KuCoin Token（KCS）价格分析：逼近关键阻力，多头会突破吗？

KuCoin Token（KCS）在经历了长期下跌趋势后已经恢复，该趋势始于 2021 年底 29 美元左右的峰值。最近，KCS 年初达到 10.76 美元

KuCoin Token (KCS) has seen a significant recovery after a prolonged downtrend from its peak at around $29 in late 2021. Recently, KCS rallied to reach $10.76 on November 4, 2024, as it approaches a critical resistance level.

KuCoin Token（KCS）从 2021 年底 29 美元左右的峰值经历了长期下跌趋势后，现已出现显着复苏。最近，KCS 反弹至 2024 年 11 月 4 日达到 10.76 美元，接近关键阻力位。

A closer examination of the KCS price chart reveals an interesting technical scenario. After multiple corrective waves, the price fell to around $4 in September 2023, showing a potential bottom for this cycle.

仔细检查 KCS 价格图表会发现一个有趣的技术场景。经过多次修正波后，价格于 2023 年 9 月跌至 4 美元左右，显示出本周期的潜在底部。

From there, KCS began a notable recovery, breaking through several resistance levels, the most significant of which was the descending trendline from the all-time high. This breakout occurred on October 28 as the price closed above the descending resistance, indicating a shift in the market structure.

从那时起，KCS 开始显着复苏，突破了多个阻力位，其中最重要的是从历史高点开始下降的趋势线。这次突破发生在 10 月 28 日，当时价格收盘高于下降阻力位，表明市场结构发生了转变。

As the price continued to rally, it faced another crucial resistance level around $9.65, which corresponds to the 0.382 Fib retracement level from the recent drop. KCS broke above this resistance on November 3, opening the way for a further advance.

随着价格继续上涨，它面临着 9.65 美元附近的另一个关键阻力位，该阻力位对应于近期下跌的 0.382 Fib 回撤位。 KCS 于 11 月 3 日突破该阻力位，为进一步上涨开辟了道路。

On November 4, KCS rallied to reach $10.76, approaching the descending resistance line defining the bearish structure. The RSI is also in overbought territory, which may indicate a short-term correction or consolidation phase before a potential breakout attempt.

11 月 4 日，KCS 反弹至 10.76 美元，接近定义看跌结构的下降阻力线。 RSI 也处于超买区域，这可能表明在潜在突破尝试之前存在短期调整或盘整阶段。

If KCS can break above this descending resistance, it could signal a reversal and the beginning of a new bullish phase.

如果 KCS 能够突破这一下降阻力位，则可能预示着逆转并开始新的看涨阶段。

Should KCS break out above the resistance, the first major target will be around the $12 mark, where previous highs and horizontal resistance intersect with the trendline.

如果 KCS 突破阻力位，第一个主要目标将是 12 美元附近，之前的高点和水平阻力位与趋势线相交。

However, if rejection occurs here, we may see a retracement toward $8 or $7.39, a support area based on previous levels.

然而，如果此处出现拒绝，我们可能会看到回调至 8 美元或 7.39 美元，这是基于先前水平的支撑区域。

In a bullish scenario, a successful breakout above $12 would open the path for a broader recovery, with $15 as a potential target in the medium term.

在看涨的情况下，成功突破 12 美元上方将为更广泛的复苏开辟道路，其中 15 美元是中期的潜在目标。

Conversely, a breakdown below $7.39 could invalidate the bullish structure and suggest a return to lower support levels around $3.98, especially if broader market conditions turn bearish.

相反，跌破 7.39 美元可能会使看涨结构失效，并暗示将回到 3.98 美元左右的较低支撑位，特别是如果更广泛的市场状况转为看跌的话。

After notching the recent high at $10.76 on Aug 5, KCS appears to be in a corrective phase, suggesting potential retracement to key support levels.

在 8 月 5 日触及 10.76 美元的近期高点后，KCS 似乎处于修正阶段，表明可能回撤至关键支撑位。

If the correction extends, initial support lies between $9.65 and $8.72, aligning these levels closely with Fibonacci retracement zones (0.236 Fib and 0.382 Fib).

如果回调扩大，初步支撑位在 9.65 美元至 8.72 美元之间，这些水平与斐波那契回撤区域（0.236 斐波那契和 0.382 斐波那契）紧密一致。

Holding above $8.72 would be crucial for preserving the bullish structure, setting the stage for a potential rally.

维持在 8.72 美元上方对于维持看涨结构至关重要，为潜在反弹奠定基础。

Should KCS maintain this support, the next upward target is around the 0.5 Fib extension at $11.16, with a further extension reaching up to $12.75 based on Fibonacci projections (1.27 Fib).

如果 KCS 维持这一支撑，下一个上行目标是 0.5 Fib 延伸位附近，即 11.16 美元，根据 Fibonacci 预测（1.27 Fib），进一步延伸至 12.75 美元。

However, a drop below $8.72 could indicate a deeper correction, bringing KCS down to the $7.39 level before any significant rebound. The price action over the coming sessions will determine whether KCS can sustain its upward momentum.

然而，跌破 8.72 美元可能预示着进一步的调整，在任何显着反弹之前，KCS 会跌至 7.39 美元的水平。未来几个交易日的价格走势将决定 KCS 能否维持其上涨势头。

From the price action, KCS could have started a five-wave impulse on Aug 5, with its recent high coming to the 1.618 Fib level, validating the end of wave four.

从价格走势来看，KCS 可能在 8 月 5 日开始了五浪冲击，其近期高点达到 1.618 Fib 水平，验证了第四浪的结束。

This is why its current descending move is anticipated as a corrective one before a breakout above the descending resistance leads to a higher high and develops wave five.

这就是为什么在突破下降阻力并形成更高的高点并发展第五浪之前，当前的下降走势被预期为修正走势。