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目前降息 50 個基點的可能性約為 29%,與上週拋硬幣的可能性相比有所下降。聯準會封鎖期已經開始。
Major central bank decisions will be in focus after the US jobs report last week.
上週美國就業報告公佈後,央行的主要決策將成為焦點。
The odds for a 50 bps rate cut by the Fed next week are now at ~29%, down from roughly a coin flip at one point last week.
聯準會下週降息 50 個基點的可能性目前約為 29%,比上週拋硬幣的可能性略低。
The Fed blackout period has begun, so it would be safe to assume that policymakers are comfortable with a 25 bps move at this stage.
聯準會封鎖期已經開始,因此可以放心地假設政策制定者對現階段升息 25 個基點感到滿意。
The dollar is keeping steadier as such, with some calm permeating back through markets.
美元保持穩定,市場恢復平靜。
The overblown fears surrounding the US labour market are ebbing, which is perhaps helping.
圍繞美國勞動力市場的過度擔憂正在消退,這或許有所幫助。
That alongside the Fed's own calm demeanour I would say.
我想說的是,除了聯準會本身的冷靜態度之外。
This will make for a bit of a pensive week as we await the FOMC meeting next week.
當我們等待下週的聯邦公開市場委員會會議時,這將是一個令人沉思的一周。
The ECB is on the agenda on Thursday but there shouldn't be any fireworks. A 25 bps rate cut is well orchestrated already.
歐洲央行週四已列入議程,但不應該有任何煙火。降息 25 個基點已經精心策劃。
Besides that, we will have the latest US CPI report tomorrow. But hey, what is inflation data these days?
除此之外,明天我們也將公佈最新的美國CPI報告。但是,嘿,現在的通膨數據是什麼?
Looking to the session ahead, we do have UK labour market data to work with.
展望未來會議,我們確實有英國勞動市場數據可供參考。
But again, there is a large caveat attached to the data as seen last month here.
但同樣,上個月的數據有一個很大的警告。
So, I wouldn't put too much emphasis into it.
所以,我不會過度強調它。
Other than that, there will just be some light data to move things along on the day.
除此之外,當天只會有一些簡單的數據來推動事情的發展。
0600 GMT - Germany August final CPI figures
0600 GMT - 德國 8 月最終 CPI 數據
0600 GMT - UK July ILO unemployment rate, employment change
0600 GMT - 英國 7 月國際勞工組織失業率、就業變化
0600 GMT - UK July average weekly earnings
0600 GMT - 英國 7 月平均週收入
0600 GMT - UK August payrolls change
0600 GMT - 英國 8 月就業人數變化
1000 GMT - US August NFIB small business optimism index
1000 GMT - 美國 8 月 NFIB 小企業樂觀指數
That's all for the session ahead. I wish you all the best of days to come and good luck with your trading! Stay safe out there.
這就是接下來的會議的全部內容。祝您未來一切順利,交易順利!在那裡保持安全。
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