当您决定购买 Meme 币时……

前几天我买了一些狗狗币。如果这听起来有点疯狂，别担心。我不觉得自己是世界上最老练的交易者

I bought some Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) the other day.

前几天我买了一些狗狗币（加密货币：DOGE）。

If that sounds a little crazy to you, don’t worry. I’m not feeling like the world’s most sophisticated trader when my phone buzzes with DOGE price alerts.

如果这听起来有点疯狂，别担心。当我的手机响起 DOGE 价格提醒时，我感觉自己并不是世界上最老练的交易者。

The reality of this trade sounds ridiculous when you spell it out: I bought a small amount (about 10% of what I would consider a full-size position) of crypto that was started as a joke and infamously evolved into a popular meme coin.

当你详细说明时，这种交易的现实听起来很荒谬：我购买了少量（大约是我认为的完整头寸的 10%）加密货币，它最初是作为一个笑话而臭名昭著地演变成一种流行的模因硬币。

Before I get into why I’m throwing money at meme coins and where I think they’re headed, here’s a quick-and-dirty history of Dogecoin for the uninitiated:

在我解释为什么我要向模因币投入资金以及我认为它们的发展方向之前，先为外行人士简单介绍一下狗狗币的历史：

Dogecoin (DOGE) gained popularity on internet message boards and quickly morphed into a popular meme. DOGE has become so popular, in fact, that it has spawned similar meme coins and tokens such as Shiba Inu (the same breed used as the Dogecoin mascot, of course).

狗狗币（DOGE）在互联网留言板上广受欢迎，并迅速演变成流行的模因。事实上，DOGE 已经变得如此受欢迎，以至于它催生了类似的模因硬币和代币，例如柴犬（当然，与狗狗币吉祥物使用的品种相同）。

During the roaring 2020-early 2021 crypto bull, DOGE was the topic of a popular TikTok meme that attempted to push the price to $1. That move ultimately failed, and DOGE was eventually chewed up during the 2022 bear market, bottoming out just above 5 cents.

在 2020 年至 2021 年初加密货币牛市期间，DOGE 是 TikTok 热门表情包的主题，该表情包试图将价格推至 1 美元。这一举措最终失败了，DOGE 最终在 2022 年熊市中受到重创，触底仅略高于 5 美分。

As you’ve probably guessed, DOGE has started to recover. It’s sneaking back above 40 cents and curling toward those 2021 highs. DOGE’s growth has evolved from a crypto-joke into a top-ten coin by market cap. That’s right — this big dog is now a $65 billion force in the crypto space, around the same size as old-school oil services biz Schlumberger (SLB).

正如您可能已经猜到的那样，DOGE 已经开始恢复。它正在悄悄回升至 40 美分上方，并逐渐接近 2021 年的高点。 DOGE 的成长已经从一个加密笑话发展成为市值排名前十的代币。没错，这只大狗现在是加密货币领域价值 650 亿美元的力量，与老派石油服务公司斯伦贝谢 (SLB) 的规模大致相同。

More importantly, DOGE has now rallied more than 300% off its fall lows, setting it up for a much bigger breakout…

更重要的是，DOGE 目前已从下跌低点反弹超过 300%，为更大的突破做好了准备……

I didn’t buy DOGE because of a TikTok trend.

我购买 DOGE 并不是因为 TikTok 的流行。

I didn’t buy it because I believe Trump’s win will somehow trigger a new golden age for crypto…

我没有购买它，因为我相信特朗普的胜利将以某种方式引发加密货币的新黄金时代......

I didn’t buy it because Elon Musk’s new “position” as co-chair of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) is some sort of magical incantation that will somehow 10x Dogecoin over the next year (though it might)…

我没有买它，因为埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）作为政府效率部（DOGE）联合主席的新“职位”是某种神奇的咒语，它将在明年以某种方式使狗狗币上涨 10 倍（尽管有可能）……

I bought DOGE because momentum is increasing as Bitcoin speculators begin to trickle down the cap scale to these smaller, potentially explosive trades. Yes, I still like Bitcoin here. I think it will continue to push higher and top $100K soon. But it’s also important to remember that in these crypto bull markets, we begin to see the smaller meme coins ignite as Bitcoin consolidates.

我买入 DOGE 是因为随着比特币投机者开始将上限规模逐渐降低到这些规模较小、可能具有爆炸性的交易，势头正在增强。是的，我仍然喜欢这里的比特币。我认为它将继续推高并很快突破 10 万美元。但同样重要的是要记住，在这些加密货币牛市中，随着比特币的整合，我们开始看到较小的模因硬币被点燃。

Plus, it’s still early! I don’t think Bitcoin has run out of gas just yet. When we look back on the last big meme coin rally, a majority of the gains materialized after Bitcoin had already topped out.

另外，现在还早！我认为比特币还没有耗尽燃料。当我们回顾上一次模因代币的大涨时，大部分涨幅是在比特币已经触顶之后实现的。

If you’re not a crypto aficionado, this all might sound completely bizarre — or worse, totally stupid and not worth your time.

如果你不是加密货币爱好者，这一切可能听起来很奇怪——或者更糟，完全愚蠢，不值得你花时间。

But trading isn’t about acting smart. It’s about making money. And right now, there’s money to be made in these smaller cryptocurrencies.

但交易并不是要表现得聪明。这是为了赚钱。现在，这些较小的加密货币可以赚钱。

‘Tis the Season for Crypto Madness

这是加密货币疯狂的季节

We’ve spent the past several weeks chronicling the melt-up rally that has helped vault the averages to new highs. Now, with a little more than four trading weeks left in 2024, we have been gifted by one of those magical markets that over-delivers on momentum moves and breakouts.

在过去的几周里，我们一直在记录帮助平均价格升至新高的熔涨反弹。现在，距离 2024 年只剩下四个多交易周了，我们被赋予了一个神奇的市场，它在动量变动和突破方面表现出色。

As traders, it’s our job to take full advantage of these conditions.

作为交易者，我们的工作就是充分利用这些条件。

While many of the bigger leaders from earlier this year continue to consolidate, smaller stocks and those big growth bases we’ve been tracking are ripping higher. All the cool kids are putting on their speculator hats and chasing smaller momentum stocks.

尽管今年早些时候许多规模较大的龙头企业继续整合，但规模较小的股票和我们一直跟踪的那些大型增长基础股票正在大幅上涨。所有的酷孩子都戴上了投机者的帽子，追逐较小的动量股票。

That means we’ll need to toss some of our common sense out the window. Many ideas that the market would deem “too stupid to float” are going to do well in this type of environment. Embrace it!

这意味着我们需要抛弃一些常识。许多被市场认为“太愚蠢而无法实现”的想法在这种环境下将会表现良好。拥抱它！

Of course, these melt-up moves are amplified in the crypto space. Bitcoin is still consolidating just short of $100K. Meanwhile, the alt-coins and tokens have been exploding left and right. Now is a great time to dive into these murky waters to see if your favorite meme coin will double overnight.

当然，这些融化的举动在加密货币领域被放大。比特币仍在巩固，接近 10 万美元。与此同时，山寨币和代币一直在爆炸式增长。现在是潜入这些黑暗水域的好时机，看看你最喜欢的模因硬币是否会在一夜之间翻倍。

How high can the coins go? How long will this crypto bull cycle last?

硬币能涨到多高？这次加密牛市周期会持续多久？

I can’t say for sure. But I don’t think we’ve seen the top just yet! Seasonal trends for the stock market are strong in December into January — which also happens to be when Bitcoin and the crypto market have enjoyed their biggest rallies (think back to 2017 and 2020

我不能肯定地说。但我认为我们还没有看到顶部！股票市场的季节性趋势在 12 月到 1 月期间表现强劲——这也恰好是比特币和加密货币市场经历最大反弹的时候（回想一下 2017 年和 2020 年）