Polkadot（DOT）下降到4美元以下，看涨模式可能在一个著名的集会之前

在过去一周内经历了15％的更正后，Polkadot（DOT）跌至4美元以下，与CCN最近的价格分析保持一致。尽管下降了

Polkadot’s (DOT) price dropped below $4 on Thursday, aligning with CCN’s recent price analysis. The decline happened after DOT’s value experienced a 15% correction within the past week.

Polkadot的（DOT）价格在周四下跌低于4美元，与CCN最近的价格分析保持一致。下降发生在DOT的价值在过去一周内经历了15％的纠正。

Despite the decline, the altcoin seemed to have formed a bullish pattern that usually precedes a notable rally. However, other indicators have yet to validate the move. With this in place, here is how DOT might perform if it validates the pattern or not.

尽管有所下降，但Altcoin似乎已经形成了一种看涨的模式，通常是在明显的集会之前。但是，其他指标尚未验证这一举动。有了这一点，如果DOT验证模式是否验证了DOT的性能。

On the weekly chart, Polkadot’s price decline below $4 has led to the formation of a falling wedge. For context, a falling wedge is a bearish to bullish pattern that occurs after two downward trendlines almost converge at a point.

在每周图表上，波尔卡多的价格下跌低于$ 4，导致楔形碎片的形成。在上下文中，下降的楔形是看跌的看跌模式，在两个下降趋势线几乎汇聚后发生。

Historically, when this happens, DOT breaks out. For instance, as seen below, a falling wedge appeared between March and October 2024, with the price falling to $3.42.

从历史上看，当这种情况发生时，点会爆发。例如，如下所示，在2024年3月至10月之间，出现了一个下降的楔形，价格下跌至3.42美元。

Later, Polkadot’s price broke above the upper trendline and surged past $10 in December. If history repeats itself, DOT could be poised for another major breakout.

后来，Polkadot的价格超过了上层趋势线，并在12月的10美元上涨了10美元。如果历史重演，DOT可能会有所帮助进行另一个重大突破。

However, a key difference exists between the current price action and the previous surge. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading then climbed and supported the upswing.

但是，当前的价格行动与先前的激增之间存在关键差异。然后，相对强度指数（RSI）读数攀登并支持上升。

As of this writing, the RSI, which measures momentum, is down to 39.91. This rating indicates bearish momentum. If this trend continues, DOT’s price might struggle to replicate the 170% hike it registered last December.

在撰写本文时，衡量动量的RSI降至39.91。该评分表明看跌势头。如果这种趋势持续下去，DOT的价格可能很难复制去年12月注册的170％加息。

Furthermore, the daily outlook is also similar. As shown in the chart below, Polkadot’s price trades within a descending channel.

此外，每日前景也相似。如下图所示，Polkadot的价格交易在下降渠道内。

However, the current price tests the upper trendline of the descending channel, indicating that the token is attempting to exit the bearish pattern.

但是，当前的价格测试是下降渠道的上层趋势线，表明令牌正试图退出看跌模式。

Still, other indicators such as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) might limit this move. The MACD, like the RSI, measures momentum.

尽管如此，其他指标（例如移动平均收敛差异（MACD））可能会限制这一举动。 MACD像RSI一样测量动量。

When the reading is positive, momentum is bullish. However, the MACD reading has declined to negative territory in this instance.

当阅读是积极的时，动力是看好的。但是，在这种情况下，MACD阅读已降低到负面的领域。

Failure to rebound to the positive region might keep DOT’s price trapped in the descending channel. If that is the case, DOT’s price might fail to validate a breakout above the falling wedge.

未能反弹到正区域可能会使DOT的价格被困在降落的频道中。如果是这种情况，DOT的价格可能无法验证掉落楔形上方的突破。

Once this happens, the altcoin’s next target might be a rally to $6.74. In a highly bullish market condition, its value could soar to $8.69.

一旦发生这种情况，Altcoin的下一个目标可能是$ 6.74的集会。在高度看涨的市场状况下，其价值可能会飙升至8.69美元。