比特幣（BTC）價格預測：BTC逼近7萬美元，多頭市場會回歸嗎？

2024 年對於數位資產來說就像過山車一樣，導致一些人質疑另一次多頭市場的可能性。然而，隨著央行寬鬆

2024 has been a rollercoaster for digital assets, causing some to question the potential for another bull run. Yet, with central banks easing monetary policy lately, the crypto market has responded with sporadic surges.

2024 年對於數位資產來說就像過山車一樣，導致一些人質疑另一次多頭市場的可能性。然而，隨著央行最近放鬆貨幣政策，加密貨幣市場出現了零星的上漲。

Over the weekend, Bitcoin surged to just under $70,000, nearing its all-time high of $74,000. This jump has ignited bullish sentiment, with investors anticipating a potential breakout.

週末，比特幣飆升至略低於 7 萬美元，接近 7.4 萬美元的歷史高點。此次上漲引發了看漲情緒，投資者預計可能會出現突破。

Crypto Market Sentiment Soars

加密貨幣市場情緒飆升

Bitcoin spiked higher on Sunday evening (GMT,) continuing into the early hours of Monday, reaching a 12-week high of $69,500. However, the leading cryptocurrency subsequently gave up all of Sunday’s gains at the time of writing.

比特幣週日晚間（格林威治標準時間）飆升至週一凌晨，觸及 69,500 美元的 12 週高點。然而，在撰寫本文時，領先的加密貨幣隨後放棄了周日的所有漲幅。

Despite this, crypto market sentiment has been lifted recently by central banks easing monetary policy. Last month, the Fed cut rates by 50 basis points, while China boosted liquidity, making it easier for banks to borrow.

儘管如此，加密貨幣市場情緒最近因央行放鬆貨幣政策而提振。上個月，聯準會降息50個基點，而中國則增加了流動性，使銀行更容易借貸。

On October 21, the People’s Bank of China furthered these efforts, cutting rates by 25 basis points to stimulate consumer spending.

10月21日，中國人民銀行進一步降息25個基點刺激消費者支出。

This easing of monetary policy has sparked optimism in the crypto community, leading to a sharp rise in sentiment. According to the Fear and Greed Index, crypto sentiment soared in October, quickly moving from a low of 32 to a current reading of 72.

這種寬鬆的貨幣政策引發了加密社群的樂觀情緒，導致情緒急劇上升。根據恐懼和貪婪指數，加密情緒在 10 月飆升，迅速從 32 的低點升至目前的 72。

This shift, nearing extreme greed territory, reflects growing confidence in a major crypto market breakout.

這種接近極度貪婪領域的轉變反映出人們對加密貨幣市場重大突破的信心不斷增強。

Major Bull Run Coming?

主要牛市即將來臨？

Current market conditions have sparked bullish predictions from prominent figures. Investor Mike Alfred recently posted that we could be on the verge of “the biggest Bitcoin bull market of all time,” reflecting the general sentiment of market watchers.

當前的市場狀況引發了知名人士的樂觀預測。投資者 Mike Alfred 最近發文稱，我們可能正處於「有史以來最大的比特幣牛市」的邊緣，這反映了市場觀察人士的普遍情緒。

Just a hunch, but we might be headed in to the biggest Bitcoin bull market of all time.

這只是一種預感，但我們可能會進入有史以來最大的比特幣牛市。

Macroeconomist Michaël van de Poppe echoed this sentiment, confidently predicting that Bitcoin will reach a new all-time high soon while reaffirming his view that “the bull market is here.”

宏觀經濟學家 Michaël van de Poppe 也同意這種觀點，他自信地預測比特幣很快就會創下歷史新高，同時重申「牛市已經到來」的觀點。

However, despite the noticeable enthusiasm across social media, there is no guarantee that these bullish predictions will result in a sustained upward trend in crypto markets.

然而，儘管社群媒體上表現出明顯的熱情，但並不能保證這些樂觀的預測會導致加密貨幣市場的持續上升趨勢。

The Money Supply Goes Parabolic

貨幣供應呈拋物線成長

The crypto market bull case is supported by loosening monetary conditions, which is reflected in the global M2 money supply. This measure includes cash and short-term deposits circulating in the world economy.

加密貨幣市場多頭市場得到寬鬆貨幣環境的支撐，這反映在全球 M2 貨幣供應量中。此指標包括世界經濟中流通的現金和短期存款。

An increase in the money supply, driven by money printing and credit expansion, means more liquidity is available for spending, saving, and investing.

在印鈔和信貸擴張的推動下，貨幣供應量的增加意味著更多的流動性可用於支出、儲蓄和投資。

Since October 2023, the global M2 money supply has surged by $7 trillion, reaching $107.7 trillion. Many believe this expanding money supply could fuel a boom in asset prices, including crypto markets.

自2023年10月以來，全球M2貨幣供應量激增7兆美元，達107.7兆美元。許多人認為，貨幣供應量的擴大可能會推動資產價格的上漲，包括加密貨幣市場。

On the Flipside

另一方面

Why This Matters

為什麼這很重要

The crypto market may be on track to reach dizzying new heights over the coming weeks and months, but all markets are cyclical.

加密貨幣市場可能會在未來幾週和幾個月內達到令人眼花撩亂的新高度，但所有市場都是週期性的。

Bitcoin ETF options get SEC approval.Bitcoin Gains Fuel as Global Currencies Weaken: What’s Next?Samson Mow lobbies German lawmakers for Bitcoin adoption.Mow Advocates for Bitcoin State Adoption at German Bundestag

比特幣 ETF 選擇權獲得 SEC 批准。