KuCoin Token（KCS）價格分析：逼近關鍵阻力，多頭會突破嗎？

KuCoin Token（KCS）在經歷了長期下跌趨勢後已經恢復，該趨勢始於 2021 年底 29 美元左右的峰值。

KuCoin Token (KCS) has seen a significant recovery after a prolonged downtrend from its peak at around $29 in late 2021. Recently, KCS rallied to reach $10.76 on November 4, 2024, as it approaches a critical resistance level.

KuCoin Token（KCS）從 2021 年底 29 美元左右的峰值經歷了長期下跌趨勢後，現已出現顯著復甦。

A closer examination of the KCS price chart reveals an interesting technical scenario. After multiple corrective waves, the price fell to around $4 in September 2023, showing a potential bottom for this cycle.

仔細檢查 KCS 價格圖表會發現一個有趣的技術場景。經過多次修正波後，價格於 2023 年 9 月跌至 4 美元左右，顯示本週期的潛在底部。

From there, KCS began a notable recovery, breaking through several resistance levels, the most significant of which was the descending trendline from the all-time high. This breakout occurred on October 28 as the price closed above the descending resistance, indicating a shift in the market structure.

從那時起，KCS 開始顯著復甦，突破了多個阻力位，其中最重要的是從歷史高點開始下降的趨勢線。這次突破發生在 10 月 28 日，當時價格收盤高於下降阻力位，顯示市場結構發生了轉變。

As the price continued to rally, it faced another crucial resistance level around $9.65, which corresponds to the 0.382 Fib retracement level from the recent drop. KCS broke above this resistance on November 3, opening the way for a further advance.

隨著價格繼續上漲，它面臨著 9.65 美元附近的另一個關鍵阻力位，該阻力位對應於近期下跌的 0.382 Fib 回檔位。 KCS 於 11 月 3 日突破該阻力位，為進一步上漲開闢了道路。

On November 4, KCS rallied to reach $10.76, approaching the descending resistance line defining the bearish structure. The RSI is also in overbought territory, which may indicate a short-term correction or consolidation phase before a potential breakout attempt.

11 月 4 日，KCS 反彈至 10.76 美元，接近定義看跌結構的下降阻力線。 RSI 也處於超買區域，這可能表明在潛在突破嘗試之前存在短期調整或盤整階段。

If KCS can break above this descending resistance, it could signal a reversal and the beginning of a new bullish phase.

如果 KCS 能夠突破這一下降阻力位，則可能預示著逆轉並開始新的看漲階段。

Should KCS break out above the resistance, the first major target will be around the $12 mark, where previous highs and horizontal resistance intersect with the trendline.

如果 KCS 突破阻力位，第一個主要目標將是 12 美元附近，先前的高點和水平阻力位與趨勢線相交。

However, if rejection occurs here, we may see a retracement toward $8 or $7.39, a support area based on previous levels.

然而，如果此處出現拒絕，我們可能會看到回調至 8 美元或 7.39 美元，這是基於先前水平的支撐區域。

In a bullish scenario, a successful breakout above $12 would open the path for a broader recovery, with $15 as a potential target in the medium term.

在看漲的情況下，成功突破 12 美元上方將為更廣泛的復甦開闢道路，其中 15 美元是中期的潛在目標。

Conversely, a breakdown below $7.39 could invalidate the bullish structure and suggest a return to lower support levels around $3.98, especially if broader market conditions turn bearish.

相反，跌破 7.39 美元可能會使看漲結構失效，並暗示將回到 3.98 美元左右的較低支撐位，特別是如果更廣泛的市場狀況轉為看跌的話。

After notching the recent high at $10.76 on Aug 5, KCS appears to be in a corrective phase, suggesting potential retracement to key support levels.

在 8 月 5 日觸及 10.76 美元的近期高點後，KCS 似乎處於修正階段，表明可能回撤至關鍵支撐位。

If the correction extends, initial support lies between $9.65 and $8.72, aligning these levels closely with Fibonacci retracement zones (0.236 Fib and 0.382 Fib).

如果回調擴大，初步支撐位在 9.65 美元至 8.72 美元之間，這些水準與斐波那契回撤區域（0.236 斐波那契和 0.382 斐波那契）緊密一致。

Holding above $8.72 would be crucial for preserving the bullish structure, setting the stage for a potential rally.

維持在 8.72 美元上方對於維持看漲結構至關重要，為潛在反彈奠定基礎。

Should KCS maintain this support, the next upward target is around the 0.5 Fib extension at $11.16, with a further extension reaching up to $12.75 based on Fibonacci projections (1.27 Fib).

如果 KCS 維持此支撐，下一個上行目標是 0.5 Fib 延伸位附近，即 11.16 美元，根據 Fibonacci 預測（1.27 Fib），進一步延伸至 12.75 美元。

However, a drop below $8.72 could indicate a deeper correction, bringing KCS down to the $7.39 level before any significant rebound. The price action over the coming sessions will determine whether KCS can sustain its upward momentum.

然而，跌破 8.72 美元可能預示著進一步的調整，在任何顯著反彈之前，KCS 會跌至 7.39 美元的水平。未來幾個交易日的價格走勢將決定 KCS 能否維持其上漲勢頭。

From the price action, KCS could have started a five-wave impulse on Aug 5, with its recent high coming to the 1.618 Fib level, validating the end of wave four.

從價格走勢來看，KCS 可能在 8 月 5 日開始了五浪衝擊，其近期高點達到 1.618 Fib 水平，驗證了第四浪的結束。

This is why its current descending move is anticipated as a corrective one before a breakout above the descending resistance leads to a higher high and develops wave five.

這就是為什麼在突破下降阻力並形成更高的高點並發展第五浪之前，當前的下降走勢被預期為修正走勢。