Dogecoin（Doge）市場情緒變成看跌，因為上升的三角形崩潰信號擴大了下降

加密貨幣市場以其波動性和不可預測的價格波動而聞名，再次目睹了不確定性的時期。

In the dynamic realm of cryptocurrency, where volatility and unpredictable price swings are the norm, a period of heightened uncertainty has descended upon the market, with several assets coming under increased scrutiny. Among these assets is Dogecoin, the meme coin that burst onto the scene in 2021 and captured the world’s imagination with its whimsical origins, playful community, and remarkable price surges.

在加密貨幣的動態領域中，波動性和不可預測的價格波動是常態的，不確定性的時期已經下降了市場，幾個資產受到了審查。這些資產中有Dogecoin，這是2021年爆發到現場的模因硬幣，並以異想天開的起源，嬉戲的社區和巨大的價格激增捕捉了世界的想像力。

However, recent technical analysis has raised concerns about an extended drawdown for Dogecoin, stemming from the breakdown of an Ascending Triangle pattern observed in its hourly price charts. This pattern, typically associated with bullish continuations, has implications for the meme coin’s future trajectory.

但是，最近的技術分析引起了人們對Dogecoin的擴大縮水的擔憂，這是由於其小時價格圖表中觀察到的上升三角模式的崩潰而引起的。這種模式通常與看漲的延續有關，對模因硬幣的未來軌跡具有影響。

This article delves into the Ascending Triangle pattern, its implications for Dogecoin, the broader market factors at play, and the potential future scenarios.

本文深入研究了上升的三角模式，對狗狗幣的影響，更廣泛的市場因素以及潛在的未來情況。

Understanding the Ascending Triangle Pattern

了解上升的三角形模式

了解上升的三角形模式

The Ascending Triangle is a technical analysis formation that traders use to identify potential continuations of an existing trend. It occurs when an asset’s price consolidates into a triangular range, defined by a flat upper trendline and an upward-sloping lower trendline.

上升三角形是交易者用來確定現有趨勢潛在延續的技術分析形成。當資產的價格合併為三角形範圍時，它發生在這是由平坦的上層趨勢線和向上傾斜的下趨勢線定義的。

The flat upper trendline acts as a resistance level, suggesting that sellers are stepping in to limit further gains. Meanwhile, the lower trendline, connecting a series of higher lows, indicates that buyers are returning to push the price back upward.

平坦的上層趨勢線充當阻力水平，這表明賣方正在介入以限制進一步的收益。同時，較低的趨勢線連接一系列較高的低點，這表明買家正在返回以向上推動價格。

In a typical scenario, traders anticipate a breakout above the upper resistance level, signaling a continuation of the upward trend. However, if the price breaks below the lower trendline, it can indicate a reversal of the trend.

在典型的情況下，交易者預計突破高於上部電阻水平，這表明了向上趨勢的延續。但是，如果價格下跌低於較低的趨勢線，則可以表明趨勢的逆轉。

When the Ascending Triangle pattern breaks down, it suggests that the bullish momentum is waning and a bearish phase may be setting in. This breakdown can occur if the price fails to hold above the lower trendline of the triangle.

當上升的三角形模式崩潰時，這表明看漲的動量正在減弱，看跌階段可能正在設置。如果價格不超過三角形的較低趨勢線，可能會發生這種故障。

Dogecoin’s Ascending Triangle Breakdown

Dogecoin的上升三角故障

Dogecoin的上升三角故障

Analyst Ali Martinez recently took to X, formerly Twitter, to highlight the Ascending Triangle pattern forming in Dogecoin’s hourly price action. According to the analyst, Dogecoin has lost the support of the ascending triangle.

分析師阿里·馬丁內斯（Ali Martinez）最近登上了X（以前是Twitter），以強調Dogecoin每小時價格動作中升高的三角形圖案。根據分析師的說法，Dogecoin失去了上升三角的支持。

This breakdown of the lower trendline is a significant technical development, suggesting that the previously established bullish trend is losing strength. The implication is that the buying pressure, which had been driving the price upward, has diminished, and sellers are now gaining control.

較低趨勢線的這種細分是一個重大的技術發展，這表明先前確立的看漲趨勢正在失去力量。這意味著購買壓力一直在上升，銷售商正在降低，而賣方現在正在獲得控制權。

This shift in momentum can lead to a sustained period of downward price action, potentially resulting in an extended drawdown for Dogecoin. The extent of this drawdown will depend on various factors, including the strength of the selling pressure, the overall market sentiment, and the presence of significant support levels.

動量的這種轉變可能導致持續的下降價格行動，可能導致Dogecoin的擴大縮減。這種下降的程度將取決於各種因素，包括銷售壓力的強度，整體市場情緒以及大量支持水平的存在。

Factors Contributing to the Potential Drawdown

導致潛在縮減的因素

導致潛在縮減的因素

Several factors could be contributing to Dogecoin’s potential extended drawdown.

可能有幾個因素可以導致多黴素的潛在擴大縮水。

Firstly, the broader cryptocurrency market has been experiencing a period of heightened volatility and uncertainty. Concerns about regulatory scrutiny, macroeconomic factors, and the potential for a market correction have weighed on investor sentiment, leading to increased selling pressure across various assets.

首先，更廣泛的加密貨幣市場經歷了一段時間的波動和不確定性。人們對監管審查，宏觀經濟因素以及市場糾正的潛力的擔憂使投資者的情緒造成了壓力，從而導致各種資產的銷售壓力增加。

Secondly, Dogecoin’s reliance on social media hype and community sentiment makes it particularly vulnerable to shifts in market dynamics. The coin’s price has historically been driven by viral trends and celebrity endorsements, rather than fundamental factors such as revenue generation or technological innovation.

其次，Dogecoin對社交媒體炒作和社區情緒的依賴使其特別容易受到市場動態變化的影響。在歷史上，硬幣的價格是由病毒趨勢和名人代言驅動的，而不是基本因素，例如產生收入或技術創新。

As the initial euphoria subsides and investors begin focusing more on assets with intrinsic value and use cases, we might see a shift in preference away from meme coins like Dogecoin.

隨著最初的Euphoria消退，投資者開始更多地關注具有內在價值和用例的資產，我們可能會看到，優先轉變從Dogecoin等模因硬幣中轉移。

Thirdly, the meme coin market, in general, is experiencing a period of consolidation after the extraordinary gains witnessed during the 2021 bull run. As the market matures, investors are concentrating on projects with strong fundamentals and real-world utility.

第三，在2021年公牛奔跑期間見證的非凡收益之後，Meme硬幣市場總體上正在經歷一段合併。隨著市場的成熟，投資者專注於具有強大基本原理和現實世界實用程序的項目。

This shift in focus could lead to a decline in interest in meme coins, which are often associated with short-term speculation.

這種重點的轉變可能導致對模因硬幣的興趣下降，而模因硬幣通常與短期投機有關。

Technical Analysis and Potential Support Levels

技術分析和潛在支持水平

技術分析和潛在支持水平

To gauge the potential extent of Dogecoin’s drawdown, it is essential to examine key technical support levels. These levels are price points where traders anticipate an increase in buying pressure, potentially halting the downward trend.

為了衡量Dogecoin縮減的潛在程度，必須檢查關鍵的技術支持水平。這些水平是交易者預計購買壓力會增加的價格點，可能會停止下降趨勢。

Technical support levels can be derived using various methods, such as identifying previous swing lows, Fibonacci retracement levels, and moving averages.

可以使用各種方法來得出技術支持水平，例如識別先前的鞦韆低點，斐波那契回溯水平和移動平均值。

Previous swing lows are the lowest points reached by the price during a significant price decline. Fibonacci retracement levels are percentages of a prior price move that are used to predict future price reversals.

先前的鞦韆低點是價格下降的最低點。斐波那契回撤水平是用於預測未來價格逆轉的先前價格轉移的百分比。

Moving averages are used to smooth out price fluctuations and identify the overall direction of the trend. The type and period of the moving average can vary depending on the trader’s preference.

移動平均值用於平滑價格波動並確定趨勢的總體方向。移動平均值的類型和周期可能會因交易者的喜好而異。

Technical support levels can provide insight into potential price targets and the severity of the drawdown. For example, if the price breaks through a strong Fibonacci support level, it can indicate that further declines are likely.

技術支持水平可以洞悉潛在的價格目標和縮減的嚴重性。例如，如果價格突破了強大的斐波那契支持水平，則可以表明可能進一步下降。

However, it is crucial to remember that technical analysis is not foolproof. Market conditions can change rapidly, and unexpected events can disrupt established patterns.

但是，要記住技術分析並非萬無一失是至關重要的。市場條件可能會迅速變化，意外事件可能會破壞已建立的模式。

Technical analysis should be used as a tool for risk management and decision-making, not as a definitive predictor of future price movements.

技術分析應用作風險管理和決策的工具，而不是對未來價格變動的明確預測指標。

The Broader Market Context

更廣泛的市場環境

更廣泛的市場環境