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最近幾週,MicroStrategy 執行長、比特幣的堅定支持者 Michael Saylor 的大膽預測引起了轟動。
Fresh from an interview on CNBC a few days back, Michael Saylor, CEO of MicroStrategy and a staunch supporter of Bitcoin, has once again made waves with a bold prediction. In his characteristically optimistic style, Saylor asserted that “Bitcoin could reach 13 million dollars in 21 years.” An announcement that has certainly sparked reactions, both for its ambition and the outlook it projects on the global economy.
幾天前剛接受 CNBC 採訪的 MicroStrategy 執行長、比特幣的堅定支持者 Michael Saylor 再次以大膽的預測引起轟動。塞勒以他特有的樂觀風格斷言「比特幣可能在 21 年內達到 1300 萬美元」。這項聲明無疑引發了人們的反應,無論是其雄心壯志還是對全球經濟的展望。
To justify this prediction, he explained that Bitcoin would eventually capture a significant portion of global capital. His argument is that digital gold could represent “up to 7 % of the entire global capital” in the future.
為了證明這一預測的合理性,他解釋說,比特幣最終將佔據全球資本的很大一部分。他的論點是,數位黃金未來可能代表「全球資本總量的 7%」。
For him, this drastic increase in the value of Bitcoin would be the result of growing institutional adoption, the consolidation of its position as a safe-haven asset, and the intrinsic scarcity of crypto with its 21 million units in circulation. Saylor insisted that Bitcoin is on track to become the global benchmark in the years to come, a more stable and secure asset than fiat currencies subject to inflation and government manipulations.
對他來說,比特幣價值的大幅上漲將是機構採用率不斷提高、避險資產地位得到鞏固以及流通量達 2,100 萬單位的加密貨幣固有稀缺性的結果。塞勒堅稱,比特幣預計在未來幾年成為全球基準,是比受通貨膨脹和政府操縱影響的法定貨幣更穩定、更安全的資產。
However, this hyper-optimistic vision is far from convincing everyone in the crypto world. Some experts remind that although Bitcoin has seen growing institutional adoption in recent years, predicting such a valuation remains highly speculative.
然而,這種過度樂觀的願景還遠遠不能說服加密世界的所有人。一些專家提醒說,儘管近年來比特幣越來越多地被機構採用,但預測這樣的估值仍然具有高度的投機性。
Similarly, many investors did not hesitate to criticize this prediction and label it as unrealistic. According to them, Bitcoin will remain a volatile asset and will never reach the levels suggested by Saylor. They believe that regulation and possible alternatives are major obstacles to this vision.
同樣,許多投資者毫不猶豫地批評這項預測,並將其貼上不切實際的標籤。他們表示,比特幣仍將是一種不穩定的資產,永遠不會達到塞勒建議的水平。他們認為監管和可能的替代方案是實現這一願景的主要障礙。
Beyond the criticisms, it must be acknowledged that Bitcoin would have to overcome a myriad of technical and regulatory challenges to achieve such a valuation. Stricter regulations, particularly in the United States and Europe, could hinder its expansion, while energy issues linked to mining would continue to affect its adoption.
除了批評之外,必須承認,比特幣必須克服無數的技術和監管挑戰才能實現這樣的估值。更嚴格的法規,特別是在美國和歐洲,可能會阻礙其擴張,而與採礦相關的能源問題將繼續影響其採用。
Michael Saylor’s predictions, as bold as they are, paint a clear vision of a future where Bitcoin could play a central role in the global economy. Nevertheless, this perspective confronts concrete realities and doubts within the crypto community. While Bitcoin supporters see Saylor as a visionary, others consider him an excessively optimistic figure.
邁克爾·塞勒(Michael Saylor)的預測雖然大膽,但描繪了比特幣可以在全球經濟中發揮核心作用的未來的清晰願景。然而,這種觀點面臨加密社群內的具體現實和疑慮。雖然比特幣支持者認為塞勒是一位有遠見的人,但其他人則認為他是個過於樂觀的人物。
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