關於美國政府購買更多比特幣的可能性，辯論正在醞釀

這一發展是在美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）較早的行政命令旨在建立國家比特幣儲備金的情況下進行的。但是，關於2025年發生這種可能性的意見在財務分析師之間被大幅分配。

A debate has emerged over the likelihood of the US government adding Bitcoin to its reserves in 2025. This follows President Donald Trump’s executive order earlier this year, which hinted at the creation of a national crypto reserve. However, financial analysts are sharply divided on the probability of this happening.

關於美國政府在2025年在其儲備中增加比特幣的可能性的辯論。這是在今年早些時候唐納德·特朗普總統的行政命令中，這暗示了建立了國家加密保護區。但是，財務分析師在發生這種情況的可能性方面截然不同。

A new analysis by a Bloomberg expert suggests a 30% chance of the government augmenting its Bitcoin portfolio. The analyst pointed to the current political environment in Washington as a major hurdle.

彭博專家的一項新分析表明，政府有30％的機會增加了比特幣投資組合。分析師指出，華盛頓當前的政治環境是一個重大障礙。

With the Republicans now holding a slim majority of seats in Congress, any move to buy Bitcoin is likely to be met with strong opposition from the Democratic party.

現在，共和黨人在國會中擁有較小的席位，任何購買比特幣的舉動都可能會受到民主黨的強烈反對。

The analyst also noted that if Trump was serious about buying Bitcoin for the country’s reserve, he could already have made use of current government channels, such as the Exchange Stabilization Fund, to purchase such assets. This note puts in doubt whether a large-scale Bitcoin buyout is possible and necessary soon.

分析師還指出，如果特朗普認真對待為該國的儲備購買比特幣，他可能已經利用當前的政府渠道（例如交易所穩定基金）來購買此類資產。本說明使是否可能很快又有必要進行大規模的比特幣收購。

However, presenting a brighter outlook, Matt Sigel, Head of Digital Assets Research at VanEck, sees a 50% to 60% possibility of the US government purchasing Bitcoin this year.

然而，Vaneck的數字資產研究負責人Matt Sigel提出了更加明亮的前景，今年美國政府購買比特幣的可能性為50％至60％。

(The specific name of the Bloomberg analyst is not mentioned in the available search results. But the information was shared by Sigel, who referenced a note from a Bloomberg legal analyst).

（在可用搜索結果中未提及彭博分析師的特定名稱。但是，Sigel共享了該信息，Sigel提到了彭博法律分析師的註釋）。

He noted that the benefits of keeping BTC in a national reserve outweigh the political challenges mentioned by the Bloomberg analyst. Sigel believes the government could realize the strategic importance of including cryptocurrencies in its financial strategy.

他指出，將BTC保存在國家儲備中的好處大於彭博分析師提到的政治挑戰。西格爾認為，政府可以意識到將加密貨幣納入其財務戰略的戰略重要性。

Earlier this year, Trump issued an executive order that hinted at the creation of a US government-owned crypto reserve. But the details and timeline for this move are still not clear, leading to varied opinions among experts.

今年早些時候，特朗普發布了一項行政命令，暗示創建了美國政府擁有的加密保護區。但是，此舉的細節和時間表仍不清楚，從而導致專家之間的意見多樣。

If the US holds a large amount of Bitcoin, it could have major implications for both the crypto world and the wider financial market.

如果美國擁有大量比特幣，它可能會對加密貨幣世界和更廣泛的金融市場產生重大影響。