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加密貨幣新聞文章

門羅幣陷入價格戰:阻力和下跌占主導地位

2024/04/21 22:32

門羅幣的價格長期維持在 110 美元至 180 美元的窄幅區間內。儘管兩年多來一直守在 100 美元大關,但價格最近面臨巨大的下行壓力,在 180 美元處遇到阻力。價格圖表中較低的高點和低點表明下降趨勢,200 日均線是上漲的障礙。此外,社群媒體意識和交易量的下降也加劇了看跌情緒,目前價格徘徊在 110 美元的多年低點附近。

門羅幣陷入價格戰:阻力和下跌占主導地位

Monero's Price Trajectory: A Comprehensive Analysis

門羅幣的價格軌跡:綜合分析

Monero (XMR), a privacy-centric cryptocurrency, has been embroiled in a protracted battle between the $180 and $110 price marks for the past year. The cryptocurrency has valiantly defended the $100 level for over two years, staunchly resisting bearish pressure.

門羅幣(XMR)是一種以隱私為中心的加密貨幣,在過去的一年裡,它捲入了 180 美元和 110 美元價格之間的曠日持久的戰鬥。兩年多來,這種加密貨幣勇敢地守住了 100 美元的水平,堅定地抵抗了看跌壓力。

Price Chart Analysis: A Tale of Resistance and Decline

價格圖表分析:阻力與下跌的故事

The Monero price chart reveals a pattern of resistance at the $180 mark, with significant selling pressure evident since the beginning of 2023. The price has been on a downward spiral, forming lower lows and lower highs. The failure to breach the 200-day exponential moving average since January underscores the sellers' dominance.

門羅幣價格圖表揭示了 180 美元關卡的阻力模式,自 2023 年初以來,拋售壓力明顯。自 1 月以來未能突破 200 天指數移動平均線,凸顯了賣方的主導地位。

Trendline Resistance and Support at $100

趨勢線阻力位和支撐位為 100 美元

For the past two months, Monero has encountered resistance at a trendline while simultaneously defending the $100 support level. The price has gravitated towards the $110 support level, dangerously close to its multi-year low.

過去兩個月,門羅幣在趨勢線遇到阻力,同時捍衛 100 美元的支撐位。價格已趨向 110 美元的支撐位,危險地接近其多年低點。

Market Cap and Supply Dynamics

市值和供應動態

In terms of market capitalization, Monero ranks 46th in the cryptocurrency market, with a fully diluted market cap of $2.17 billion. The circulating supply stands at 18,425,595 XMR.

就市值而言,門羅幣在加密貨幣市場排名第 46 位,完全稀釋後市值為 21.7 億美元。流通量為 18,425,595 XMR。

Volume and Price Analysis: A Disconnect

數量與價格分析:脫節

The volume and price graph paints a peculiar picture. Despite consistent trading volume, XMR's price has reacted negatively. A notable spike in trading volume occurred on March 28, 2024, an increase of approximately 600%, only to be followed by a swift decline within hours. These volume fluctuations have had a positive impact on the price.

成交量和價格圖表描繪了一幅奇特的畫面。儘管交易量穩定,XMR 的價格卻出現負面反應。 2024 年 3 月 28 日,交易量出現顯著飆升,成長約 600%,但隨後在數小時內迅速下降。這些成交量波動對價格產生了正面影響。

Social Media Sentiment: A Waning Presence

社群媒體情緒:逐漸減弱

The graph of social dominance and volume indicates a decline in social media awareness for Monero in recent weeks, contributing to the price decline. An uptick in social media presence may provide a catalyst for bullish momentum.

社交主導地位和交易量圖表表明,門羅幣最近幾週在社群媒體上的認知度下降,導致價格下跌。社群媒體影響力的增加可能會成為看漲勢頭的催化劑。

Technical Analysis: Bearish Bias Persists

技術分析:看跌偏見持續存在

On the daily timeframe, Monero has witnessed a gradual and steady decline. The price has consistently traded below significant moving averages, reflecting the prevailing negative sentiment. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 40 and below its moving average, further corroborating the bearish outlook.

從每日時間來看,門羅幣見證了逐漸穩定的下跌。該價格一直低於重要的移動平均線,反映了普遍的負面情緒。相對強弱指數 (RSI) 目前位於 40 且低於其移動平均線,進一步證實了看跌前景。

Parallel Channel Confinement: A Long-Term Trend

並行通道限制:長期趨勢

Monero's price has been confined within a parallel channel for over two years on a weekly timeframe. The price has struggled to climb above the 200-day exponential moving average, a crucial indicator of long-term trend. A breakout above this level could potentially propel the price towards the $200 mark.

兩年多來,門羅幣的價格一直被限制在每週時間範圍內的平行通道內。價格一直難以攀升至 200 天指數移動平均線上方,這是長期趨勢的關鍵指標。突破該水平可能會將價格推向 200 美元大關。

Conversely, a sustained drop below the $100 level could result in a sharp decline towards $77. Failure to hold the $77 level could trigger a protracted sell-off, potentially driving the price towards its historical lows.

相反,持續跌破 100 美元水準可能會導致急劇跌向 77 美元。如果未能守住 77 美元的水平,可能會引發長期拋售,從而可能將價格推向歷史低點。

Conclusion: A Bearish Outlook with Potential Upside

結論:看跌前景但有潛在上漲空間

The Monero price chart reveals the bears' dominance over the past several years. The cryptocurrency has been trapped within a narrow range between $180 and $110 for an extended period. Based on the current chart structure, Monero is likely to remain bearish as long as it remains below the $100 mark. A sustained rise above $200 could potentially ignite a sustained bull run.

門羅幣價格圖表揭示了過去幾年空頭的主導地位。該加密貨幣長期以來一直被困在 180 美元至 110 美元之間的窄幅區間內。根據目前的圖表結構,只要門羅幣保持在 100 美元大關下方,它就可能繼續看跌。持續上漲至 200 美元以上可能會引發持續的牛市。

Technical Levels

技術水平

  • Resistance Levels: $180, $142
  • Support Levels: $110, $100

Disclaimer:

阻力位:$180、$142 支撐位:$110、$100 免責聲明:

This article provides solely informational content and does not constitute financial, investment, or other advice. Neither the author nor any individuals mentioned in this article bear any responsibility for financial losses incurred from investing or trading in Monero. It is imperative to conduct thorough research before making any financial decisions.

本文僅提供資訊內容,並不構成財務、投資或其他建議。作者或本文提及的任何個人均不對因投資或交易門羅幣而造成的經濟損失承擔任何責任。在做出任何財務決策之前必須進行徹底的研究。

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2025年01月10日 其他文章發表於