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最近几周,MicroStrategy 首席执行官、比特币的坚定支持者 Michael Saylor 的大胆预测引起了轰动。
Fresh from an interview on CNBC a few days back, Michael Saylor, CEO of MicroStrategy and a staunch supporter of Bitcoin, has once again made waves with a bold prediction. In his characteristically optimistic style, Saylor asserted that “Bitcoin could reach 13 million dollars in 21 years.” An announcement that has certainly sparked reactions, both for its ambition and the outlook it projects on the global economy.
几天前刚刚接受 CNBC 采访的 MicroStrategy 首席执行官、比特币的坚定支持者 Michael Saylor 再次以大胆的预测引起轰动。塞勒以他特有的乐观风格断言“比特币可能在 21 年内达到 1300 万美元”。这一声明无疑引发了人们的反应,无论是其雄心还是对全球经济的展望。
To justify this prediction, he explained that Bitcoin would eventually capture a significant portion of global capital. His argument is that digital gold could represent “up to 7 % of the entire global capital” in the future.
为了证明这一预测的合理性,他解释说,比特币最终将占据全球资本的很大一部分。他的论点是,数字黄金未来可能代表“全球资本总量的 7%”。
For him, this drastic increase in the value of Bitcoin would be the result of growing institutional adoption, the consolidation of its position as a safe-haven asset, and the intrinsic scarcity of crypto with its 21 million units in circulation. Saylor insisted that Bitcoin is on track to become the global benchmark in the years to come, a more stable and secure asset than fiat currencies subject to inflation and government manipulations.
对他来说,比特币价值的大幅上涨将是机构采用率不断提高、避险资产地位得到巩固以及流通量达 2100 万单位的加密货币固有稀缺性的结果。塞勒坚称,比特币有望在未来几年成为全球基准,是一种比受通货膨胀和政府操纵影响的法定货币更稳定、更安全的资产。
However, this hyper-optimistic vision is far from convincing everyone in the crypto world. Some experts remind that although Bitcoin has seen growing institutional adoption in recent years, predicting such a valuation remains highly speculative.
然而,这种过度乐观的愿景还远远不能说服加密世界的所有人。一些专家提醒说,尽管比特币近年来越来越多地被机构采用,但预测这样的估值仍然具有高度的投机性。
Similarly, many investors did not hesitate to criticize this prediction and label it as unrealistic. According to them, Bitcoin will remain a volatile asset and will never reach the levels suggested by Saylor. They believe that regulation and possible alternatives are major obstacles to this vision.
同样,许多投资者毫不犹豫地批评这一预测,并将其贴上不切实际的标签。他们表示,比特币仍将是一种不稳定的资产,永远不会达到塞勒建议的水平。他们认为监管和可能的替代方案是实现这一愿景的主要障碍。
Beyond the criticisms, it must be acknowledged that Bitcoin would have to overcome a myriad of technical and regulatory challenges to achieve such a valuation. Stricter regulations, particularly in the United States and Europe, could hinder its expansion, while energy issues linked to mining would continue to affect its adoption.
除了批评之外,必须承认,比特币必须克服无数的技术和监管挑战才能实现这样的估值。更严格的法规,特别是在美国和欧洲,可能会阻碍其扩张,而与采矿相关的能源问题将继续影响其采用。
Michael Saylor’s predictions, as bold as they are, paint a clear vision of a future where Bitcoin could play a central role in the global economy. Nevertheless, this perspective confronts concrete realities and doubts within the crypto community. While Bitcoin supporters see Saylor as a visionary, others consider him an excessively optimistic figure.
迈克尔·塞勒(Michael Saylor)的预测虽然大胆,但描绘了比特币可以在全球经济中发挥核心作用的未来的清晰愿景。然而,这种观点面临着加密社区内的具体现实和疑虑。虽然比特币支持者认为塞勒是一位有远见的人,但其他人则认为他是一个过于乐观的人物。
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