彼得·布蘭特（Peter Brandt）預測，如果硬幣未能停留在1.9美元以上，則XRP下降了43％

Ripple的XRP最近承受著巨大的壓力，儘管對SEC的持續訴訟有一些積極的更新，但仍未保持動力。

Recently, renowned price chart analyst Peter Brandt has issued a bearish forecast for Ripple’s XRP, suggesting a potential 43% drop if the coin slips below critical support levels.

最近，著名的價格圖表分析師彼得·布蘭特（Peter Brandt）對Ripple的XRP發布了看跌預測，如果硬幣滑倒以下，則可能會下降43％。

Brandt, who is a respected figure in the world of technical analysis, has been following XRP’s price movements closely. He recently pointed out a bearish Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern forming on XRP’s price chart. According to the analyst, if XRP fails to stay above the $1.9 level, it could see a drastic decline, potentially reaching as low as $1.07. This represents a 43% drop from its current levels, a significant move for the altcoin.

布蘭特（Brandt）是技術分析世界中受人尊敬的人物，一直密切關注XRP的價格變動。他最近指出了XRP的價格圖上形成的看跌頭和肩膀（H＆S）圖案。根據分析師的說法，如果XRP無法保持高於$ 1.9的水平，則可能會看到大幅下降，潛在的低至1.07美元。這代表其目前的水平下降了43％，這是Altcoin的重大舉動。

His analysis highlighted the range-bound nature of XRP’s price action. Any price movement below $1.9 could trigger a sharp sell-off, leading to the formation of the H&S pattern’s target at $1.07. His comments suggest that traders should be vigilant, especially if XRP breaks this support zone. For Brandt, staying above $2.5 remains a key resistance point to avoid further downside risks. But if XRP drops below $1.9, it spells trouble for long-term holders.

他的分析強調了XRP價格行動的範圍內性質。任何低於1.9美元的價格變動都可能引發急劇的拋售，從而導致H＆S模式的目標形成為1.07美元。他的評論表明，交易者應該保持警惕，尤其是如果XRP打破了該支持區。對於勃蘭特來說，保持$ 2.5的價格仍然是避免進一步下行風險的關鍵阻力點。但是，如果XRP跌至1.9美元以下，則為長期持有人帶來麻煩。

XRP Faces Uphill Battle

XRP面對上坡戰鬥

XRP has been struggling to sustain momentum despite some positive updates regarding its ongoing lawsuit with the SEC. The altcoin has struggled to break past key resistance levels and continues to face challenges in a bear market.

XRP仍在努力維持動力，儘管有關其與SEC的持續訴訟有一些積極的更新。 Altcoin一直在努力打破超過關鍵阻力水平，並繼續在熊市中面臨挑戰。

As the chart shows, XRP has been unable to rally above the $2.5 resistance point throughout Q1 2025. The token has slid about 30% from its record high of $3.40. Although recent legal developments had fueled hope for Ripple’s supporters, the market has been largely unresponsive.

如圖所示，XRP無法超過整個Q1 2025的2.5美元電阻點。令牌比其創紀錄的高處3.40美元下滑了約30％。儘管最近的法律發展推動了對Ripple的支持者的希望，但市場基本上沒有響應。

Grim Outlook From On-Chain Signals

鍊鍊信號的嚴峻前景

On-chain signals are also presenting a rather bleak picture for XRP. Data from Santiment highlights a dramatic decline in the number of active addresses on the XRP Ledger. From a peak of 74,000 active addresses in December 2024, the count has decreased by 62%, with only 28,000 addresses active in March 2025.

鏈上信號還為XRP展示了一幅相當慘淡的圖片。來自Santiment的數據突顯了XRP分類帳上的活動地址數量的急劇下降。從2024年12月的74,000個活動地址的高峰中，計數下降了62％，2025年3月只有28,000個地址活躍。

This signals that fewer users are engaging with the XRP ecosystem, suggesting a potential loss of interest from both retail and institutional investors.

這表明用戶更少與XRP生態系統互動，這表明零售和機構投資者可能會失去利息。

Furthermore, Santiment’s MVRV Z score, which tracks whether an asset is overvalued or undervalued relative to its price, indicates that XRP is overpriced at current levels. A reading above 1 on the MVRV Z score suggests more holders are in profit and might sell, putting more pressure on the price to move down.

此外，Santiment的MVRV Z分數跟踪資產是否相對於其價格高估還是被低估了，這表明XRP在當前水平上的價格過高。 MVRV Z分數以上1的讀數表明，更多的持有人有利潤並可能出售，這給降低的價格帶來了更大的壓力。

As of the latest data, the MVRV Z score for XRP stands at 2.8, which indicates that long-term holders have unrealized gains of 2.8x to 6x. This could induce profit-taking behavior, adding more downward pressure on XRP’s price action.

從最新數據開始，XRP的MVRV Z得分為2.8，這表明長期持有人未實現的增長為2.8倍至6倍。這可能會引起利潤的行為，從而為XRP的價格行動增加了更大的向下壓力。

Is Some Accumulation Brewing?

有些積累釀造嗎？

Despite the bearish signals, some on-chain data offers a glimmer of hope for XRP bulls. According to data from Coinglass, a significant amount of XRP has been withdrawn from exchanges in recent weeks.

儘管有看跌信號，但一些鏈上的數據為XRP公牛提供了一線希望。根據Coinglass的數據，最近幾週從交易所撤回了大量XRP。

In March 2025 alone, over $290 million worth of XRP was moved out of exchanges, suggesting that some investors are betting on a potential rally in the near future. If these holders are correct, and demand for XRP increases, the altcoin could see a reversal.

僅在2025年3月，僅超過2.9億美元的XRP就退出了交流，這表明一些投資者在不久的將來押注了潛在的集會。如果這些持有人是正確的，並且對XRP的需求增加，則Altcoin可能會看到逆轉。

However, for this scenario to unfold, XRP would need to hold key support levels. The $2 and $1.4 price points are crucial for the token’s short-term outlook.

但是，為了展開這種情況，XRP需要保持關鍵支持水平。 $ 2和1.4美元的價格點對於代幣的短期前景至關重要。

As long as XRP stays above its 200-day moving average (DMA), which is currently acting as dynamic support, its bullish market structure remains intact. If XRP drops below these levels, it could trigger a more substantial sell-off, potentially pushing the price toward the $1.07 target.

只要XRP高於其200天移動平均線（DMA），該平均線（DMA）目前充當動態支持，其看漲的市場結構仍然完好無損。如果XRP降至這些水平以下，它可能會引發更大的拋售，並可能將價格推向1.07美元的目標。