以太坊（ETH）价格预测：ETH会收回2,000美元的门槛吗？

以太坊是市值第二大加密货币，一直在努力收回2,000美元的门槛

Ethereum price has struggled to break back above the $2,000 mark after dropping below it on March 11. This marks the first time that ETH has traded under this price level since December 2023.

以太坊的价格在3月11日下降到低于$ 2,000的$ 2,000大牌上一直在努力打破。这标志着ETH自2023年12月以来首次在此价格水平下进行交易。

However, despite the recent weakness, multiple technical indicators and historical patterns suggest that a recovery may be on the horizon. The current situation has also drawn attention from analysts who point to similarities with previous market cycles.

但是，尽管最近有弱点，但多个技术指标和历史模式表明，恢复可能正在范围内。当前情况也引起了分析师的注意，他们指出与以前的市场周期相似的分析师。

Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) currently shows positive readings, which indicates that buying pressure is increasing. This metric measures the flow of money in and out of a cryptocurrency.

Chaikin货币流（CMF）目前显示出积极的读数，这表明购买压力正在增加。该度量标准衡量货币在加密货币中进出。

When CMF readings remain positive, it often means that sellers are losing control. This reduced selling pressure makes it less likely that ETH will drop toward the $1,500 level that some analysts had predicted.

当CMF读数保持正面时，通常意味着卖方失去控制。这种降低的销售压力使ETH降低一些分析师预测的1,500美元水平的可能性较小。

On-chain data also paints a hopeful picture. The Bulls and Bears indicator, which tracks addresses buying and selling at least 1% of total trading volume, shows that bulls now outnumber bears.

链上的数据还描绘了一个希望的图片。该跟踪的公牛和熊指标涉及买卖总交易量的至少1％，这表明公牛现在人数超过了熊。

This shift in market dynamics indicates that buying pressure is rising. If this trend continues, ETH may avoid another price correction and instead start moving upward.

市场动态的这种转变表明购买压力正在上升。如果这种趋势持续下去，ETH可能会避免另一次价格纠正，而是开始向上移动。

Looking at the 4-hour price chart, ETH is currently trading within a descending triangle pattern. The price has held above the horizontal support line, which is a positive sign.

从4小时的价格表中，ETH目前正在以降落的三角形模式进行交易。价格已在水平支撑线上方，这是一个积极的信号。

Another bullish signal comes from the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, which has turned positive. This suggests growing momentum that could help push ETH’s price higher in the near term.

另一个看涨信号来自移动平均值收敛差异（MACD）指标，该指标变为正。这表明增长的势头可以帮助您在短期内提高ETH的价格。

If these bullish indicators hold true, Ethereum could climb to $2,187 in the short term. With increased buying pressure, the price might even reach $2,520.

如果这些看涨指标成立，以太坊在短期内可以攀升至2,187美元。随着购买压力的增加，价格甚至可能达到2,520美元。

However, analysts warn that if ETH fails to break through the upper trendline of the triangle pattern, the bullish outlook might not materialize. In this scenario, the price could fall back to $1,762.

但是，分析师警告说，如果ETH未能突破三角形模式的上流趋势线，看涨的前景可能无法实现。在这种情况下，价格可能会返回到1,762美元。

Historical patterns offer additional reasons for optimism. Several analysts have noted that ETH’s current price action mirrors patterns seen in 2017 and 2020, both of which preceded major bull runs.

历史模式为乐观提供了其他理由。几位分析师指出，ETH的当前价格动作反映了2017年和2020年的模式，这两者都在大公牛奔跑之前。

The 2017 pattern showed a five-wave accumulation phase before ETH surged 50x in value. A similar structure appears to be forming in 2025, suggesting another strong move could be imminent.

2017年的模式在ETH的价值上升50倍之前显示出五波积累阶段。似乎在2025年形成了类似的结构，这表明可能迫在眉睫。

Ethereum is also currently retesting a five-year support trendline that has marked major cycle bottoms in the past. This includes the March 2020 crash and the post-FTX collapse in 2022.

Ethereum目前还正在重新测试一个五年的支持趋势线，该趋势线在过去曾是主要周期底部。这包括2020年3月的坠机事故和2022年FTX后崩溃。

Each time ETH has touched this long-term trendline, it has bounced back with force. If history repeats, this current retest could set the stage for another upward move.

每当ETH触及这种长期趋势线时，它都会用武力反弹。如果历史重复，此电流的重新测试可能会为另一个向上移动奠定基础。

Another interesting comparison comes from the 2020 market cycle. After the COVID-19 crash, ETH formed a pattern similar to what we’re seeing now, before launching into a rally that eventually took it to an all-time high above $4,800.

另一个有趣的比较来自2020年市场周期。在Covid-19崩溃之后，ETH形成了与我们现在所看到的类似模式，然后开始进行集会，最终将其达到了4,800美元以上的历史最高水平。

The weekly Stochastic Relative Strength Index (RSI) also suggests ETH is oversold at current prices. When the fast line crosses above the slow line in the oversold zone, it often signals an upcoming rebound.

每周的随机相对强度指数（RSI）还表明，ETH以目前的价格超额售出。当快速线在超售区的慢速线上越过线上时，它通常标志着即将进行的反弹。

Ethereum faces headwinds from decreased transaction volumes and growing competition from other Layer-1 blockchains like Solana. These factors have contributed to ETH’s 40% drop in market cap since the start of 2025.

以太坊会因交易量减少而面临逆风，以及来自Solana等其他1层区块链的竞争不断增长。自2025年初以来，这些因素导致ETH的市值下降了40％。

However, upcoming catalysts could reignite interest in Ethereum. The Pectra upgrade and potential Wall Street expansion may drive new capital into the ETH market.

但是，即将到来的催化剂可能会重新点燃对以太坊的兴趣。 Pectra升级和潜在的华尔街扩张可能会将新资本带入ETH市场。

Sentiment around Ethereum has reached extremely bearish levels, which contrarian investors often view as a signal that the market may be near a bottom. As one analyst put it, the eventual reversal could become “the most hated rally ever seen in crypto.”

以太坊的情感达到了极端看跌水平，逆势投资者经常将其视为市场可能接近底部的信号。正如一位分析师所说，最终的逆转可能会成为“加密有史以来最讨厌的集会”。

For ETH to maintain its recovery hopes, the price must stay above $1,861 and eventually retest the $2,227 level. Failure to hold these levels could lead to further price drops.

为了使ETH保持其恢复希望，价格必须保持在1,861美元以上，并最终重新测试2,227美元的水平。无法保持这些水平可能会导致进一步的价格下跌。

As of March 18, 2025, Ethereum trades at $1,911, showing a slight 0.9% increase over the previous 24 hours. The coming weeks will likely determine whether ETH can break its downtrend and begin a new upward cycle.

截至2025年3月18日，以太坊的交易价格为1,911美元，比前24小时增加了0.9％。接下来的几周可能会决定ETH是否可以破坏其下降趋势并开始新的向上周期。