Nexo 预测，如果 SEC 批准现货 ETF，以太坊价格可能会达到 1 万美元

Nexo 大宗经纪业务主管 Andrey Stoychev 预测，如果以太坊现货交易所交易基金 (ETF) 成功获得美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 的批准，以太坊价格可能会达到 1 万美元。

Head of Prime Brokerage at Nexo, Andrey Stoychev, has predicted that Ethereum price could hit $10k if it succeeds in getting the spot Ethereum Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) approved by the United States’ Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Nexo 大宗经纪业务主管 Andrey Stoychev 预测，如果以太坊现货交易所交易基金 (ETF) 成功获得美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 的批准，以太坊价格可能会达到 1 万美元。

According to CoinTelegraph, Stoychev said the US SEC approval of Ethereum spot ETF could take months, but it might become the main catalyst catapulting the price of the second largest cryptocurrency to $10k.

据 CoinTelegraph 报道，Stoychev 表示，美国 SEC 批准以太坊现货 ETF 可能需要数月时间，但它可能成为将第二大加密货币价格推升至 1 万美元的主要催化剂。

“ETH ETFs in the USA and similar products in Asia could be the driver that helps the asset reach $10,000 by end-2024, catching up with Bitcoin’s performance post-ETF.” Stoychev said.

“美国的 ETH ETF 和亚洲的类似产品可能会成为推动该资产到 2024 年底达到 10,000 美元的推动力，赶上比特币 ETF 之后的表现。”斯托伊切夫说道。

The prediction follows an impressive bullish run by Ethereum which saw its price surge to two-month high of $3700, signifying a 21% rise in the last 24 hours.

这一预测是在以太坊令人印象深刻的看涨行情之后做出的，以太坊的价格飙升至两个月高点 3700 美元，意味着过去 24 小时内上涨了 21%。

The recent Ether rally is driven by reports that the US SEC has a made a U-turn on its stance on spot Ethereum ETF approval asking ETF exchanges to update their 19b-4 filings, according to reports.

据报道，近期以太币上涨的推动因素是，有报道称，美国 SEC 对以太坊 ETF 现货批准的立场发生了 180 度大转变，要求 ETF 交易所更新其 19b-4 备案文件。

Stoychev explained that despite the timeline for a potential spot bitcoin ETF approval still being difficult to predict, the recent moves by the US SEC are very positive and spells good for the crypto industry.

Stoychev 解释说，尽管潜在的现货比特币 ETF 批准的时间表仍然难以预测，但美国 SEC 最近的举措非常积极，对加密行业来说是有利的。

“This seeming change in perception towards Ether ETFs may come to signal a switch in stance from the SEC. A speculative reason for that could be the upcoming US presidential election which has come to highlight that crypto users may play a defining role, especially in swing states.” Stoychev said

“人们对以太坊 ETF 看法的这种看似变化可能预示着 SEC 立场的转变。一个推测性的原因可能是即将到来的美国总统大选，这凸显出加密货币用户可能发挥决定性作用，尤其是在摇摆州。”斯托伊切夫说

The next deadline for the SEC approval is May 23rd and it is still uncertain whether it will be approved.

SEC 批准的下一个截止日期是 5 月 23 日，是否会获得批准仍存在不确定性。

Senior Bloomberg ETF analyst, Eric Balchunas, has raised the approval odds for this proposal to 75%, up from 25%. However, this increased likelihood only pertains to the 19b-4 form.

彭博 ETF 高级分析师 Eric Balchunas 已将该提案的批准几率从 25% 提高至 75%。然而，这种增加的可能性仅与 19b-4 形式有关。

Senior Bloomberg ETF analyst, Eric Balchunas, has raised the approval odds for this proposal to 75%, up from 25%. However, this increased likelihood only pertains to the 19b-4 form.

彭博 ETF 高级分析师 Eric Balchunas 已将该提案的批准几率从 25% 提高至 75%。然而，这种增加的可能性仅与 19b-4 形式有关。

However, Ether ETF issuers will also need to get their S-1 filings approved, according to Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart, who wrote in a May 20 X post:

然而，彭博 ETF 分析师 James Seyffart 在 5 月 20 日的一篇文章中写道，以太坊 ETF 发行人还需要获得 S-1 申请的批准：

“We also need S-1 approvals. It could be weeks to months before we see S-1 approvals and thus a live EtH ETF… That said, if we’re correct and we see these theoretical approvals later this week. It *should* mean that S-1 approvals are a matter of ‘When’ not ‘If’…” Seyffart tweeted.

“我们还需要 S-1 批准。可能需要几周到几个月的时间，我们才能看到 S-1 获得批准，从而看到 ETH ETF 的上线……也就是说，如果我们是正确的，我们会在本周晚些时候看到这些理论上的批准。这*应该*意味着 S-1 批准是一个‘何时’而不是‘如果’的问题……”Seyffart 发推文说。

Yunus Ozkaya, CEO and founder of the FreeBnk app, explained his own perspective on the issue saying the entire process could be delayed until 2025.

FreeBnk 应用程序的首席执行官兼创始人尤努斯·奥兹卡亚 (Yunus Ozkaya) 解释了他自己对此问题的看法，称整个流程可能会推迟到 2025 年。

“I am not expecting anything earlier than 2025 to be tradeable, including S-1 approval. However, when it does, it will have a really big positive effect on the market, even if S-1 approval takes more time. I am expecting they will approve it by May 23rd for Vaneck’s 19b-4 deadline.”

“我预计 2025 年之前不会有任何东西可以交易，包括 S-1 批准。然而，一旦实现，即使 S-1 的批准需要更多时间，也会对市场产生非常大的积极影响。我预计他们会在 5 月 23 日之前批准 Vaneck 的 19b-4 截止日期。”