门罗币陷入价格战：阻力和下跌占主导地位

门罗币的价格长期维持在 110 美元至 180 美元的窄幅区间内。尽管两年多来一直守在 100 美元大关，但价格最近面临着巨大的下行压力，在 180 美元处遇到阻力。价格图表中较低的高点和低点表明下降趋势，200 日均线是上涨的障碍。此外，社交媒体意识和交易量的下降也加剧了看跌情绪，目前价格徘徊在 110 美元的多年低点附近。

Monero's Price Trajectory: A Comprehensive Analysis

门罗币的价格轨迹：综合分析

Monero (XMR), a privacy-centric cryptocurrency, has been embroiled in a protracted battle between the $180 and $110 price marks for the past year. The cryptocurrency has valiantly defended the $100 level for over two years, staunchly resisting bearish pressure.

门罗币（XMR）是一种以隐私为中心的加密货币，在过去的一年里，它卷入了 180 美元和 110 美元价格之间的旷日持久的战斗。两年多来，这种加密货币勇敢地守住了 100 美元的水平，坚定地抵抗了看跌压力。

Price Chart Analysis: A Tale of Resistance and Decline

价格图表分析：阻力和下跌的故事

The Monero price chart reveals a pattern of resistance at the $180 mark, with significant selling pressure evident since the beginning of 2023. The price has been on a downward spiral, forming lower lows and lower highs. The failure to breach the 200-day exponential moving average since January underscores the sellers' dominance.

门罗币价格图表揭示了 180 美元关口的阻力模式，自 2023 年初以来，抛售压力明显。价格一直呈螺旋式下降，形成更低的低点和更低的高点。自 1 月份以来未能突破 200 天指数移动平均线，凸显了卖方的主导地位。

Trendline Resistance and Support at $100

趋势线阻力位和支撑位为 100 美元

For the past two months, Monero has encountered resistance at a trendline while simultaneously defending the $100 support level. The price has gravitated towards the $110 support level, dangerously close to its multi-year low.

过去两个月，门罗币在趋势线遇到阻力，同时捍卫 100 美元的支撑位。价格已趋向 110 美元的支撑位，危险地接近其多年低点。

Market Cap and Supply Dynamics

市值和供应动态

In terms of market capitalization, Monero ranks 46th in the cryptocurrency market, with a fully diluted market cap of $2.17 billion. The circulating supply stands at 18,425,595 XMR.

就市值而言，门罗币在加密货币市场排名第 46 位，完全稀释后市值为 21.7 亿美元。流通量为 18,425,595 XMR。

Volume and Price Analysis: A Disconnect

数量和价格分析：脱节

The volume and price graph paints a peculiar picture. Despite consistent trading volume, XMR's price has reacted negatively. A notable spike in trading volume occurred on March 28, 2024, an increase of approximately 600%, only to be followed by a swift decline within hours. These volume fluctuations have had a positive impact on the price.

成交量和价格图表描绘了一幅奇特的画面。尽管交易量稳定，XMR 的价格却出现负面反应。 2024 年 3 月 28 日，交易量出现显着飙升，增长约 600%，但随后在数小时内迅速下降。这些成交量波动对价格产生了积极影响。

Social Media Sentiment: A Waning Presence

社交媒体情绪：逐渐减弱

The graph of social dominance and volume indicates a decline in social media awareness for Monero in recent weeks, contributing to the price decline. An uptick in social media presence may provide a catalyst for bullish momentum.

社交主导地位和交易量图表表明，最近几周门罗币在社交媒体上的认知度有所下降，导致价格下跌。社交媒体影响力的增加可能会成为看涨势头的催化剂。

Technical Analysis: Bearish Bias Persists

技术分析：看跌偏见持续存在

On the daily timeframe, Monero has witnessed a gradual and steady decline. The price has consistently traded below significant moving averages, reflecting the prevailing negative sentiment. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 40 and below its moving average, further corroborating the bearish outlook.

从每日时间来看，门罗币见证了逐渐稳定的下跌。该价格一直低于重要的移动平均线，反映了普遍的负面情绪。相对强弱指数 (RSI) 目前位于 40 且低于其移动平均线，进一步证实了看跌前景。

Parallel Channel Confinement: A Long-Term Trend

并行通道限制：长期趋势

Monero's price has been confined within a parallel channel for over two years on a weekly timeframe. The price has struggled to climb above the 200-day exponential moving average, a crucial indicator of long-term trend. A breakout above this level could potentially propel the price towards the $200 mark.

两年多来，门罗币的价格一直被限制在每周时间范围内的平行通道内。价格一直难以攀升至 200 天指数移动平均线上方，这是长期趋势的关键指标。突破该水平可能会将价格推向 200 美元大关。

Conversely, a sustained drop below the $100 level could result in a sharp decline towards $77. Failure to hold the $77 level could trigger a protracted sell-off, potentially driving the price towards its historical lows.

相反，持续跌破 100 美元水平可能会导致急剧跌向 77 美元。如果未能守住 77 美元的水平，可能会引发长期抛售，从而可能将价格推向历史低点。

Conclusion: A Bearish Outlook with Potential Upside

结论：看跌前景但有潜在上涨空间

The Monero price chart reveals the bears' dominance over the past several years. The cryptocurrency has been trapped within a narrow range between $180 and $110 for an extended period. Based on the current chart structure, Monero is likely to remain bearish as long as it remains below the $100 mark. A sustained rise above $200 could potentially ignite a sustained bull run.

门罗币价格图表揭示了过去几年空头的主导地位。该加密货币长期以来一直被困在 180 美元至 110 美元之间的窄幅区间内。根据当前的图表结构，只要门罗币保持在 100 美元大关下方，它就可能继续看跌。持续上涨至 200 美元以上可能会引发持续的牛市。

Technical Levels

技术水平

• Resistance Levels: $180, $142
• Support Levels: $110, $100

Disclaimer:

阻力位：$180、$142 支撑位：$110、$100 免责声明：

This article provides solely informational content and does not constitute financial, investment, or other advice. Neither the author nor any individuals mentioned in this article bear any responsibility for financial losses incurred from investing or trading in Monero. It is imperative to conduct thorough research before making any financial decisions.

本文仅提供信息内容，并不构成财务、投资或其他建议。作者或本文提及的任何个人均不对因投资或交易门罗币而造成的经济损失承担任何责任。在做出任何财务决策之前必须进行彻底的研究。