比特币（BTC）价格预测：BTC逼近7万美元，牛市会回归吗？

2024 年对于数字资产来说就像过山车一样，导致一些人质疑另一次牛市的可能性。然而，随着央行宽松

2024 has been a rollercoaster for digital assets, causing some to question the potential for another bull run. Yet, with central banks easing monetary policy lately, the crypto market has responded with sporadic surges.

2024 年对于数字资产来说就像过山车一样，导致一些人质疑另一次牛市的可能性。然而，随着央行最近放松货币政策，加密货币市场出现了零星的上涨。

Over the weekend, Bitcoin surged to just under $70,000, nearing its all-time high of $74,000. This jump has ignited bullish sentiment, with investors anticipating a potential breakout.

周末，比特币飙升至略低于 70,000 美元，接近 74,000 美元的历史高点。此次上涨引发了看涨情绪，投资者预计可能会出现突破。

Crypto Market Sentiment Soars

加密货币市场情绪飙升

Bitcoin spiked higher on Sunday evening (GMT,) continuing into the early hours of Monday, reaching a 12-week high of $69,500. However, the leading cryptocurrency subsequently gave up all of Sunday’s gains at the time of writing.

比特币周日晚间（格林威治标准时间）飙升至周一凌晨，触及 69,500 美元的 12 周高点。然而，在撰写本文时，领先的加密货币随后放弃了周日的所有涨幅。

Despite this, crypto market sentiment has been lifted recently by central banks easing monetary policy. Last month, the Fed cut rates by 50 basis points, while China boosted liquidity, making it easier for banks to borrow.

尽管如此，加密货币市场情绪最近因各国央行放松货币政策而提振。上个月，美联储降息50个基点，而中国则增加了流动性，使银行更容易借贷。

On October 21, the People’s Bank of China furthered these efforts, cutting rates by 25 basis points to stimulate consumer spending.

10月21日，中国人民银行进一步降息25个基点以刺激消费者支出。

This easing of monetary policy has sparked optimism in the crypto community, leading to a sharp rise in sentiment. According to the Fear and Greed Index, crypto sentiment soared in October, quickly moving from a low of 32 to a current reading of 72.

这种宽松的货币政策引发了加密社区的乐观情绪，导致情绪急剧上升。根据恐惧和贪婪指数，加密情绪在 10 月份飙升，迅速从 32 的低点升至当前的 72。

This shift, nearing extreme greed territory, reflects growing confidence in a major crypto market breakout.

这种接近极端贪婪领域的转变反映出人们对加密货币市场重大突破的信心不断增强。

Major Bull Run Coming?

主要牛市即将来临？

Current market conditions have sparked bullish predictions from prominent figures. Investor Mike Alfred recently posted that we could be on the verge of “the biggest Bitcoin bull market of all time,” reflecting the general sentiment of market watchers.

当前的市场状况引发了知名人士的乐观预测。投资者迈克·阿尔弗雷德 (Mike Alfred) 最近发帖称，我们可能正处于“有史以来最大的比特币牛市”的边缘，这反映了市场观察人士的普遍情绪。

Just a hunch, but we might be headed in to the biggest Bitcoin bull market of all time.

这只是一种预感，但我们可能会进入有史以来最大的比特币牛市。

Macroeconomist Michaël van de Poppe echoed this sentiment, confidently predicting that Bitcoin will reach a new all-time high soon while reaffirming his view that “the bull market is here.”

宏观经济学家 Michaël van de Poppe 也赞同这种观点，他自信地预测比特币将很快创下历史新高，同时重申“牛市已经到来”的观点。

However, despite the noticeable enthusiasm across social media, there is no guarantee that these bullish predictions will result in a sustained upward trend in crypto markets.

然而，尽管社交媒体上表现出明显的热情，但并不能保证这些乐观的预测会导致加密货币市场的持续上升趋势。

The Money Supply Goes Parabolic

货币供应呈抛物线增长

The crypto market bull case is supported by loosening monetary conditions, which is reflected in the global M2 money supply. This measure includes cash and short-term deposits circulating in the world economy.

加密货币市场牛市得到宽松货币环境的支撑，这反映在全球 M2 货币供应量中。该指标包括世界经济中流通的现金和短期存款。

An increase in the money supply, driven by money printing and credit expansion, means more liquidity is available for spending, saving, and investing.

在印钞和信贷扩张的推动下，货币供应量的增加意味着更多的流动性可用于支出、储蓄和投资。

Since October 2023, the global M2 money supply has surged by $7 trillion, reaching $107.7 trillion. Many believe this expanding money supply could fuel a boom in asset prices, including crypto markets.

2023年10月以来，全球M2货币供应量激增7万亿美元，达到107.7万亿美元。许多人认为，货币供应量的扩大可能会推动资产价格的上涨，包括加密货币市场。

On the Flipside

另一方面

Why This Matters

为什么这很重要

The crypto market may be on track to reach dizzying new heights over the coming weeks and months, but all markets are cyclical.

加密货币市场可能会在未来几周和几个月内达到令人眼花缭乱的新高度，但所有市场都是周期性的。

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