分析师表示，狗狗币 (DOGE) 价格调整可能尚未结束，市场可能回落至 0.30-0.26 美元区间

狗狗币（DOGE）最近经历了惊人的上涨。在八天内，DOGE 飙升近 200%，于周二达到局部峰值 0.4385 美元。

Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) has soared nearly 200% over eight days, hitting a local peak of $0.4385 on Tuesday. This rapid ascent pushed the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) to almost 93, indicating extreme overbought conditions.

狗狗币（加密货币：DOGE）在八天内飙升近 200%，周二触及 0.4385 美元的局部峰值。这种快速上升将每日相对强弱指数 (RSI) 推至近 93，表明极端超买状况。

Since then, Dogecoin has corrected by 19%, trading at $0.37 as of press time. However, according to crypto analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA), who has gained a lot of attention on X for his Dogecoin price analyses, the correction phase may not be over yet. In a series of updates, Kevin discusses how low Dogecoin could go before resuming its upward trajectory.

此后，狗狗币已回调 19%，截至发稿时交易价格为 0.37 美元。然而，根据加密货币分析师 Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) 的说法，修正阶段可能还没有结束，他的狗狗币价格分析在 X 上获得了很多关注。在一系列更新中，凯文讨论了狗狗币在恢复上升轨迹之前可能会跌到多低。

How Low Can Dogecoin Go?

狗狗币能跌到多低？

“My first price target and a level we will want to hold for Dogecoin is the $0.30-0.26 range, which is the golden pocket retrace levels,” Kevin stated. “That’s a 30-40% correction from the local top, which in a bull market is a perfect size correction.”

“我的第一个价格目标和我们希望狗狗币保持的水平是 0.30-0.26 美元范围，这是黄金口袋回撤水平，”凯文表示。 “这是相对于局部顶部 30-40% 的修正，在牛市中这是一个完美的规模修正。”

Kevin further explained the importance of RSI levels in predicting market movements. “A healthy 1-3 week correction/consolidation to cool off indicators would be the most beneficial thing that can happen to Dogecoin. Happened multiple times on the way up in 2020-2021,” he noted. “My opinion still remains this occurs soon based off the technical data I am looking at.”

Kevin 进一步解释了 RSI 水平在预测市场走势方面的重要性。 “为使指标降温而进行的 1-3 周健康调整/盘整将是对狗狗币最有利的事情。在 2020 年至 2021 年的上涨过程中发生了多次，”他指出。 “根据我正在查看的技术数据，我仍然认为这种情况很快就会发生。”

Drawing parallels to the previous bull market, he added: “Back in the 2020-2021 bull market for Dogecoin, it hit a 90+ on daily RSI three times, each time marking a local top or consolidation period before the next leg up. We just hit 90+ on the daily RSI for the first time, signaling that we potentially have 1-2 more legs up remaining in this bull market before we find the macro top. PS: The second and third legs were both bigger than the first leg.”

他补充道，与之前的牛市相似，“狗狗币在 2020-2021 年的牛市中，每日 RSI 三次达到 90 以上，每次都标志着下一轮上涨之前的局部顶部或盘整期。我们刚刚首次触及每日 RSI 超过 90 的水平，这表明在我们找到宏观顶部之前，本轮牛市可能还有 1-2 条上涨空间。 PS：第二条腿和第三条腿都比第一条腿大。”

On the lower time frames, Dogecoin's price action formed a symmetrical triangle, a chart pattern that is typically associated with periods of consolidation that precede significant price movements. Kevin observed: “Tracking this weird Dogecoin symmetrical triangle. Honestly a 50/50 which way this breaks. I still favor the correction due to daily RSI being 90+.”

在较短的时间范围内，狗狗币的价格走势形成了一个对称三角形，这种图表模式通常与重大价格变动之前的盘整期相关。凯文观察到：“追踪这个奇怪的狗狗币对称三角形。老实说，这是 50/50 的情况。由于每日 RSI 超过 90，我仍然倾向于修正。”

The symmetrical triangle can act as either a continuation or reversal pattern, depending on the market conditions. For Dogecoin's price, the breakdown from the triangle aligns with Kevin's expectation of a correction due to the overbought RSI levels.

对称三角形可以作为延续或反转模式，具体取决于市场状况。对于狗狗币的价格而言，三角形的突破与 Kevin 对由于超买 RSI 水平而进行的修正的预期一致。

To estimate the potential magnitude of the price drop following the breakdown from the symmetrical triangle, traders measure the height of the triangle's base — the widest part of the formation. This measurement is then projected downward from the point of breakdown, providing a target for the price movement.

为了估计对称三角形崩溃后价格下跌的潜在幅度，交易者测量三角形底部的高度——三角形最宽的部分。然后，该测量值从崩溃点向下预测，为价格变动提供目标。

Applying this method to Dogecoin suggests a correction towards the $0.28 price level, which closely aligns with Kevin's analysis targeting the $0.30-$0.26 range. “Looks like the correction I have been calling for the last couple of days is beginning on Dogecoin,” Kevin stated after observing the price action. “Can’t go straight up, folks. Dips are healthy and reset the indicators so we can go higher. Hopefully nobody gets mad at me anymore for delivering the truth.”

将这种方法应用于狗狗币表明价格水平会向 0.28 美元进行修正，这与 Kevin 的目标为 0.30-0.26 美元范围的分析非常吻合。 “看起来我过去几天一直呼吁的狗狗币回调已经开始，”凯文在观察价格走势后表示。 “不能直接上去，伙计们。下跌是健康的，会重置指标，这样我们就可以走得更高。希望没有人再因为我说出真相而对我生气。”

Dogecoin's price has retraced about 19% from its local top, trading at approximately $0.37 as of press time. The price seems to have found temporary support at $0.35, but with the daily RSI only resetting to 80 — still in overbought territory — a continuation of the correction cannot be ruled out.

截至发稿时，狗狗币的价格已从当地最高点回落约 19%，交易价格约为 0.37 美元。价格似乎在 0.35 美元处找到了暂时支撑，但由于每日 RSI 仅重置至 80（仍处于超买区域），因此不能排除继续调整的可能性。

“A healthy 1-3 week correction/consolidation to cool off indicators would be the most beneficial thing that can happen to Dogecoin,” Kevin reiterated. “Happened multiple times on the way up in 2020-2021. My opinion still remains this occurs soon based off the technical data I am looking at.”

“对狗狗币来说，健康的 1-3 周修正/整合来冷却指标将是最有利的事情，”凯文重申。 “在 2020 年至 2021 年的上涨过程中，这种情况发生了多次。根据我正在查看的技术数据，我仍然认为这种情况很快就会发生。”