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目前降息 50 个基点的可能性约为 29%,与上周抛硬币的可能性相比有所下降。美联储封锁期已经开始。
Major central bank decisions will be in focus after the US jobs report last week.
上周美国就业报告公布后,央行的主要决策将成为焦点。
The odds for a 50 bps rate cut by the Fed next week are now at ~29%, down from roughly a coin flip at one point last week.
美联储下周降息 50 个基点的可能性目前约为 29%,比上周抛硬币的可能性略低。
The Fed blackout period has begun, so it would be safe to assume that policymakers are comfortable with a 25 bps move at this stage.
美联储封锁期已经开始,因此可以放心地假设政策制定者对现阶段加息 25 个基点感到满意。
The dollar is keeping steadier as such, with some calm permeating back through markets.
美元保持稳定,市场恢复平静。
The overblown fears surrounding the US labour market are ebbing, which is perhaps helping.
围绕美国劳动力市场的过度担忧正在消退,这或许有所帮助。
That alongside the Fed's own calm demeanour I would say.
我想说的是,除了美联储本身的冷静态度之外。
This will make for a bit of a pensive week as we await the FOMC meeting next week.
当我们等待下周的联邦公开市场委员会会议时,这将是一个令人沉思的一周。
The ECB is on the agenda on Thursday but there shouldn't be any fireworks. A 25 bps rate cut is well orchestrated already.
欧洲央行周四已列入议程,但不应该有任何烟花。降息 25 个基点已经精心策划。
Besides that, we will have the latest US CPI report tomorrow. But hey, what is inflation data these days?
此外,明天我们还将公布最新的美国CPI报告。但是,嘿,现在的通胀数据是什么?
Looking to the session ahead, we do have UK labour market data to work with.
展望未来会议,我们确实有英国劳动力市场数据可供参考。
But again, there is a large caveat attached to the data as seen last month here.
但同样,上个月的数据有一个很大的警告。
So, I wouldn't put too much emphasis into it.
所以,我不会过分强调它。
Other than that, there will just be some light data to move things along on the day.
除此之外,当天只会有一些简单的数据来推动事情的发展。
0600 GMT - Germany August final CPI figures
0600 GMT - 德国 8 月最终 CPI 数据
0600 GMT - UK July ILO unemployment rate, employment change
0600 GMT - 英国 7 月国际劳工组织失业率、就业变化
0600 GMT - UK July average weekly earnings
0600 GMT - 英国 7 月平均周收入
0600 GMT - UK August payrolls change
0600 GMT - 英国 8 月就业人数变化
1000 GMT - US August NFIB small business optimism index
1000 GMT - 美国 8 月 NFIB 小企业乐观指数
That's all for the session ahead. I wish you all the best of days to come and good luck with your trading! Stay safe out there.
这就是接下来的会议的全部内容。祝您未来一切顺利,交易顺利!在那里保持安全。
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