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加密貨幣新聞文章

以太坊(ETH)價格預測:ETH會收回2,000美元的門檻嗎?

2025/03/18 20:23

以太坊是市值第二大加密貨幣,一直在努力收回2,000美元的門檻

Ethereum price has struggled to break back above the $2,000 mark after dropping below it on March 11. This marks the first time that ETH has traded under this price level since December 2023.

以太坊的價格在3月11日下降到低於$ 2,000的$ 2,000大牌上一直在努力打破。這標誌著ETH自2023年12月以來首次在此價格水平下進行交易。

However, despite the recent weakness, multiple technical indicators and historical patterns suggest that a recovery may be on the horizon. The current situation has also drawn attention from analysts who point to similarities with previous market cycles.

但是,儘管最近有弱點,但多個技術指標和歷史模式表明,恢復可能正在範圍內。當前情況也引起了分析師的注意,他們指出與以前的市場週期相似的分析師。

Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) currently shows positive readings, which indicates that buying pressure is increasing. This metric measures the flow of money in and out of a cryptocurrency.

Chaikin貨幣流(CMF)目前顯示出積極的讀數,這表明購買壓力正在增加。該度量標準衡量貨幣在加密貨幣中進出。

When CMF readings remain positive, it often means that sellers are losing control. This reduced selling pressure makes it less likely that ETH will drop toward the $1,500 level that some analysts had predicted.

當CMF讀數保持正面時,通常意味著賣方失去控制。這種降低的銷售壓力使ETH降低一些分析師預測的1,500美元水平的可能性較小。

On-chain data also paints a hopeful picture. The Bulls and Bears indicator, which tracks addresses buying and selling at least 1% of total trading volume, shows that bulls now outnumber bears.

鏈上的數據還描繪了一個希望的圖片。該跟踪的公牛和熊指標涉及買賣總交易量的至少1%,這表明公牛現在人數超過了熊。

This shift in market dynamics indicates that buying pressure is rising. If this trend continues, ETH may avoid another price correction and instead start moving upward.

市場動態的這種轉變表明購買壓力正在上升。如果這種趨勢持續下去,ETH可能會避免另一次價格糾正,而是開始向上移動。

Looking at the 4-hour price chart, ETH is currently trading within a descending triangle pattern. The price has held above the horizontal support line, which is a positive sign.

從4小時的價格表中,ETH目前正在以降落的三角形模式進行交易。價格已在水平支撐線上方,這是一個積極的信號。

Another bullish signal comes from the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, which has turned positive. This suggests growing momentum that could help push ETH’s price higher in the near term.

另一個看漲信號來自移動平均值收斂差異(MACD)指標,該指標變為正。這表明增長的勢頭可以幫助您在短期內提高ETH的價格。

If these bullish indicators hold true, Ethereum could climb to $2,187 in the short term. With increased buying pressure, the price might even reach $2,520.

如果這些看漲指標成立,以太坊在短期內可以攀升至2,187美元。隨著購買壓力的增加,價格甚至可能達到2,520美元。

However, analysts warn that if ETH fails to break through the upper trendline of the triangle pattern, the bullish outlook might not materialize. In this scenario, the price could fall back to $1,762.

但是,分析師警告說,如果ETH未能突破三角形模式的上流趨勢線,看漲的前景可能無法實現。在這種情況下,價格可能會返回到1,762美元。

Historical patterns offer additional reasons for optimism. Several analysts have noted that ETH’s current price action mirrors patterns seen in 2017 and 2020, both of which preceded major bull runs.

歷史模式為樂觀提供了其他理由。幾位分析師指出,ETH的當前價格動作反映了2017年和2020年的模式,這兩者都在大公牛奔跑之前。

The 2017 pattern showed a five-wave accumulation phase before ETH surged 50x in value. A similar structure appears to be forming in 2025, suggesting another strong move could be imminent.

2017年的模式在ETH的價值上升50倍之前顯示出五波積累階段。似乎在2025年形成了類似的結構,這表明可能迫在眉睫。

Ethereum is also currently retesting a five-year support trendline that has marked major cycle bottoms in the past. This includes the March 2020 crash and the post-FTX collapse in 2022.

Ethereum目前還正在重新測試一個五年的支持趨勢線,該趨勢線在過去曾是主要周期底部。這包括2020年3月的墜機事故和2022年FTX後崩潰。

Each time ETH has touched this long-term trendline, it has bounced back with force. If history repeats, this current retest could set the stage for another upward move.

每當ETH觸及這種長期趨勢線時,它都會用武力反彈。如果歷史重複,此電流的重新測試可能會為另一個向上移動奠定基礎。

Another interesting comparison comes from the 2020 market cycle. After the COVID-19 crash, ETH formed a pattern similar to what we’re seeing now, before launching into a rally that eventually took it to an all-time high above $4,800.

另一個有趣的比較來自2020年市場週期。在Covid-19崩潰之後,ETH形成了與我們現在所看到的類似模式,然後開始進行集會,最終將其達到了4,800美元以上的歷史最高水平。

The weekly Stochastic Relative Strength Index (RSI) also suggests ETH is oversold at current prices. When the fast line crosses above the slow line in the oversold zone, it often signals an upcoming rebound.

每週的隨機相對強度指數(RSI)還表明,ETH以目前的價格超額售出。當快速線在超售區的慢速線上越過線上時,它通常標誌著即將進行的反彈。

Ethereum faces headwinds from decreased transaction volumes and growing competition from other Layer-1 blockchains like Solana. These factors have contributed to ETH’s 40% drop in market cap since the start of 2025.

以太坊會因交易量減少而面臨逆風,以及來自Solana等其他1層區塊鏈的競爭不斷增長。自2025年初以來,這些因素導致ETH的市值下降了40%。

However, upcoming catalysts could reignite interest in Ethereum. The Pectra upgrade and potential Wall Street expansion may drive new capital into the ETH market.

但是,即將到來的催化劑可能會重新點燃對以太坊的興趣。 Pectra升級和潛在的華爾街擴張可能會將新資本帶入ETH市場。

Sentiment around Ethereum has reached extremely bearish levels, which contrarian investors often view as a signal that the market may be near a bottom. As one analyst put it, the eventual reversal could become “the most hated rally ever seen in crypto.”

以太坊的情感達到了極端看跌水平,逆勢投資者經常將其視為市場可能接近底部的信號。正如一位分析師所說,最終的逆轉可能會成為“加密有史以來最討厭的集會”。

For ETH to maintain its recovery hopes, the price must stay above $1,861 and eventually retest the $2,227 level. Failure to hold these levels could lead to further price drops.

為了使ETH保持其恢復希望,價格必須保持在1,861美元以上,並最終重新測試2,227美元的水平。無法保持這些水平可能會導致進一步的價格下跌。

As of March 18, 2025, Ethereum trades at $1,911, showing a slight 0.9% increase over the previous 24 hours. The coming weeks will likely determine whether ETH can break its downtrend and begin a new upward cycle.

截至2025年3月18日,以太坊的交易價格為1,911美元,比前24小時增加了0.9%。接下來的幾周可能會決定ETH是否可以破壞其下降趨勢並開始新的向上週期。

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