Nexo 預測，如果 SEC 批准現貨 ETF，以太坊價格可能會達到 1 萬美元

Nexo 大宗經紀業務主管 Andrey Stoychev 預測，如果以太坊現貨交易所交易基金 (ETF) 成功獲得美國證券交易委員會 (SEC) 的批准，以太坊價格可能會達到 1 萬美元。

Head of Prime Brokerage at Nexo, Andrey Stoychev, has predicted that Ethereum price could hit $10k if it succeeds in getting the spot Ethereum Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) approved by the United States’ Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Nexo 大宗經紀業務主管 Andrey Stoychev 預測，如果以太坊現貨交易所交易基金 (ETF) 成功獲得美國證券交易委員會 (SEC) 的批准，以太坊價格可能會達到 1 萬美元。

According to CoinTelegraph, Stoychev said the US SEC approval of Ethereum spot ETF could take months, but it might become the main catalyst catapulting the price of the second largest cryptocurrency to $10k.

根據 CoinTelegraph 報導，Stoychev 表示，美國 SEC 批准以太坊現貨 ETF 可能需要數月時間，但它可能成為將第二大加密貨幣價格推升至 1 萬美元的主要催化劑。

“ETH ETFs in the USA and similar products in Asia could be the driver that helps the asset reach $10,000 by end-2024, catching up with Bitcoin’s performance post-ETF.” Stoychev said.

“美國的 ETH ETF 和亞洲的類似產品可能會成為推動該資產到 2024 年底達到 10,000 美元的推動力，趕上比特幣 ETF 之後的表現。”斯托伊切夫說。

The prediction follows an impressive bullish run by Ethereum which saw its price surge to two-month high of $3700, signifying a 21% rise in the last 24 hours.

這項預測是在以太坊令人印象深刻的看漲行情之後做出的，以太坊的價格飆升至兩個月高點 3700 美元，意味著過去 24 小時內上漲了 21%。

The recent Ether rally is driven by reports that the US SEC has a made a U-turn on its stance on spot Ethereum ETF approval asking ETF exchanges to update their 19b-4 filings, according to reports.

據報道，近期以太幣上漲的推動因素是，有報道稱，美國 SEC 對以太坊 ETF 現貨批准的立場發生了 180 度大轉變，要求 ETF 交易所更新其 19b-4 備案文件。

Stoychev explained that despite the timeline for a potential spot bitcoin ETF approval still being difficult to predict, the recent moves by the US SEC are very positive and spells good for the crypto industry.

Stoychev 解釋說，儘管潛在的現貨比特幣 ETF 批准的時間表仍然難以預測，但美國 SEC 最近的舉措非常積極，對加密行業來說是有利的。

“This seeming change in perception towards Ether ETFs may come to signal a switch in stance from the SEC. A speculative reason for that could be the upcoming US presidential election which has come to highlight that crypto users may play a defining role, especially in swing states.” Stoychev said

「人們對以太坊 ETF 看法的這種看似變化可能預示著 SEC 立場的轉變。一個推測性的原因可能是即將到來的美國總統大選，這凸顯出加密貨幣用戶可能發揮決定性作用，尤其是在搖擺州。斯托伊切夫說

The next deadline for the SEC approval is May 23rd and it is still uncertain whether it will be approved.

SEC 批准的下一個截止日期是 5 月 23 日，是否會獲得批准仍存在不確定性。

Senior Bloomberg ETF analyst, Eric Balchunas, has raised the approval odds for this proposal to 75%, up from 25%. However, this increased likelihood only pertains to the 19b-4 form.

彭博 ETF 高級分析師 Eric Balchunas 已將提案的批准幾率從 25% 提高至 75%。然而，這種增加的可能性僅與 19b-4 形式有關。

Senior Bloomberg ETF analyst, Eric Balchunas, has raised the approval odds for this proposal to 75%, up from 25%. However, this increased likelihood only pertains to the 19b-4 form.

彭博 ETF 高級分析師 Eric Balchunas 已將提案的批准幾率從 25% 提高至 75%。然而，這種增加的可能性僅與 19b-4 形式有關。

However, Ether ETF issuers will also need to get their S-1 filings approved, according to Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart, who wrote in a May 20 X post:

然而，彭博 ETF 分析師 James Seyffart 在 5 月 20 日的一篇文章中寫道，以太坊 ETF 發行人還需要獲得 S-1 申請的批准：

“We also need S-1 approvals. It could be weeks to months before we see S-1 approvals and thus a live EtH ETF… That said, if we’re correct and we see these theoretical approvals later this week. It *should* mean that S-1 approvals are a matter of ‘When’ not ‘If’…” Seyffart tweeted.

「我們還需要 S-1 批准。可能需要幾週到幾個月的時間，我們才能看到S-1 獲得批准，從而看到ETH ETF 的上線……也就是說，如果我們是正確的，我們會在本週晚些時候看到這些理論上的批准。這*應該*意味著 S-1 批准是一個『何時』而不是『如果』的問題…」Seyffart 發推文說。

Yunus Ozkaya, CEO and founder of the FreeBnk app, explained his own perspective on the issue saying the entire process could be delayed until 2025.

FreeBnk 應用程式的執行長兼創辦人 Yunus Ozkaya 解釋了他自己對此問題的看法，並表示整個流程可能會推遲到 2025 年。

“I am not expecting anything earlier than 2025 to be tradeable, including S-1 approval. However, when it does, it will have a really big positive effect on the market, even if S-1 approval takes more time. I am expecting they will approve it by May 23rd for Vaneck’s 19b-4 deadline.”

「我預計 2025 年之前不會有任何東西可以交易，包括 S-1 批准。然而，一旦實現，即使 S-1 的批准需要更多時間，也會對市場產生非常大的正面影響。我預計他們會在 5 月 23 日之前批准 Vaneck 的 19b-4 截止日期。