狗狗幣（DOGE）價格預測：DOGE 登上月球？

狗狗幣真的能飆升至 20 美元區域或更高嗎？在艾略特波浪理論分析中，加密貨幣分析師 XForceGlobal 提出了一個案例，說明為什麼流行的迷因幣可以繼續其上升軌跡。

Crypto analyst XForceGlobal recently presented a case for why Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) could continue its upward trajectory, using Elliott Wave Theory to analyze the meme-coin's price history and speculate on its future price movements.

加密貨幣分析師 XForceGlobal 最近提出了一個案例，說明為什麼狗狗幣（CRYPTO：DOGE）可以繼續其上漲軌跡，使用艾略特波浪理論來分析模因幣的價格歷史並推測其未來的價格走勢。

In a video analysis, he referred to Dogecoin as “the king of all meme coins” and highlighted the importance of historical price data in predicting future trends. He stated, “If a coin has long historical data to work with, it pairs very nicely with Elliott Wave theory because it helps reduce the impact of noise within the shorter time frames.”

在影片分析中，他將狗狗幣稱為“所有模因幣之王”，並強調了歷史價格數據在預測未來趨勢方面的重要性。他表示，“如果一枚硬幣有長期的歷史數據可供使用，那麼它與艾略特波浪理論非常匹配，因為它有助於減少較短時間範圍內的噪音影響。”

Pointing to Dogecoin’s massive rise from about $0.001 to its previous high of nearly $0.80, he noted the possibility that what appeared to be a “pipe dream” is now materializing into a tangible reality. The analyst said, “That to me is from a pipe dream to a reality,” underscoring that such an extraordinary leap aligns with the concept of an extended Wave 3 within the Elliott framework.

他指出狗狗幣從約 0.001 美元大幅上漲至近 0.80 美元的先前高點，並指出看似「白日夢」現在有可能成為現實。這位分析師表示，“對我來說，這從白日夢變成了現實”，強調這種非凡的飛躍與艾略特框架內擴展的第三波浪潮的概念是一致的。

He outlined that markets tend to move in repeated cycles of five impulsive waves and three corrective waves, driven in part by collective investor psychology. According to him, “Elliott Wave theory only provides probabilities, not certainties,” but the longevity and depth of Dogecoin’s price history offer stronger credibility to the wave counts.

他概述說，市場往往會在五個脈衝波和三個修正波的重複週期中移動，部分原因是集體投資者心理的推動。據他說，“艾略特波浪理論只提供了機率，而不是確定性”，但狗狗幣價格歷史的長久性和深度為波浪計數提供了更強的可信度。

Examining the macro chart, he explained how Dogecoin may have completed a Wave 4, describing it as a “very rare looking triangle.” He suggested that a breakout from this formation could initiate a Wave 5 capable of surpassing the previous all-time high, potentially hitting a price level above $4.

在檢查宏觀圖表時，他解釋了狗狗幣如何完成第四波浪潮，並將其描述為「非常罕見的三角形」。他表示，突破該形態可能會啟動第五波，突破先前的歷史高點，有可能觸及 4 美元以上的價格水平。

After labeling a potential five-wave advance from the coin’s historical lows to its peak near $0.80, he argued that the nature of the market's psychological cycles suggests another large impulse is in play. He added, “We might be working for a larger extended wave three to the upside for the super cycle degree,” referring to the notion that Dogecoin’s broader trend remains intact despite periodic bearish phases.

在標記了從歷史低點到接近 0.80 美元的峰值的潛在五波上漲之後，他認為市場心理週期的性質表明另一個巨大的推動力正在發揮作用。他補充道，“我們可能正在為超級週期程度的更大的上行第三浪而努力”，他指的是儘管出現週期性的看跌階段，但狗狗幣的整體趨勢仍然完好無損。

However, he anticipated that after hitting $4, the Dogecoin price could face a major correction, ranging from 80% to 90%, which would not necessarily invalidate the bullish narrative. In his words, “Even with a 90% pullback, it’s still extremely bullish… it’s crazy.” He asserted that such steep retracements often occur in crypto markets, yet as long as the underlying structure remains intact, the asset can still continue its macro uptrend.

然而，他預計，在觸及 4 美元後，狗狗幣價格可能會面臨 80% 至 90% 的大幅調整，但這並不一定會使看漲的說法失效。用他的話來說，“即使回調了 90%，它仍然非常看漲……這太瘋狂了。”他斷言，這種大幅回檔經常發生在加密貨幣市場中，但只要基礎結構保持完好，該資產仍然可以繼續其宏觀上升趨勢。

He speculated that Dogecoin’s next major upward leg (following the correction) could place the price in a range that includes $12, $25, or even $30. One speculative figure he mentioned was $57, though he cautioned against viewing it as a guaranteed target. Instead, he reminded viewers, “Don’t blame me, blame the Elliott Wave theory…I am only a messenger.”

他推測狗狗幣的下一個主要上漲趨勢（調整後）可能會將價格置於 12 美元、25 美元甚至 30 美元的範圍內。他提到的一個推測數字是 57 美元，但他警告不要將其視為一個保證的目標。相反，他提醒觀眾，“別怪我，怪艾略特波浪理論……我只是一個信使。”

The analyst also employed “alternation theory” to illustrate how earlier waves within Dogecoin’s chart were sharp, suggesting that subsequent corrective waves might be more sideways in nature, such as triangles or flats. He explained that the presence of robust “long historical data” helps reveal these larger cyclical patterns more reliably.

該分析師還採用「交替理論」來說明狗狗幣圖表中的早期波浪是如何尖銳的，這表明隨後的修正波浪本質上可能更橫向，例如三角形或扁平形。他解釋說，強大的「長期歷史數據」的存在有助於更可靠地揭示這些更大的周期性模式。

According to his interpretation, Dogecoin’s Wave 1 and Wave 2 were sharp, and therefore Wave 3 and Wave 4 tend to show the sideways, consolidated motion typical of this principle. He described how the recent pattern could be the end of such a sideways Wave 4, giving way to a final upward Wave 5 before any deep corrective event.

根據他的解釋，狗狗幣的波浪 1 和波浪 2 是尖銳的，因此波浪 3 和波浪 4 傾向於顯示這一原則典型的橫盤整理運動。他描述了最近的形態如何成為橫盤 4 浪的結束，在任何深度調整事件之前讓位給最終的上行 5 浪。

He then turned his attention to “Dino coins,” using the term to describe cryptocurrencies with extensive trading histories that can produce clearer Elliott Wave counts over multiple market cycles. He noted that investors who traded in earlier market cycles, such as in 2018, likely recognize the patterns and significance behind these older assets.

然後，他將注意力轉向“恐龍幣”，用這個術語來描述具有廣泛交易歷史的加密貨幣，可以在多個市場週期中產生更清晰的艾略特波浪計數。他指出，在早期市場週期（例如 2018 年）進行交易的投資者可能會認識到這些舊資產背後的模式和重要性。

“I think this is the cycle of still going into Dino coins,” he said, underscoring that such projects often undergo strong rallies if they survive long enough to build momentum in new macro cycles.

他說：「我認為這仍然是恐龍幣的周期。」他強調，如果這類專案能夠存活足夠長的時間以在新的宏觀週期中建立動力，那麼它們通常會經歷強勁的反彈。

At press time, DOGE was trading at $0.37775, up 0.66% over the last 24 hours.

截至發稿，DOGE 交易價格為 0.37775 美元，在過去 24 小時內上漲 0.66%。