彼得·布兰特（Peter Brandt）预测，如果硬币未能停留在1.9美元以上，则XRP下降了43％

Ripple的XRP最近承受着巨大的压力，尽管对SEC的持续诉讼有一些积极的更新，但仍未保持动力。

Recently, renowned price chart analyst Peter Brandt has issued a bearish forecast for Ripple’s XRP, suggesting a potential 43% drop if the coin slips below critical support levels.

最近，著名的价格图表分析师彼得·布兰特（Peter Brandt）对Ripple的XRP发布了看跌预测，如果硬币滑倒以下，则可能会下降43％。

Brandt, who is a respected figure in the world of technical analysis, has been following XRP’s price movements closely. He recently pointed out a bearish Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern forming on XRP’s price chart. According to the analyst, if XRP fails to stay above the $1.9 level, it could see a drastic decline, potentially reaching as low as $1.07. This represents a 43% drop from its current levels, a significant move for the altcoin.

布兰特（Brandt）是技术分析世界中受人尊敬的人物，一直密切关注XRP的价格变动。他最近指出了XRP的价格图上形成的看跌头和肩膀（H＆S）图案。根据分析师的说法，如果XRP无法保持高于$ 1.9的水平，则可能会看到大幅下降，潜在的低至1.07美元。这代表其目前的水平下降了43％，这是Altcoin的重大举动。

His analysis highlighted the range-bound nature of XRP’s price action. Any price movement below $1.9 could trigger a sharp sell-off, leading to the formation of the H&S pattern’s target at $1.07. His comments suggest that traders should be vigilant, especially if XRP breaks this support zone. For Brandt, staying above $2.5 remains a key resistance point to avoid further downside risks. But if XRP drops below $1.9, it spells trouble for long-term holders.

他的分析强调了XRP价格行动的范围内性质。任何低于1.9美元的价格变动都可能引发急剧的抛售，从而导致H＆S模式的目标形成为1.07美元。他的评论表明，交易者应该保持警惕，尤其是如果XRP打破了该支持区。对于勃兰特来说，保持$ 2.5的价格仍然是避免进一步下行风险的关键阻力点。但是，如果XRP跌至1.9美元以下，则为长期持有人带来麻烦。

XRP Faces Uphill Battle

XRP面对上坡战斗

XRP has been struggling to sustain momentum despite some positive updates regarding its ongoing lawsuit with the SEC. The altcoin has struggled to break past key resistance levels and continues to face challenges in a bear market.

XRP仍在努力维持动力，尽管有关其与SEC的持续诉讼有一些积极的更新。 Altcoin一直在努力打破超过关键阻力水平，并继续在熊市中面临挑战。

As the chart shows, XRP has been unable to rally above the $2.5 resistance point throughout Q1 2025. The token has slid about 30% from its record high of $3.40. Although recent legal developments had fueled hope for Ripple’s supporters, the market has been largely unresponsive.

如图所示，XRP无法超过整个Q1 2025的2.5美元电阻点。令牌比其创纪录的高处3.40美元下滑了约30％。尽管最近的法律发展推动了对Ripple的支持者的希望，但市场基本上没有响应。

Grim Outlook From On-Chain Signals

链链信号的严峻前景

On-chain signals are also presenting a rather bleak picture for XRP. Data from Santiment highlights a dramatic decline in the number of active addresses on the XRP Ledger. From a peak of 74,000 active addresses in December 2024, the count has decreased by 62%, with only 28,000 addresses active in March 2025.

链上信号还为XRP展示了一幅相当惨淡的图片。来自Santiment的数据突显了XRP分类帐上的活动地址数量的急剧下降。从2024年12月的74,000个活动地址的高峰中，计数下降了62％，2025年3月只有28,000个地址活跃。

This signals that fewer users are engaging with the XRP ecosystem, suggesting a potential loss of interest from both retail and institutional investors.

这表明用户更少与XRP生态系统互动，这表明零售和机构投资者可能会失去利息。

Furthermore, Santiment’s MVRV Z score, which tracks whether an asset is overvalued or undervalued relative to its price, indicates that XRP is overpriced at current levels. A reading above 1 on the MVRV Z score suggests more holders are in profit and might sell, putting more pressure on the price to move down.

此外，Santiment的MVRV Z分数跟踪资产是否相对于其价格高估还是被低估了，这表明XRP在当前水平上的价格过高。 MVRV Z分数以上1的读数表明，更多的持有人有利润并可能出售，这给降低的价格带来了更大的压力。

As of the latest data, the MVRV Z score for XRP stands at 2.8, which indicates that long-term holders have unrealized gains of 2.8x to 6x. This could induce profit-taking behavior, adding more downward pressure on XRP’s price action.

从最新数据开始，XRP的MVRV Z得分为2.8，这表明长期持有人未实现的增长为2.8倍至6倍。这可能会引起利润的行为，从而为XRP的价格行动增加了更大的向下压力。

Is Some Accumulation Brewing?

有些积累酿造吗？

Despite the bearish signals, some on-chain data offers a glimmer of hope for XRP bulls. According to data from Coinglass, a significant amount of XRP has been withdrawn from exchanges in recent weeks.

尽管有看跌信号，但一些链上的数据为XRP公牛提供了一线希望。根据Coinglass的数据，最近几周从交易所撤回了大量XRP。

In March 2025 alone, over $290 million worth of XRP was moved out of exchanges, suggesting that some investors are betting on a potential rally in the near future. If these holders are correct, and demand for XRP increases, the altcoin could see a reversal.

仅在2025年3月，仅超过2.9亿美元的XRP就退出了交流，这表明一些投资者在不久的将来押注了潜在的集会。如果这些持有人是正确的，并且对XRP的需求增加，则Altcoin可能会看到逆转。

However, for this scenario to unfold, XRP would need to hold key support levels. The $2 and $1.4 price points are crucial for the token’s short-term outlook.

但是，为了展开这种情况，XRP需要保持关键支持水平。 $ 2和1.4美元的价格点对于代币的短期前景至关重要。

As long as XRP stays above its 200-day moving average (DMA), which is currently acting as dynamic support, its bullish market structure remains intact. If XRP drops below these levels, it could trigger a more substantial sell-off, potentially pushing the price toward the $1.07 target.

只要XRP高于其200天移动平均线（DMA），该平均线（DMA）目前充当动态支持，其看涨的市场结构仍然完好无损。如果XRP降至这些水平以下，它可能会引发更大的抛售，并可能将价格推向1.07美元的目标。