分析師表示，狗狗幣 (DOGE) 價格調整可能尚未結束，市場可能回落至 0.30-0.26 美元區間

狗狗幣（DOGE）最近經歷了驚人的上漲。在八天內，DOGE 飆升近 200%，週二達到局部高峰 0.4385 美元。

Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) has soared nearly 200% over eight days, hitting a local peak of $0.4385 on Tuesday. This rapid ascent pushed the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) to almost 93, indicating extreme overbought conditions.

狗狗幣（加密貨幣：DOGE）在八天內飆升近 200%，週二觸及 0.4385 美元的局部高峰。這種快速上升將每日相對強弱指數 (RSI) 推至近 93，顯示極端超買狀況。

Since then, Dogecoin has corrected by 19%, trading at $0.37 as of press time. However, according to crypto analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA), who has gained a lot of attention on X for his Dogecoin price analyses, the correction phase may not be over yet. In a series of updates, Kevin discusses how low Dogecoin could go before resuming its upward trajectory.

此後，狗狗幣已回檔 19%，截至發稿時交易價格為 0.37 美元。然而，根據加密貨幣分析師 Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) 的說法，修正階段可能還沒結束，他的狗狗幣價格分析在 X 上獲得了許多關注。在一系列更新中，凱文討論了狗狗幣在恢復上升軌跡之前可能會跌到多低。

How Low Can Dogecoin Go?

狗狗幣能跌多低？

“My first price target and a level we will want to hold for Dogecoin is the $0.30-0.26 range, which is the golden pocket retrace levels,” Kevin stated. “That’s a 30-40% correction from the local top, which in a bull market is a perfect size correction.”

「我的第一個價格目標和我們希望狗狗幣保持的水平是 0.30-0.26 美元範圍，這是黃金口袋回撤水平，」凱文表示。 “這是相對於局部頂部 30-40% 的修正，在牛市中這是一個完美的規模修正。”

Kevin further explained the importance of RSI levels in predicting market movements. “A healthy 1-3 week correction/consolidation to cool off indicators would be the most beneficial thing that can happen to Dogecoin. Happened multiple times on the way up in 2020-2021,” he noted. “My opinion still remains this occurs soon based off the technical data I am looking at.”

Kevin 進一步解釋了 RSI 水準在預測市場趨勢方面的重要性。 「為使指標降溫而進行的 1-3 週健康調整/盤整將是對狗狗幣最有利的事情。在 2020 年至 2021 年的上漲過程中發生了多次，」他指出。 “根據我正在查看的技術數據，我仍然認為這種情況很快就會發生。”

Drawing parallels to the previous bull market, he added: “Back in the 2020-2021 bull market for Dogecoin, it hit a 90+ on daily RSI three times, each time marking a local top or consolidation period before the next leg up. We just hit 90+ on the daily RSI for the first time, signaling that we potentially have 1-2 more legs up remaining in this bull market before we find the macro top. PS: The second and third legs were both bigger than the first leg.”

他補充道，與之前的牛市相似，「狗狗幣在 2020-2021 年的牛市中，每日 RSI 三次達到 90 以上，每次都標誌著下一輪上漲之前的局部頂部或盤整期。我們剛剛首次觸及每日 RSI 超過 90 的水平，這表明在我們找到宏觀頂部之前，本輪牛市可能還有 1-2 個上漲空間。 PS：第二條腿和第三條腿都比第一條腿大。

On the lower time frames, Dogecoin's price action formed a symmetrical triangle, a chart pattern that is typically associated with periods of consolidation that precede significant price movements. Kevin observed: “Tracking this weird Dogecoin symmetrical triangle. Honestly a 50/50 which way this breaks. I still favor the correction due to daily RSI being 90+.”

在較短的時間範圍內，狗狗幣的價格走勢形成了一個對稱三角形，這種圖表模式通常與重大價格變動之前的盤整期相關。凱文觀察到：「追蹤這個奇怪的狗狗幣對稱三角形。老實說，這是 50/50 的情況。由於每日 RSI 超過 90，我仍然傾向於修正。

The symmetrical triangle can act as either a continuation or reversal pattern, depending on the market conditions. For Dogecoin's price, the breakdown from the triangle aligns with Kevin's expectation of a correction due to the overbought RSI levels.

對稱三角形可以作為延續或反轉模式，取決於市場狀況。對於狗狗幣的價格而言，三角形的突破與 Kevin 對由於超買 RSI 水平而進行的修正的預期一致。

To estimate the potential magnitude of the price drop following the breakdown from the symmetrical triangle, traders measure the height of the triangle's base — the widest part of the formation. This measurement is then projected downward from the point of breakdown, providing a target for the price movement.

為了估計對稱三角形崩盤後價格下跌的潛在幅度，交易者測量三角形底部的高度——三角形最寬的部分。然後，該測量值從崩潰點向下預測，為價格變動提供目標。

Applying this method to Dogecoin suggests a correction towards the $0.28 price level, which closely aligns with Kevin's analysis targeting the $0.30-$0.26 range. “Looks like the correction I have been calling for the last couple of days is beginning on Dogecoin,” Kevin stated after observing the price action. “Can’t go straight up, folks. Dips are healthy and reset the indicators so we can go higher. Hopefully nobody gets mad at me anymore for delivering the truth.”

將這種方法應用於狗狗幣表明價格水平會向 0.28 美元進行修正，這與 Kevin 的目標為 0.30-0.26 美元範圍的分析非常吻合。 「看起來我過去幾天一直呼籲的狗狗幣回調已經開始，」凱文在觀察價格走勢後表示。 「不能直接上去，夥計們。下跌是健康的，會重置指標，這樣我們就可以走得更高。希望沒有人再因為我說出真相而對我生氣。

Dogecoin's price has retraced about 19% from its local top, trading at approximately $0.37 as of press time. The price seems to have found temporary support at $0.35, but with the daily RSI only resetting to 80 — still in overbought territory — a continuation of the correction cannot be ruled out.

截至發稿時，狗狗幣的價格已從當地最高點回落約 19%，交易價格約為 0.37 美元。價格似乎在 0.35 美元處找到了暫時支撐，但由於每日 RSI 僅重置至 80（仍處於超買區域），因此不能排除繼續調整的可能性。

“A healthy 1-3 week correction/consolidation to cool off indicators would be the most beneficial thing that can happen to Dogecoin,” Kevin reiterated. “Happened multiple times on the way up in 2020-2021. My opinion still remains this occurs soon based off the technical data I am looking at.”

「對狗狗幣來說，健康的 1-3 週修正/整合來冷卻指標將是最有利的事情，」凱文重申。 「在 2020 年至 2021 年的上漲過程中，這種情況發生了多次。根據我正在查看的技術數據，我仍然認為這種情況很快就會發生。