Dogecoin（Doge）市场情绪变成看跌，因为上升的三角形崩溃信号扩大了下降

加密货币市场以其波动性和不可预测的价格波动而闻名，再次目睹了不确定性的时期。

In the dynamic realm of cryptocurrency, where volatility and unpredictable price swings are the norm, a period of heightened uncertainty has descended upon the market, with several assets coming under increased scrutiny. Among these assets is Dogecoin, the meme coin that burst onto the scene in 2021 and captured the world’s imagination with its whimsical origins, playful community, and remarkable price surges.

在加密货币的动态领域中，波动性和不可预测的价格波动是常态的，不确定性的时期已经下降了市场，几个资产受到了审查。这些资产中有Dogecoin，这是2021年爆发到现场的模因硬币，并以异想天开的起源，嬉戏的社区和巨大的价格激增捕捉了世界的想象力。

However, recent technical analysis has raised concerns about an extended drawdown for Dogecoin, stemming from the breakdown of an Ascending Triangle pattern observed in its hourly price charts. This pattern, typically associated with bullish continuations, has implications for the meme coin’s future trajectory.

但是，最近的技术分析引起了人们对Dogecoin的扩大缩水的担忧，这是由于其小时价格图表中观察到的上升三角模式的崩溃而引起的。这种模式通常与看涨的延续有关，对模因硬币的未来轨迹具有影响。

This article delves into the Ascending Triangle pattern, its implications for Dogecoin, the broader market factors at play, and the potential future scenarios.

本文深入研究了上升的三角模式，对狗狗币的影响，更广泛的市场因素以及潜在的未来情况。

Understanding the Ascending Triangle Pattern

了解上升的三角形模式

了解上升的三角形模式

The Ascending Triangle is a technical analysis formation that traders use to identify potential continuations of an existing trend. It occurs when an asset’s price consolidates into a triangular range, defined by a flat upper trendline and an upward-sloping lower trendline.

上升三角形是交易者用来确定现有趋势潜在延续的技术分析形成。当资产的价格合并为三角形范围时，它发生在这是由平坦的上层趋势线和向上倾斜的下趋势线定义的。

The flat upper trendline acts as a resistance level, suggesting that sellers are stepping in to limit further gains. Meanwhile, the lower trendline, connecting a series of higher lows, indicates that buyers are returning to push the price back upward.

平坦的上层趋势线充当阻力水平，这表明卖方正在介入以限制进一步的收益。同时，较低的趋势线连接一系列较高的低点，这表明买家正在返回以将价格向上推动。

In a typical scenario, traders anticipate a breakout above the upper resistance level, signaling a continuation of the upward trend. However, if the price breaks below the lower trendline, it can indicate a reversal of the trend.

在典型的情况下，交易者预计突破高于上部电阻水平，这表明了向上趋势的延续。但是，如果价格下跌低于较低的趋势线，则可以表明趋势的逆转。

When the Ascending Triangle pattern breaks down, it suggests that the bullish momentum is waning and a bearish phase may be setting in. This breakdown can occur if the price fails to hold above the lower trendline of the triangle.

当上升的三角形模式崩溃时，这表明看涨的动量正在减弱，看跌阶段可能正在设置。如果价格不超过三角形的较低趋势线，可能会发生这种故障。

Dogecoin’s Ascending Triangle Breakdown

Dogecoin的上升三角故障

Dogecoin的上升三角故障

Analyst Ali Martinez recently took to X, formerly Twitter, to highlight the Ascending Triangle pattern forming in Dogecoin’s hourly price action. According to the analyst, Dogecoin has lost the support of the ascending triangle.

分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）最近登上了X（以前是Twitter），以强调Dogecoin每小时价格动作中升高的三角形图案。根据分析师的说法，Dogecoin失去了上升三角的支持。

This breakdown of the lower trendline is a significant technical development, suggesting that the previously established bullish trend is losing strength. The implication is that the buying pressure, which had been driving the price upward, has diminished, and sellers are now gaining control.

较低趋势线的这种细分是一个重大的技术发展，这表明先前确立的看涨趋势正在失去力量。这意味着购买压力一直在上升，销售商正在降低，而卖方现在正在获得控制权。

This shift in momentum can lead to a sustained period of downward price action, potentially resulting in an extended drawdown for Dogecoin. The extent of this drawdown will depend on various factors, including the strength of the selling pressure, the overall market sentiment, and the presence of significant support levels.

动量的这种转变可能导致持续的下降价格行动，可能导致Dogecoin的扩大缩减。这种下降的程度将取决于各种因素，包括销售压力的强度，整体市场情绪以及大量支持水平的存在。

Factors Contributing to the Potential Drawdown

导致潜在缩减的因素

导致潜在缩减的因素

Several factors could be contributing to Dogecoin’s potential extended drawdown.

可能有几个因素可以导致多霉素的潜在扩大缩水。

Firstly, the broader cryptocurrency market has been experiencing a period of heightened volatility and uncertainty. Concerns about regulatory scrutiny, macroeconomic factors, and the potential for a market correction have weighed on investor sentiment, leading to increased selling pressure across various assets.

首先，更广泛的加密货币市场经历了一段时间的波动和不确定性。人们对监管审查，宏观经济因素以及市场纠正的潜力的担忧使投资者的情绪造成了压力，从而导致各种资产的销售压力增加。

Secondly, Dogecoin’s reliance on social media hype and community sentiment makes it particularly vulnerable to shifts in market dynamics. The coin’s price has historically been driven by viral trends and celebrity endorsements, rather than fundamental factors such as revenue generation or technological innovation.

其次，Dogecoin对社交媒体炒作和社区情绪的依赖使其特别容易受到市场动态变化的影响。在历史上，硬币的价格是由病毒趋势和名人代言驱动的，而不是基本因素，例如产生收入或技术创新。

As the initial euphoria subsides and investors begin focusing more on assets with intrinsic value and use cases, we might see a shift in preference away from meme coins like Dogecoin.

随着最初的Euphoria消退，投资者开始更多地关注具有内在价值和用例的资产，我们可能会看到，优先转变从Dogecoin等模因硬币中转移。

Thirdly, the meme coin market, in general, is experiencing a period of consolidation after the extraordinary gains witnessed during the 2021 bull run. As the market matures, investors are concentrating on projects with strong fundamentals and real-world utility.

第三，在2021年公牛奔跑期间见证的非凡收益之后，Meme硬币市场总体上正在经历一段合并。随着市场的成熟，投资者专注于具有强大基本原理和现实世界实用程序的项目。

This shift in focus could lead to a decline in interest in meme coins, which are often associated with short-term speculation.

这种重点的转变可能导致对模因硬币的兴趣下降，而模因硬币通常与短期投机有关。

Technical Analysis and Potential Support Levels

技术分析和潜在支持水平

技术分析和潜在支持水平

To gauge the potential extent of Dogecoin’s drawdown, it is essential to examine key technical support levels. These levels are price points where traders anticipate an increase in buying pressure, potentially halting the downward trend.

为了衡量Dogecoin缩减的潜在程度，必须检查关键的技术支持水平。这些水平是交易者预计购买压力会增加的价格点，可能会停止下降趋势。

Technical support levels can be derived using various methods, such as identifying previous swing lows, Fibonacci retracement levels, and moving averages.

可以使用各种方法来得出技术支持水平，例如识别先前的秋千低点，斐波那契回溯水平和移动平均值。

Previous swing lows are the lowest points reached by the price during a significant price decline. Fibonacci retracement levels are percentages of a prior price move that are used to predict future price reversals.

先前的秋千低点是价格下降的最低点。斐波那契回撤水平是用于预测未来价格逆转的先前价格转移的百分比。

Moving averages are used to smooth out price fluctuations and identify the overall direction of the trend. The type and period of the moving average can vary depending on the trader’s preference.

移动平均值用于平滑价格波动并确定趋势的总体方向。移动平均值的类型和周期可能会因交易者的喜好而异。

Technical support levels can provide insight into potential price targets and the severity of the drawdown. For example, if the price breaks through a strong Fibonacci support level, it can indicate that further declines are likely.

技术支持水平可以洞悉潜在的价格目标和缩减的严重性。例如，如果价格突破了强大的斐波那契支持水平，则可以表明可能进一步下降。

However, it is crucial to remember that technical analysis is not foolproof. Market conditions can change rapidly, and unexpected events can disrupt established patterns.

但是，要记住技术分析并非万无一失是至关重要的。市场条件可能会迅速变化，意外事件可能会破坏已建立的模式。

Technical analysis should be used as a tool for risk management and decision-making, not as a definitive predictor of future price movements.

技术分析应用作风险管理和决策的工具，而不是对未来价格变动的明确预测指标。

The Broader Market Context

更广泛的市场环境

更广泛的市场环境