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眾所周知,以太幣是當前牛市中表現最令人失望的加密貨幣之一,落後於比特幣和其他 Layer-1。
Key Takeaways
重點
Despite lagging behind Bitcoin and other Layer-1s in the current bull run, Ethereum outperformed Bitcoin by more than 3% last week.
儘管在目前的多頭市場中以太坊落後於比特幣和其他 Layer-1,但上週以太坊的表現仍優於比特幣 3% 以上。
Let’s analyze the Ethereum price action and see if this is just a temporary occurrence or if it will be a long-lasting trend.
讓我們來分析以太坊的價格走勢,看看這只是暫時的現象還是一個長期的趨勢。
Ethereum Bounces vs Bitcoin
以太坊反彈 vs 比特幣
The daily time frame Ethereum to Bitcoin chart shows a decline under a descending resistance trend line since August. The decline led to a low of ₿0.038 on Sept. 19. Ethereum moved above the trend line on Oct. 20, after creating a triple bottom pattern.
以太坊到比特幣的每日時間框架圖表顯示,自 8 月以來,以太坊在下降阻力趨勢線下方出現下跌。此次下跌導致 9 月 19 日跌至 0.038 英鎊的低點。
If the increase continues, the next resistance will be just above ₿0.0041.
如果繼續上漲,下一個阻力位將略高於₿0.0041。
The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) imply the upward movement will continue. Both have generated bullish divergences (green) and are moving upward, signs of a positive trend.
每日相對強弱指數(RSI)和移動平均線收斂/發散(MACD)意味著上漲趨勢將持續。兩者都產生了看漲背離(綠色)並且正在向上移動,這是積極趨勢的跡象。
The weekly time frame ETH/BTC chart has been bearish since Dec. 2021. The ETH price created a lower high in September and has fallen at an accelerated rate since then.
自 2021 年 12 月以來,ETH/BTC 每週時間框架圖表一直看跌。
The decline is contained inside a descending parallel channel and ETH trades very close to the trend line. While there is a growing bullish divergence in the weekly RSI, it has not led to anything notable yet.
下跌被限制在下降的平行通道內,並且 ETH 的交易非常接近趨勢線。儘管每週 RSI 的看漲背離不斷擴大,但尚未帶來任何值得注意的結果。
The channel’s resistance trend line is at ₿0.052, coinciding with a long-term horizontal resistance area.
此通道的阻力趨勢線位於₿0.052,與長期水平阻力區域重疊。
So, even though the daily chart shows a bounce, the weekly one reveals it is insignificant compared to the preceding downward trend.
因此,儘管日線圖顯示反彈,但周線圖顯示,與先前的下降趨勢相比,反彈幅度微不足道。
Ethereum Trend Reversal?
以太坊趨勢逆轉?
The weekly time frame Ethereum chart shows that the price bounced at a long-term horizontal support level of $2,400. After the third bounce (white icons), ETH created a weekly bullish candlestick with a magnitude of 11%. This is the largest bullish candlestick since a 25% one in May.
以太幣每週時間框架圖表顯示,價格在 2,400 美元的長期水平支撐位反彈。在第三次反彈(白色圖標)之後,ETH 形成了一個幅度為 11% 的每週看漲燭台。這是自 5 月 25% 以來最大的看漲燭台。
The MACD is close to giving a very interesting bullish signal since it is very close to making a bullish cross (black circle). The previous time such a cross occurred was in October 2023, triggering a 146% price increase.
MACD 接近給出一個非常有趣的看漲訊號,因為它非常接近形成看漲交叉(黑色圓圈)。上一次發生此類交叉是在 2023 年 10 月,引發了 146% 的價格上漲。
The daily chart supports the bullish Ethereum price prediction from the weekly one.
日線圖支援了周線圖看漲的以太坊價格預測。
Ethereum’s price action shows a breakout from a descending resistance trend line existing since August. The breakout happened after three previous unsuccessful tries.
以太坊的價格走勢顯示其突破了自八月以來存在的下降阻力趨勢線。這次突破是在之前三次嘗試失敗之後發生的。
Just before the breakout, the daily RSI increased above 50 and the MACD moved above 0, both signs that the trend is turning bullish.
就在突破之前,每日 RSI 升至 50 以上,MACD 升至 0 以上,這兩個跡像都表明趨勢正在轉向看漲。
The main resistance area for Ethereum is at $2,900. A breakout above it can greatly accelerate the upward movement toward $3,500.
以太坊的主要阻力位是 2,900 美元。突破它可以大大加速向 3,500 美元的上漲。
Key Resistance Ahead
前方的關鍵阻力
While the Ethereum price outperformed Bitcoin last week, it is still far away from the level required to confirm a bullish trend reversal.
儘管上週以太坊價格跑贏了比特幣,但距離確認看漲趨勢逆轉所需的水平仍相去甚遠。
On the other hand, the Ethereum to USD pair is more bullish.
另一方面,以太幣兌美元貨幣對則更為看漲。
If the Ethereum price breaks out from the $2,900 resistance area, it can accelerate its rate of increase toward the next resistance at $3,500.
如果以太幣價格突破 2,900 美元阻力區域,它可以加速上漲至下一個阻力 3,500 美元。
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