者情绪引发了包括比特币在内的风险资产的大规模抛售。
Weakening U.S. economic data and uncertainty surrounding the upcoming presidential election created a gloomy outlook.
美国经济数据疲软以及即将举行的总统选举的不确定性造成前景黯淡。
Crypto Prices Plummeted: Is ‘Uptober’ Rally Postponed?
加密货币价格暴跌:“Uptober”集会被推迟了吗?
October is known for strong historical bullish cryptocurrency price actions, earning it the nickname “Uptober.”
十月以强劲的历史看涨加密货币价格走势而闻名,并赢得了“Uptober”的绰号。
However, many investors may have lost hope in the historical “Uptober” rally as crypto prices took a downturn.
然而,随着加密货币价格下跌,许多投资者可能对历史性的“Uptober”涨势失去了希望。
Amid the steady decline in crypto prices, mentions of “Uptober” across social media platforms also declined, according to a recent X post by Santiment.
根据 Santiment 最近发布的 X 帖子,随着加密货币价格的稳步下跌,社交媒体平台上对“Uptober”的提及也有所下降。
“Mentions of "Uptober" have declined significantly, painting a picture that traders have become much more bearish on the idea of this month being an automatic money printer for crypto. The lack of optimism opens the door for (at least) a short-term bounce. ”
“Uptober”的提及量大幅下降,这表明交易者对本月成为加密货币自动印钞机的想法变得更加悲观。缺乏乐观情绪为(至少)短期反弹打开了大门。 ”
Many analysts, like Thompson, believe the lack of optimism could lead to a short-term bounce if investors took the opportunity to buy the dip.
汤普森等许多分析师认为,如果投资者趁机逢低买入,缺乏乐观情绪可能会导致短期反弹。
“The lack of excitement for Uptober due to market dips opens doors for a short-term bounce, but it’s unclear whether the larger downtrend is over,” said Maksim Balashevich of Santiment.
Santiment 的马克西姆·巴拉舍维奇 (Maksim Balashevich) 表示:“由于市场下跌,Uptober 缺乏兴奋感,这为短期反弹打开了大门,但目前尚不清楚更大的下跌趋势是否已经结束。”
Although October is typically bullish with an average gain of over 20% over the last 11 years, most rallies were recorded later in the month.
尽管 10 月份通常是看涨的,过去 11 年平均涨幅超过 20%,但大多数反弹都是在本月晚些时候出现的。
Bitcoin price declined ۷% in the first half of October last year but went on to rally nearly 30% in two weeks to reach $34,500 by the end of the month.
去年 10 月上半月,比特币价格下跌了 7%,但在两周内上涨了近 30%,到月底达到 34,500 美元。
This raises hope among investors that a sharp upswing could still occur later this month.
这让投资者燃起了希望,认为本月晚些时候仍可能出现大幅上涨。
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