随着市场进入未知领域，Peter Brandt 看到比特币通向 12.5 万美元的道路

在加密货币突破历史新高后，资深交易员和著名图表分析师 Peter Brandt 周日分享了对比特币的乐观前景

Veteran trader and renowned chartist Peter Brandt shared an optimistic outlook for bitcoin on Sunday after the cryptocurrency broke its all-time highs on Sunday.

在加密货币周日突破历史新高后，资深交易员和著名图表分析师 Peter Brandt 于周日分享了对比特币的乐观前景。

Brandt projects that bitcoin could reach $125,000 by New Year’s, citing bullish trends and the cryptocurrency’s strong historical price-action patterns.

Brandt 预计，比特币到新年可能会达到 125,000 美元，理由是看涨趋势和加密货币强大的历史价格行为模式。

“Between March and October 2024, BTC offered everyone buying opportunities on each dip,” he noted on social media platform X. “When BTC decides to ‘Mark-Up,’ it never looks back. Throughout its history, when BTC runs – it runs.”

他在社交媒体平台 X 上指出：“从 2024 年 3 月到 10 月，BTC 为每个人提供了每次下跌时的买入机会。”当 BTC 决定‘加价’时，它就不会回头。纵观其历史，当比特币运行时，它就会运行。”

Brandt outlined a potential path for bitcoin to reach $125,000 by New Year’s, using a “time/price” Bayesian probability model.

Brandt 使用“时间/价格”贝叶斯概率模型概述了比特币在新年之前达到 125,000 美元的潜在路径。

“Based on Jan-Mar ’24 run as only one ‘time/price’ Bayesian probability ‘priors,’ price could hit $125K by New Years,” he noted.

“根据 24 年 1 月至 3 月仅运行一个‘时间/价格’贝叶斯概率‘先验’，到新年时价格可能会达到 12.5 万美元，”他指出。

In Bayesian analysis, “priors” are initial data points or assumptions that help predict future outcomes based on past events. Brandt uses bitcoin’s price action from January to March 2024 as his “prior” — essentially, as a baseline pattern that could indicate how bitcoin might behave under similar conditions in the future.

在贝叶斯分析中，“先验”是初始数据点或假设，有助于根据过去的事件预测未来的结果。 Brandt 将 2024 年 1 月至 3 月的比特币价格走势作为他的“先验”——本质上是作为一个基线模式，可以表明比特币在未来类似条件下的表现。

Last week, Brandt reiterated that bitcoin is in the “sweet spot” of its halving cycle, historically linked to significant price growth. He explained that halving events, which reduce mining rewards, tend to split bull markets into two distinct phases, creating predictable timing patterns.

上周，布兰特重申，比特币正处于减半周期的“最佳点”，历史上与价格大幅上涨有关。他解释说，减半事件会减少挖矿奖励，往往会将牛市分为两个不同的阶段，从而形成可预​​测的时间模式。

Based on this cycle, Brandt forecasts that bitcoin’s price could peak between $130,000 and $150,000 by August or September 2025, emphasizing its volatility and growth potential if the bullish trend continues.

根据这个周期，Brandt 预测，到 2025 年 8 月或 9 月，比特币的价格可能会达到 130,000 美元至 150,000 美元的峰值，并强调如果看涨趋势持续下去，其波动性和增长潜力。

Many analysts have offered their bitcoin price predictions. Asset management firm Vaneck projects that BTC could reach $3 million by 2050 if it becomes a reserve asset held by global central banks. Meanwhile, analysts at Bernstein predict BTC could hit $200,000 by the end of 2025. JPMorgan is also optimistic, with its analysts recently stating, “We are positive on bitcoin into 2025.”

许多分析师提出了他们的比特币价格预测。资产管理公司 Vaneck 预计，如果 BTC 成为全球央行持有的储备资产，到 2050 年，BTC 的价值可能达到 300 万美元。与此同时，伯恩斯坦分析师预测 BTC 到 2025 年底可能会达到 20 万美元。摩根大通也持乐观态度，其分析师最近表示，“我们对 2025 年比特币持乐观态度。”