Polkadot（DOT）下降到4美元以下，看漲模式可能在一個著名的集會之前

在過去一周內經歷了15％的更正後，Polkadot（DOT）跌至4美元以下，與CCN最近的價格分析保持一致。儘管下降了

Polkadot’s (DOT) price dropped below $4 on Thursday, aligning with CCN’s recent price analysis. The decline happened after DOT’s value experienced a 15% correction within the past week.

Polkadot的（DOT）價格在周四下跌低於4美元，與CCN最近的價格分析保持一致。下降發生在DOT的價值在過去一周內經歷了15％的糾正。

Despite the decline, the altcoin seemed to have formed a bullish pattern that usually precedes a notable rally. However, other indicators have yet to validate the move. With this in place, here is how DOT might perform if it validates the pattern or not.

儘管有所下降，但Altcoin似乎已經形成了一種看漲的模式，通常是在明顯的集會之前。但是，其他指標尚未驗證這一舉動。有了這一點，如果DOT驗證模式是否驗證了DOT的性能。

On the weekly chart, Polkadot’s price decline below $4 has led to the formation of a falling wedge. For context, a falling wedge is a bearish to bullish pattern that occurs after two downward trendlines almost converge at a point.

在每週圖表上，波爾卡多的價格下跌低於$ 4，導致楔形碎片的形成。在上下文中，下降的楔形是看跌的看跌模式，在兩個下降趨勢線幾乎匯聚後發生。

Historically, when this happens, DOT breaks out. For instance, as seen below, a falling wedge appeared between March and October 2024, with the price falling to $3.42.

從歷史上看，當這種情況發生時，點會爆發。例如，如下所示，在2024年3月至10月之間，出現了一個下降的楔形，價格下跌至3.42美元。

Later, Polkadot’s price broke above the upper trendline and surged past $10 in December. If history repeats itself, DOT could be poised for another major breakout.

後來，Polkadot的價格超過了上層趨勢線，並在12月的10美元上漲了10美元。如果歷史重演，DOT可能會有所幫助進行另一個重大突破。

However, a key difference exists between the current price action and the previous surge. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading then climbed and supported the upswing.

但是，當前的價格行動與先前的激增之間存在關鍵差異。然後，相對強度指數（RSI）讀數攀登並支持上升。

As of this writing, the RSI, which measures momentum, is down to 39.91. This rating indicates bearish momentum. If this trend continues, DOT’s price might struggle to replicate the 170% hike it registered last December.

在撰寫本文時，衡量動量的RSI降至39.91。該評分錶明看跌勢頭。如果這種趨勢持續下去，DOT的價格可能很難復制去年12月註冊的170％加息。

Furthermore, the daily outlook is also similar. As shown in the chart below, Polkadot’s price trades within a descending channel.

此外，每日前景也相似。如下圖所示，Polkadot的價格交易在下降渠道內。

However, the current price tests the upper trendline of the descending channel, indicating that the token is attempting to exit the bearish pattern.

但是，當前的價格測試是下降渠道的上層趨勢線，表明令牌正試圖退出看跌模式。

Still, other indicators such as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) might limit this move. The MACD, like the RSI, measures momentum.

儘管如此，其他指標（例如移動平均收斂差異（MACD））可能會限制這一舉動。 MACD像RSI一樣測量動量。

When the reading is positive, momentum is bullish. However, the MACD reading has declined to negative territory in this instance.

當閱讀是積極的時，動力是看好的。但是，在這種情況下，MACD閱讀已降低到負面的領域。

Failure to rebound to the positive region might keep DOT’s price trapped in the descending channel. If that is the case, DOT’s price might fail to validate a breakout above the falling wedge.

未能反彈到正區域可能會使DOT的價格被困在降落的頻道中。如果是這種情況，DOT的價格可能無法驗證掉落楔形上方的突破。

Once this happens, the altcoin’s next target might be a rally to $6.74. In a highly bullish market condition, its value could soar to $8.69.

一旦發生這種情況，Altcoin的下一個目標可能是$ 6.74的集會。在高度看漲的市場狀況下，其價值可能會飆升至8.69美元。