當您決定購買 Meme 幣時…

前幾天我買了一些狗狗幣。如果這聽起來有點瘋狂，別擔心。我不覺得自己是全世界最老練的交易者

I bought some Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) the other day.

前幾天我買了一些狗狗幣（加密貨幣：DOGE）。

If that sounds a little crazy to you, don’t worry. I’m not feeling like the world’s most sophisticated trader when my phone buzzes with DOGE price alerts.

如果這聽起來有點瘋狂，別擔心。當我的手機響起 DOGE 價格提醒時，我感覺自己不是全世界最老練的交易者。

The reality of this trade sounds ridiculous when you spell it out: I bought a small amount (about 10% of what I would consider a full-size position) of crypto that was started as a joke and infamously evolved into a popular meme coin.

當你詳細說明時，這種交易的現實聽起來很荒謬：我購買了少量（大約是我認為的完整頭寸的10%）加密貨幣，它最初是作為一個笑話而臭名昭著地演變成一種流行的模因硬幣。

Before I get into why I’m throwing money at meme coins and where I think they’re headed, here’s a quick-and-dirty history of Dogecoin for the uninitiated:

在我解釋為什麼我要向迷因幣投入資金以及我認為它們的發展方向之前，先為外行人簡單介紹一下狗狗幣的歷史：

Dogecoin (DOGE) gained popularity on internet message boards and quickly morphed into a popular meme. DOGE has become so popular, in fact, that it has spawned similar meme coins and tokens such as Shiba Inu (the same breed used as the Dogecoin mascot, of course).

狗狗幣（DOGE）在網路留言板上廣受歡迎，並迅速演變成流行的迷因。事實上，DOGE 已經變得如此受歡迎，以至於它催生了類似的迷因硬幣和代幣，例如柴犬（當然，與狗狗幣吉祥物使用的品種相同）。

During the roaring 2020-early 2021 crypto bull, DOGE was the topic of a popular TikTok meme that attempted to push the price to $1. That move ultimately failed, and DOGE was eventually chewed up during the 2022 bear market, bottoming out just above 5 cents.

在 2020 年至 2021 年初加密貨幣牛市期間，DOGE 是 TikTok 熱門表情包的主題，該表情包試圖將價格推至 1 美元。這項舉措最終失敗了，DOGE 最終在 2022 年熊市中受到重創，觸底僅略高於 5 美分。

As you’ve probably guessed, DOGE has started to recover. It’s sneaking back above 40 cents and curling toward those 2021 highs. DOGE’s growth has evolved from a crypto-joke into a top-ten coin by market cap. That’s right — this big dog is now a $65 billion force in the crypto space, around the same size as old-school oil services biz Schlumberger (SLB).

正如您可能已經猜到的那樣，DOGE 已經開始恢復。它正在悄悄回升至 40 美分上方，並逐漸接近 2021 年的高點。 DOGE 的成長已經從一個加密笑話發展成為市值排名前十的代幣。沒錯，這隻大狗現在是加密貨幣領域價值 650 億美元的力量，與老派石油服務公司斯倫貝謝 (SLB) 的規模大致相同。

More importantly, DOGE has now rallied more than 300% off its fall lows, setting it up for a much bigger breakout…

更重要的是，DOGE 目前已從下跌低點反彈超過 300%，為更大的突破做好了準備…

I didn’t buy DOGE because of a TikTok trend.

我購買 DOGE 並不是因為 TikTok 的流行。

I didn’t buy it because I believe Trump’s win will somehow trigger a new golden age for crypto…

我沒有購買它，因為我相信川普的勝利將以某種方式引發加密貨幣的新黃金時代...

I didn’t buy it because Elon Musk’s new “position” as co-chair of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) is some sort of magical incantation that will somehow 10x Dogecoin over the next year (though it might)…

我沒有買它，因為埃隆·馬斯克（Elon Musk）作為政府效率部（DOGE）聯合主席的新“職位”是某種神奇的咒語，它將在明年以某種方式使狗狗幣上漲10倍（儘管有可能）…

I bought DOGE because momentum is increasing as Bitcoin speculators begin to trickle down the cap scale to these smaller, potentially explosive trades. Yes, I still like Bitcoin here. I think it will continue to push higher and top $100K soon. But it’s also important to remember that in these crypto bull markets, we begin to see the smaller meme coins ignite as Bitcoin consolidates.

我買 DOGE 是因為隨著比特幣投機者開始將上限規模逐漸降低到這些規模較小、可能具有爆炸性的交易，勢頭正在增強。是的，我仍然喜歡這裡的比特幣。我認為它將繼續推高並很快突破 10 萬美元。但同樣重要的是要記住，在這些加密貨幣牛市中，隨著比特幣的整合，我們開始看到較小的迷因硬幣被點燃。

Plus, it’s still early! I don’t think Bitcoin has run out of gas just yet. When we look back on the last big meme coin rally, a majority of the gains materialized after Bitcoin had already topped out.

另外，現在還早！我認為比特幣還沒有耗盡燃料。當我們回顧上一次迷因代幣的大漲時，大部分漲幅是在比特幣已經觸頂之後實現的。

If you’re not a crypto aficionado, this all might sound completely bizarre — or worse, totally stupid and not worth your time.

如果你不是加密貨幣愛好者，這一切可能聽起來很奇怪——或者更糟，完全愚蠢，不值得你花時間。

But trading isn’t about acting smart. It’s about making money. And right now, there’s money to be made in these smaller cryptocurrencies.

但交易不是要表現得聰明。這是為了賺錢。現在，這些較小的加密貨幣可以賺錢。

‘Tis the Season for Crypto Madness

這是加密貨幣瘋狂的季節

We’ve spent the past several weeks chronicling the melt-up rally that has helped vault the averages to new highs. Now, with a little more than four trading weeks left in 2024, we have been gifted by one of those magical markets that over-delivers on momentum moves and breakouts.

在過去的幾周里，我們一直在記錄幫助平均價格升至新高的熔漲反彈。現在，距離 2024 年只剩下四個多交易週了，我們被賦予了一個神奇的市場，它在動量變動和突破方面表現出色。

As traders, it’s our job to take full advantage of these conditions.

身為交易者，我們的工作就是充分利用這些條件。

While many of the bigger leaders from earlier this year continue to consolidate, smaller stocks and those big growth bases we’ve been tracking are ripping higher. All the cool kids are putting on their speculator hats and chasing smaller momentum stocks.

儘管今年早些時候許多規模較大的龍頭企業繼續整合，但規模較小的股票和我們一直追蹤的那些大型成長基礎股票正在大幅上漲。所有的酷孩子都戴上了投機者的帽子，追逐較小的動量股票。

That means we’ll need to toss some of our common sense out the window. Many ideas that the market would deem “too stupid to float” are going to do well in this type of environment. Embrace it!

這意味著我們需要拋棄一些常識。許多被市場認為「太愚蠢而無法實現」的想法在這種環境下將會表現良好。擁抱它！

Of course, these melt-up moves are amplified in the crypto space. Bitcoin is still consolidating just short of $100K. Meanwhile, the alt-coins and tokens have been exploding left and right. Now is a great time to dive into these murky waters to see if your favorite meme coin will double overnight.

當然，這些融化的舉動在加密貨幣領域被放大。比特幣仍在鞏固，接近 10 萬美元。與此同時，山寨幣和代幣一直在爆炸式增長。現在是潛入這些黑暗水域的好時機，看看你最喜歡的迷因硬幣是否會在一夜之間翻倍。

How high can the coins go? How long will this crypto bull cycle last?

硬幣能漲多高？這次加密牛市週期會持續多久？

I can’t say for sure. But I don’t think we’ve seen the top just yet! Seasonal trends for the stock market are strong in December into January — which also happens to be when Bitcoin and the crypto market have enjoyed their biggest rallies (think back to 2017 and 2020

我不能肯定地說。但我認為我們還沒有看到頂部！股票市場的季節性趨勢在 12 月到 1 月期間表現強勁——這也恰好是比特幣和加密貨幣市場經歷最大反彈的時候（回想一下 2017 年和 2020 年）