狗狗币（DOGE）价格预测：DOGE 登上月球？

狗狗币真的能飙升至 20 美元区域或更高吗？在艾略特波浪理论分析中，加密货币分析师 XForceGlobal 提出了一个案例，说明为什么流行的模因币可以继续其上升轨迹。

Crypto analyst XForceGlobal recently presented a case for why Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) could continue its upward trajectory, using Elliott Wave Theory to analyze the meme-coin's price history and speculate on its future price movements.

加密货币分析师 XForceGlobal 最近提出了一个案例，说明为什么狗狗币（CRYPTO：DOGE）可以继续其上涨轨迹，使用艾略特波浪理论来分析模因币的价格历史并推测其未来的价格走势。

In a video analysis, he referred to Dogecoin as “the king of all meme coins” and highlighted the importance of historical price data in predicting future trends. He stated, “If a coin has long historical data to work with, it pairs very nicely with Elliott Wave theory because it helps reduce the impact of noise within the shorter time frames.”

在视频分析中，他将狗狗币称为“所有模因币之王”，并强调了历史价格数据在预测未来趋势方面的重要性。他表示，“如果一枚硬币有长期的历史数据可供使用，那么它与艾略特波浪理论非常匹配，因为它有助于减少较短时间范围内的噪音影响。”

Pointing to Dogecoin’s massive rise from about $0.001 to its previous high of nearly $0.80, he noted the possibility that what appeared to be a “pipe dream” is now materializing into a tangible reality. The analyst said, “That to me is from a pipe dream to a reality,” underscoring that such an extraordinary leap aligns with the concept of an extended Wave 3 within the Elliott framework.

他指出狗狗币从约 0.001 美元大幅上涨至近 0.80 美元的先前高点，并指出看似“白日梦”现在有可能成为现实。这位分析师表示，“对我来说，这从白日梦变成了现实”，强调这种非凡的飞跃与艾略特框架内扩展的第三波浪潮的概念是一致的。

He outlined that markets tend to move in repeated cycles of five impulsive waves and three corrective waves, driven in part by collective investor psychology. According to him, “Elliott Wave theory only provides probabilities, not certainties,” but the longevity and depth of Dogecoin’s price history offer stronger credibility to the wave counts.

他概述说，市场往往会在五个脉冲波和三个修正波的重复周期中移动，部分原因是集体投资者心理的驱动。据他说，“艾略特波浪理论只提供了概率，而不是确定性”，但狗狗币价格历史的长久性和深度为波浪计数提供了更强的可信度。

Examining the macro chart, he explained how Dogecoin may have completed a Wave 4, describing it as a “very rare looking triangle.” He suggested that a breakout from this formation could initiate a Wave 5 capable of surpassing the previous all-time high, potentially hitting a price level above $4.

在检查宏观图表时，他解释了狗狗币如何完成第四波浪潮，并将其描述为“非常罕见的三角形”。他表示，突破该形态可能会启动第五波，突破之前的历史高点，有可能触及 4 美元以上的价格水平。

After labeling a potential five-wave advance from the coin’s historical lows to its peak near $0.80, he argued that the nature of the market's psychological cycles suggests another large impulse is in play. He added, “We might be working for a larger extended wave three to the upside for the super cycle degree,” referring to the notion that Dogecoin’s broader trend remains intact despite periodic bearish phases.

在标记了从历史低点到接近 0.80 美元的峰值的潜在五波上涨之后，他认为市场心理周期的性质表明另一个巨大的推动力正在发挥作用。他补充道，“我们可能正在为超级周期程度的更大的上行第三浪而努力”，他指的是尽管出现周期性的看跌阶段，但狗狗币的整体趋势仍然完好无损。

However, he anticipated that after hitting $4, the Dogecoin price could face a major correction, ranging from 80% to 90%, which would not necessarily invalidate the bullish narrative. In his words, “Even with a 90% pullback, it’s still extremely bullish… it’s crazy.” He asserted that such steep retracements often occur in crypto markets, yet as long as the underlying structure remains intact, the asset can still continue its macro uptrend.

然而，他预计，在触及 4 美元后，狗狗币价格可能会面临 80% 至 90% 的大幅调整，但这并不一定会使看涨的说法失效。用他的话说，“即使回调了 90%，它仍然非常看涨……这太疯狂了。”他断言，这种大幅回调经常发生在加密货币市场中，但只要基础结构保持完好，该资产仍然可以继续其宏观上升趋势。

He speculated that Dogecoin’s next major upward leg (following the correction) could place the price in a range that includes $12, $25, or even $30. One speculative figure he mentioned was $57, though he cautioned against viewing it as a guaranteed target. Instead, he reminded viewers, “Don’t blame me, blame the Elliott Wave theory…I am only a messenger.”

他推测狗狗币的下一个主要上涨趋势（调整后）可能会将价格置于 12 美元、25 美元甚至 30 美元的范围内。他提到的一个推测数字是 57 美元，但他警告不要将其视为一个有保证的目标。相反，他提醒观众，“别怪我，怪艾略特波浪理论……我只是一个信使。”

The analyst also employed “alternation theory” to illustrate how earlier waves within Dogecoin’s chart were sharp, suggesting that subsequent corrective waves might be more sideways in nature, such as triangles or flats. He explained that the presence of robust “long historical data” helps reveal these larger cyclical patterns more reliably.

该分析师还采用“交替理论”来说明狗狗币图表中的早期波浪是如何尖锐的，这表明随后的修正波浪本质上可能更横向，例如三角形或扁平形。他解释说，强大的“长期历史数据”的存在有助于更可靠地揭示这些更大的周期性模式。

According to his interpretation, Dogecoin’s Wave 1 and Wave 2 were sharp, and therefore Wave 3 and Wave 4 tend to show the sideways, consolidated motion typical of this principle. He described how the recent pattern could be the end of such a sideways Wave 4, giving way to a final upward Wave 5 before any deep corrective event.

根据他的解释，狗狗币的波浪 1 和波浪 2 是尖锐的，因此波浪 3 和波浪 4 倾向于显示这一原则典型的横盘整理运动。他描述了最近的形态如何成为横盘 4 浪的结束，在任何深度调整事件之前让位于最终的上行 5 浪。

He then turned his attention to “Dino coins,” using the term to describe cryptocurrencies with extensive trading histories that can produce clearer Elliott Wave counts over multiple market cycles. He noted that investors who traded in earlier market cycles, such as in 2018, likely recognize the patterns and significance behind these older assets.

然后，他将注意力转向“恐龙币”，用这个术语来描述具有广泛交易历史的加密货币，可以在多个市场周期中产生更清晰的艾略特波浪计数。他指出，在早期市场周期（例如 2018 年）进行交易的投资者可能会认识到这些旧资产背后的模式和重要性。

“I think this is the cycle of still going into Dino coins,” he said, underscoring that such projects often undergo strong rallies if they survive long enough to build momentum in new macro cycles.

他说：“我认为这仍然是恐龙币的周期。”他强调，如果此类项目能够存活足够长的时间以在新的宏观周期中建立动力，那么它们通常会经历强劲的反弹。

At press time, DOGE was trading at $0.37775, up 0.66% over the last 24 hours.

截至发稿，DOGE 交易价格为 0.37775 美元，在过去 24 小时内上涨 0.66%。