关于美国政府购买更多比特币的可能性，辩论正在酝酿

这一发展是在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）较早的行政命令旨在建立国家比特币储备金的情况下进行的。但是，关于2025年发生这种可能性的意见在财务分析师之间被大幅分配。

A debate has emerged over the likelihood of the US government adding Bitcoin to its reserves in 2025. This follows President Donald Trump’s executive order earlier this year, which hinted at the creation of a national crypto reserve. However, financial analysts are sharply divided on the probability of this happening.

关于美国政府在2025年在其储备中增加比特币的可能性的辩论。这是在今年早些时候唐纳德·特朗普总统的行政命令中，这暗示了建立了国家加密保护区。但是，财务分析师在发生这种情况的可能性方面截然不同。

A new analysis by a Bloomberg expert suggests a 30% chance of the government augmenting its Bitcoin portfolio. The analyst pointed to the current political environment in Washington as a major hurdle.

彭博专家的一项新分析表明，政府有30％的机会增加了比特币投资组合。分析师指出，华盛顿当前的政治环境是一个重大障碍。

With the Republicans now holding a slim majority of seats in Congress, any move to buy Bitcoin is likely to be met with strong opposition from the Democratic party.

现在，共和党人在国会中拥有较小的席位，任何购买比特币的举动都可能会受到民主党的强烈反对。

The analyst also noted that if Trump was serious about buying Bitcoin for the country’s reserve, he could already have made use of current government channels, such as the Exchange Stabilization Fund, to purchase such assets. This note puts in doubt whether a large-scale Bitcoin buyout is possible and necessary soon.

分析师还指出，如果特朗普认真对待为该国的储备购买比特币，他可能已经利用当前的政府渠道（例如交易所稳定基金）来购买此类资产。本说明使是否可能很快又有必要进行大规模的比特币收购。

However, presenting a brighter outlook, Matt Sigel, Head of Digital Assets Research at VanEck, sees a 50% to 60% possibility of the US government purchasing Bitcoin this year.

然而，Vaneck的数字资产研究负责人Matt Sigel提出了更加明亮的前景，今年美国政府购买比特币的可能性为50％至60％。

(The specific name of the Bloomberg analyst is not mentioned in the available search results. But the information was shared by Sigel, who referenced a note from a Bloomberg legal analyst).

（在可用搜索结果中未提及彭博分析师的特定名称。但是，Sigel共享了该信息，Sigel提到了彭博法律分析师的注释）。

He noted that the benefits of keeping BTC in a national reserve outweigh the political challenges mentioned by the Bloomberg analyst. Sigel believes the government could realize the strategic importance of including cryptocurrencies in its financial strategy.

他指出，将BTC保存在国家储备中的好处大于彭博分析师提到的政治挑战。西格尔认为，政府可以意识到将加密货币纳入其财务战略的战略重要性。

Earlier this year, Trump issued an executive order that hinted at the creation of a US government-owned crypto reserve. But the details and timeline for this move are still not clear, leading to varied opinions among experts.

今年早些时候，特朗普发布了一项行政命令，暗示创建了美国政府拥有的加密保护区。但是，此举的细节和时间表仍不清楚，从而导致专家之间的意见多样。

If the US holds a large amount of Bitcoin, it could have major implications for both the crypto world and the wider financial market.

如果美国拥有大量比特币，它可能会对加密货币世界和更广泛的金融市场产生重大影响。