比特幣跌跌撞撞時，黃金飆升：避風港狀況的戰鬥仍在繼續

金融市場處於邊緣狀態，作為避風港資產，黃金和比特幣之間的戰鬥再次成為人們關注的焦點。最近

As geopolitical tensions escalate and markets experience volatility, the age-old debate regarding safe haven assets resurfaces. In this context, gold and Bitcoin have been attracting attention, with varying degrees of success.

隨著地緣政治緊張局勢的升級和市場經歷的波動，有關避風港資產的古老辯論浮出水面。在這種情況下，黃金和比特幣引起了人們的關注，並取得了不同程度的成功。

Recent statements by former President Donald Trump regarding a potential U.S. occupation of Gaza have sent shockwaves through global markets, prompting investors to seek safe havens. While gold has been thriving in this scenario, Bitcoin, touted as a modern safe haven, continues to grapple with its volatile nature.

前總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）關於美國對加沙的潛在佔領的最新聲明已通過全球市場造成衝擊波，促使投資者尋求避風港。儘管黃金在這種情況下一直在蓬勃發展，但被吹捧為現代避風港的比特幣繼續努力應對其動蕩的性質。

During the early months of 2023, gold has witnessed an impressive rally, surging by 9% and reaching record highs, trading close to $2,882 per ounce. This surge underscores gold's enduring role as a reliable store of value during periods of geopolitical turmoil and financial instability.

在2023年初，戈德（Gold）見證了令人印象深刻的集會，飆升了9％，達到了創紀錄的高潮，交易近接近每盎司2,882美元。在地緣政治動盪和金融不穩定期間，這一激增強調了黃金作為可靠的價值存儲的持久作用。

In contrast, Bitcoin has only managed a modest 3% gain, remaining 10% below its peak for the year. This sluggish performance has raised questions about Bitcoin's status as a safe haven, especially as gold appears to be dominating the scene once again.

相比之下，比特幣僅管理了3％的幅度3％，剩下的10％低於其當年的峰值。這種緩慢的表現引起了人們對比特幣作為避風港的地位的疑問，尤其是因為黃金似乎再次佔據了現場。

According to Aoifinn Devitt, an investment advisor at Moneta Group, Bitcoin's struggles to keep pace with gold during this crisis can be attributed to its reputation for volatility. Despite being touted as a potential hedge against fiat currencies, Devitt notes that in times of uncertainty, Bitcoin is often viewed as too experimental. The strength of the dollar has further impacted Bitcoin's appeal, with many investors opting for the proven reliability of gold.

據Moneta Group的投資顧問Aoifinn Devitt稱，比特幣在這場危機期間努力與黃金保持同步的努力可以歸因於其波動性的聲譽。儘管被吹捧為針對法定貨幣的潛在對沖，但德維特指出，在不確定性時期，比特幣通常被視為過於實驗性。美元的實力進一步影響了比特幣的吸引力，許多投資者選擇獲得黃金的可靠性。

The following statistics highlight this disparity:

以下統計數據強調了這種差異：

Gold soared by 9% at the beginning of the year, reaching record highs and setting itself up for a potential rally to $4,000.

黃金在今年年初飆升了9％，達到了創紀錄的高點，並為潛在的集會增長了4,000美元。

Bitcoin, on the other hand, only managed a 3% gain, remaining quite distant from its peak for the year.

另一方面，比特幣僅管理了3％的收益，與當年的高峰保持遠處。

As Bitcoin faces an uncertain future, gold's allure continues to grow amid rising economic uncertainties. Investors, anxious over escalating trade tensions and geopolitical risks, are rushing to acquire the precious metal. Adrian Day, a respected market analyst, predicts that gold could skyrocket to $4,000 in the coming year, reflecting the growing desire for stability in a tumultuous financial environment.

隨著比特幣面臨不確定的未來，由於經濟不確定性的增長，黃金的魅力繼續增長。投資者擔心貿易緊張局勢和地緣政治風險，急於購買貴金屬。受人尊敬的市場分析師阿德里安·戴（Adrian Day）預測，在來年，黃金可能會飆升至4,000美元，這反映了在動蕩的金融環境中對穩定的日益增長的渴望。

Central banks, particularly in the United States and China, are playing a significant role in this scenario. The U.S. is making large-scale purchases of gold, driving up prices, while China is discreetly accumulating gold by diverting supply chains and encouraging local mining and investment.

中央銀行，特別是在美國和中國，在這種情況下發揮了重要作用。美國正在大規模購買黃金，提高價格，而中國通過轉移供應鏈並鼓勵當地採礦和投資來謹慎地積累黃金。

The focus remains clear - both powers are working to diversify away from the dollar, cementing gold's future as a leading safe haven in the current economic climate.

重點仍然很明顯 - 兩項權力都在努力從美元上多樣化，鞏固了黃金作為當前經濟環境中領先的避風港的未來。

While Bitcoin enthusiasts continue to champion the digital asset's future, it has not yet proven itself as a safe haven. Volatility, regulatory challenges, and market skepticism continue to weigh heavily on Bitcoin’s potential to rival gold's trustworthy status during times of global instability.

儘管比特幣愛好者繼續倡導數字資產的未來，但尚未證明自己是避風港。波動性，監管挑戰和市場懷疑態度繼續嚴重影響比特幣在全球不穩定時期與黃金的可信賴地位相比的潛力。

However, some Bitcoin supporters remain optimistic about its future. The launch of Bitcoin ETFs could reduce volatility and attract institutional investment, helping to strengthen Bitcoin’s position as a potential safe haven. But for now, gold remains the go-to choice for investors seeking security.

但是，一些比特幣支持者對其未來保持樂觀。比特幣ETF的推出可以降低波動率並吸引機構投資，從而有助於加強比特幣作為潛在的避風港的地位。但是目前，對於尋求安全的投資者來說，黃金仍然是首選。

Interestingly, while traditional investors are flocking to gold, some of the ultra-wealthy are taking a different approach. Michael Sonnenfeld, founder of Tiger21, revealed that his members have allocated nearly $6 billion to Bitcoin investments. This suggests that for certain investors, even Bitcoin’s volatility is considered a luxury, potentially offering high returns despite the risks involved.

有趣的是，儘管傳統投資者湧向黃金，但一些超級富裕的人正在採取不同的方法。 Tiger21的創始人邁克爾·索南菲爾德（Michael Sonnenfeld）透露，他的成員已向比特幣投資分配了近60億美元。這表明，對於某些投資者來說，即使是比特幣的波動性也被認為是一種奢侈品，儘管涉及風險，但仍可能提供高回報。

In the ongoing battle for safe haven status, gold is still leading the race, especially in the face of geopolitical uncertainty and market turbulence. While Bitcoin's future certainly looks bright to its enthusiasts, it still has a long way to go before it can truly challenge gold's status as the ultimate safe haven asset.

在持續爭取避風港地位的鬥爭中，黃金仍在領導比賽中，尤其是面對地緣政治不確定性和市場動盪。儘管比特幣的未來對其發燒友來說肯定是光明的，但在它真正挑戰Gold作為最終的避風港資產的地位之前，還有很長的路要走。

The divide between traditional investors and the ultra-wealthy investors in Bitcoin also highlights a larger trend - Gold remains a refuge in times of crisis, while Bitcoin appeals to a newer, more risk-tolerant breed of investor.

傳統投資者與比特幣的超級富裕投資者之間的鴻溝也突出了一個更大的趨勢 - 在危機時期，黃金仍然是一個避難所，而比特幣吸引了更新，更具風險的投資者。