比特币跌跌撞撞时，黄金飙升：避风港状况的战斗仍在继续

金融市场处于边缘状态，作为避风港资产，黄金和比特币之间的战斗再次成为人们关注的焦点。最近

As geopolitical tensions escalate and markets experience volatility, the age-old debate regarding safe haven assets resurfaces. In this context, gold and Bitcoin have been attracting attention, with varying degrees of success.

随着地缘政治紧张局势的升级和市场经历的波动，有关避风港资产的古老辩论浮出水面。在这种情况下，黄金和比特币引起了人们的关注，并取得了不同程度的成功。

Recent statements by former President Donald Trump regarding a potential U.S. occupation of Gaza have sent shockwaves through global markets, prompting investors to seek safe havens. While gold has been thriving in this scenario, Bitcoin, touted as a modern safe haven, continues to grapple with its volatile nature.

前总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）关于美国对加沙的潜在占领的最新声明已通过全球市场造成冲击波，促使投资者寻求避风港。尽管黄金在这种情况下一直在蓬勃发展，但被吹捧为现代避风港的比特币继续努力应对其动荡的性质。

During the early months of 2023, gold has witnessed an impressive rally, surging by 9% and reaching record highs, trading close to $2,882 per ounce. This surge underscores gold's enduring role as a reliable store of value during periods of geopolitical turmoil and financial instability.

在2023年初，戈德（Gold）见证了令人印象深刻的集会，飙升了9％，达到了创纪录的高潮，交易近接近每盎司2,882美元。在地缘政治动荡和金融不稳定期间，这一激增强调了黄金作为可靠的价值存储的持久作用。

In contrast, Bitcoin has only managed a modest 3% gain, remaining 10% below its peak for the year. This sluggish performance has raised questions about Bitcoin's status as a safe haven, especially as gold appears to be dominating the scene once again.

相比之下，比特币仅管理了3％的幅度3％，剩下的10％低于其当年的峰值。这种缓慢的表现引起了人们对比特币作为避风港的地位的疑问，尤其是因为黄金似乎再次占据了现场。

According to Aoifinn Devitt, an investment advisor at Moneta Group, Bitcoin's struggles to keep pace with gold during this crisis can be attributed to its reputation for volatility. Despite being touted as a potential hedge against fiat currencies, Devitt notes that in times of uncertainty, Bitcoin is often viewed as too experimental. The strength of the dollar has further impacted Bitcoin's appeal, with many investors opting for the proven reliability of gold.

据Moneta Group的投资顾问Aoifinn Devitt称，比特币在这场危机期间努力与黄金保持同步的努力可以归因于其波动性的声誉。尽管被吹捧为针对法定货币的潜在对冲，但德维特指出，在不确定性时期，比特币通常被视为过于实验性。美元的实力进一步影响了比特币的吸引力，许多投资者选择获得黄金的可靠性。

The following statistics highlight this disparity:

以下统计数据强调了这种差异：

Gold soared by 9% at the beginning of the year, reaching record highs and setting itself up for a potential rally to $4,000.

黄金在今年年初飙升了9％，达到了创纪录的高点，并为潜在的集会增长了4,000美元。

Bitcoin, on the other hand, only managed a 3% gain, remaining quite distant from its peak for the year.

另一方面，比特币仅管理了3％的收益，与当年的高峰保持远处。

As Bitcoin faces an uncertain future, gold's allure continues to grow amid rising economic uncertainties. Investors, anxious over escalating trade tensions and geopolitical risks, are rushing to acquire the precious metal. Adrian Day, a respected market analyst, predicts that gold could skyrocket to $4,000 in the coming year, reflecting the growing desire for stability in a tumultuous financial environment.

随着比特币面临不确定的未来，由于经济不确定性的增长，黄金的魅力继续增长。投资者担心贸易紧张局势和地缘政治风险，急于购买贵金属。受人尊敬的市场分析师阿德里安·戴（Adrian Day）预测，在来年，黄金可能会飙升至4,000美元，这反映了在动荡的金融环境中对稳定的日益增长的渴望。

Central banks, particularly in the United States and China, are playing a significant role in this scenario. The U.S. is making large-scale purchases of gold, driving up prices, while China is discreetly accumulating gold by diverting supply chains and encouraging local mining and investment.

中央银行，特别是在美国和中国，在这种情况下发挥了重要作用。美国正在大规模购买黄金，提高价格，而中国通过转移供应链并鼓励当地采矿和投资来谨慎地积累黄金。

The focus remains clear - both powers are working to diversify away from the dollar, cementing gold's future as a leading safe haven in the current economic climate.

重点仍然很明显 - 两项权力都在努力从美元上多样化，巩固了黄金作为当前经济环境中领先的避风港的未来。

While Bitcoin enthusiasts continue to champion the digital asset's future, it has not yet proven itself as a safe haven. Volatility, regulatory challenges, and market skepticism continue to weigh heavily on Bitcoin’s potential to rival gold's trustworthy status during times of global instability.

尽管比特币爱好者继续倡导数字资产的未来，但尚未证明自己是避风港。波动性，监管挑战和市场怀疑态度继续严重影响比特币在全球不稳定时期与黄金的可信赖地位相比的潜力。

However, some Bitcoin supporters remain optimistic about its future. The launch of Bitcoin ETFs could reduce volatility and attract institutional investment, helping to strengthen Bitcoin’s position as a potential safe haven. But for now, gold remains the go-to choice for investors seeking security.

但是，一些比特币支持者对其未来保持乐观。比特币ETF的推出可以降低波动率并吸引机构投资，从而有助于加强比特币作为潜在的避风港的地位。但是目前，对于寻求安全的投资者来说，黄金仍然是首选。

Interestingly, while traditional investors are flocking to gold, some of the ultra-wealthy are taking a different approach. Michael Sonnenfeld, founder of Tiger21, revealed that his members have allocated nearly $6 billion to Bitcoin investments. This suggests that for certain investors, even Bitcoin’s volatility is considered a luxury, potentially offering high returns despite the risks involved.

有趣的是，尽管传统投资者涌向黄金，但一些超级富裕的人正在采取不同的方法。 Tiger21的创始人迈克尔·索南菲尔德（Michael Sonnenfeld）透露，他的成员已向比特币投资分配了近60亿美元。这表明，对于某些投资者来说，即使是比特币的波动性也被认为是一种奢侈品，尽管涉及风险，但仍可能提供高回报。

In the ongoing battle for safe haven status, gold is still leading the race, especially in the face of geopolitical uncertainty and market turbulence. While Bitcoin's future certainly looks bright to its enthusiasts, it still has a long way to go before it can truly challenge gold's status as the ultimate safe haven asset.

在持续争取避风港地位的斗争中，黄金仍在领导比赛中，尤其是面对地缘政治不确定性和市场动荡。尽管比特币的未来对其发烧友来说肯定是光明的，但在它真正挑战Gold作为最终的避风港资产的地位之前，还有很长的路要走。

The divide between traditional investors and the ultra-wealthy investors in Bitcoin also highlights a larger trend - Gold remains a refuge in times of crisis, while Bitcoin appeals to a newer, more risk-tolerant breed of investor.

传统投资者与比特币的超级富裕投资者之间的鸿沟也突出了一个更大的趋势 - 在危机时期，黄金仍然是一个避难所，而比特币吸引了更新，更具风险的投资者。