隨著市場進入未知領域，Peter Brandt 看到比特幣通往 125,000 美元的道路

在加密貨幣突破歷史新高後，資深交易員和著名圖表分析師 Peter Brandt 週日分享了對比特幣的樂觀前景

Veteran trader and renowned chartist Peter Brandt shared an optimistic outlook for bitcoin on Sunday after the cryptocurrency broke its all-time highs on Sunday.

在加密貨幣週日突破歷史新高後，資深交易員和著名圖表分析師 Peter Brandt 於週日分享了對比特幣的樂觀前景。

Brandt projects that bitcoin could reach $125,000 by New Year’s, citing bullish trends and the cryptocurrency’s strong historical price-action patterns.

Brandt 預計，比特幣到新年可能會達到 12.5 萬美元，理由是看漲趨勢和加密貨幣強大的歷史價格行為模式。

“Between March and October 2024, BTC offered everyone buying opportunities on each dip,” he noted on social media platform X. “When BTC decides to ‘Mark-Up,’ it never looks back. Throughout its history, when BTC runs – it runs.”

他在社群媒體平台 X 上指出：「從 2024 年 3 月到 10 月，BTC 為每個人提供了每次下跌時的買入機會。」當 BTC 決定『加價』時，它就不會回頭。縱觀其歷史，當比特幣運行時——它就會運行。

Brandt outlined a potential path for bitcoin to reach $125,000 by New Year’s, using a “time/price” Bayesian probability model.

Brandt 使用「時間/價格」貝葉斯機率模型概述了比特幣在新年之前達到 125,000 美元的潛在路徑。

“Based on Jan-Mar ’24 run as only one ‘time/price’ Bayesian probability ‘priors,’ price could hit $125K by New Years,” he noted.

「根據 24 年 1 月至 3 月僅運行一個『時間/價格』貝葉斯機率『先驗』，到新年時價格可能會達到 12.5 萬美元，」他指出。

In Bayesian analysis, “priors” are initial data points or assumptions that help predict future outcomes based on past events. Brandt uses bitcoin’s price action from January to March 2024 as his “prior” — essentially, as a baseline pattern that could indicate how bitcoin might behave under similar conditions in the future.

在貝葉斯分析中，「先驗」是初始數據點或假設，有助於根據過去的事件預測未來的結果。 Brandt 將 2024 年 1 月至 3 月的比特幣價格走勢作為他的「先驗」——本質上是作為一個基線模式，可以表明比特幣在未來類似條件下的表現。

Last week, Brandt reiterated that bitcoin is in the “sweet spot” of its halving cycle, historically linked to significant price growth. He explained that halving events, which reduce mining rewards, tend to split bull markets into two distinct phases, creating predictable timing patterns.

上週，布蘭特重申，比特幣正處於減半週期的“最佳點”，歷史上與價格大幅上漲有關。他解釋說，減半事件會減少挖礦獎勵，往往會將牛市分為兩個不同的階段，從而形成可預測的時間模式。

Based on this cycle, Brandt forecasts that bitcoin’s price could peak between $130,000 and $150,000 by August or September 2025, emphasizing its volatility and growth potential if the bullish trend continues.

根據這個週期，Brandt 預測，到 2025 年 8 月或 9 月，比特幣的價格可能會達到 130,000 美元至 150,000 美元的峰值，並強調如果看漲趨勢持續下去，其波動性和增長潛力。

Many analysts have offered their bitcoin price predictions. Asset management firm Vaneck projects that BTC could reach $3 million by 2050 if it becomes a reserve asset held by global central banks. Meanwhile, analysts at Bernstein predict BTC could hit $200,000 by the end of 2025. JPMorgan is also optimistic, with its analysts recently stating, “We are positive on bitcoin into 2025.”

許多分析師提出了他們的比特幣價格預測。資產管理公司 Vaneck 預計，如果 BTC 成為全球央行持有的儲備資產，到 2050 年，BTC 的價值可能達到 300 萬美元。與此同時，伯恩斯坦分析師預測 BTC 到 2025 年底可能會達到 20 萬美元。