Glassnode 聯合創辦人預測，儘管經濟低迷，加密貨幣市場仍將大幅飆升

Glassnode 聯合創始人預測，儘管最近出現了調整，但不包括十大加密貨幣（「其他」），加密貨幣市場將出現大幅增長。他們的分析顯示「其他」有強勁的上升趨勢，有可能比目前水準成長 350%。這種看漲情緒與整體市場復甦一致，比特幣和以太幣等主要加密貨幣都出現上漲。值得注意的是，比特幣因高交易費用而受到批評，但其平均費用最近有所下降，分析師預測減半後其價格將飆升。

Crypto Market Poised for Massive Upswing, Defying Recent Downturns, According to Glassnode Cofounders

Glassnode 聯合創辦人表示，加密貨幣市場將迎來大幅上漲，克服近期的低迷

Amidst the turbulence and uncertainty that has gripped the crypto market in the wake of the recent Bitcoin halving, the cofounders of Glassnode, through their official Twitter account, Negentropic, have injected a surge of optimism, predicting a significant upswing in the market.

最近比特幣減半後，加密市場陷入動盪和不確定性，Glassnode 的聯合創始人透過他們的官方 Twitter 帳戶 Negentropic 注入了一股樂觀情緒，預測市場將大幅上漲。

Market Analysis Unveils Strong Uptrend

市場分析揭示強勁的上升趨勢

Negentropic's analysis reveals that the crypto market, excluding the top 10 cryptocurrencies, known as "OTHERS," is exhibiting signs of a robust uptrend, hinting at the potential for further upward momentum. This observation stands in stark contrast to the heightened volatility and uncertainty that followed the Bitcoin halving event on April 20, which reduced miners' block subsidy rewards from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC.

Negentropic 的分析顯示，除了前 10 名的加密貨幣（稱為「其他」）之外，加密貨幣市場正在表現出強勁的上升趨勢跡象，暗示有進一步上升勢頭的潛力。這項觀察結果與 4 月 20 日比特幣減半事件後波動性和不確定性加劇形成鮮明對比，減半事件將礦工的區塊補貼獎勵從 6.25 BTC 減少到 3.125 BTC。

Drawing parallels to the "strong correction" witnessed in early 2021, which they identified as "wave 4" in the market cycle, the Glassnode cofounders draw attention to an intriguing pattern in the market's behavior.

Glassnode 聯合創始人將 2021 年初見證的“強烈調整”視為市場週期的“第四波”，並提請人們注意市場行為中一個有趣的模式。

"OTHERS" follows Crypto excl. the largest 10 Cryptos. Observe that we in early 2021 had a strong correction. We believe that was a wave 4. We now have a similar strong decline. More upside is coming. This index and our Fibonacci levels… pic.twitter.com/qKtIOSXneP

「其他」遵循加密貨幣，不包括在內。最大的 10 個加密貨幣。觀察到我們在 2021 年初經歷了一次強烈的調整。我們認為這是第四波。更多的上漲空間即將到來。該指數和我們的斐波那契水平… pic.twitter.com/qKtIOSXneP

— 𝗡𝗲𝗴𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗶𝗰 (@Negentropic_) April 22, 2024

-𝗡𝗲𝗴𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗶𝗰（@Negentropic_）2024年4月22日

Armed with their index and Fibonacci levels, they anticipate an exponential increase of approximately 350% from the current market levels, underscoring their unwavering belief in the potential for sustained market expansion despite recent downturns.

憑藉指數和斐波那契水平，他們預計當前市場水平將呈指數增長約 350%，這突顯了他們對儘管近期低迷但市場持續擴張潛力的堅定信念。

Overall Market Sentiment Remains Bullish

整體市場情緒依然看漲

While Glassnode's cofounders have painted a rosy picture for the crypto market, it is essential to acknowledge that the overall market sentiment remains bullish. Following last week's notable decline, the global crypto market is displaying signs of recovery, with a nearly 3% increase over the past 24 hours.

儘管 Glassnode 的聯合創始人為加密貨幣市場描繪了一幅美好的圖景，但必須承認整體市場情緒仍然看漲。繼上週顯著下跌之後，全球加密貨幣市場正在顯示出復甦的跡象，過去 24 小時內成長了近 3%。

This positive movement is largely attributed to the performance of major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, which have recorded gains of 2.7% and 1.7%, respectively, over the same period.

這一積極走勢很大程度上歸功於比特幣和以太幣等主要加密貨幣的表現，它們在同一時期分別上漲了 2.7% 和 1.7%。

Bitcoin Faces Criticism, but Transaction Fees Drop

比特幣面臨批評，但交易費用下降

Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, has recently faced criticism from prominent figures like Peter Schiff, who has highlighted its high transaction fees and longer processing times.

旗艦加密貨幣比特幣最近面臨彼得·希夫等知名人士的批評，他強調了其高昂的交易費用和較長的處理時間。

The cost to complete a #Bitcoin transaction is now $128 and it takes a half hour to process. This is another reason why Bitcoin can’t function as a digital currency. The cost to actually use Bitcoin as a currency is prohibitively high for almost all transactions. It’s a failure.

現在完成#Bitcoin 交易的成本為 128 美元，處理時間為半小時。這是比特幣不能作為數位貨幣的另一個原因。對於幾乎所有交易來說，實際使用比特幣作為貨幣的成本都非常高。這是一個失敗。

— Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) April 22, 2024

— 彼得希夫 (@PeterSchiff) 2024 年 4 月 22 日

Schiff's criticism stems from the challenges associated with using Bitcoin as a practical digital currency; however, it is important to note that Bitcoin's average transaction fee has significantly decreased to $34.86 on April 21, following a record high of $128.45 the day before.

希夫的批評源自於使用比特幣作為實用數位貨幣所面臨的挑戰；然而，值得注意的是，比特幣的平均交易費用在前一天創下 128.45 美元的歷史新高後，於 4 月 21 日大幅下降至 34.86 美元。

Post-Halving Predictions: Optimism for Bitcoin

減半後的預測：對比特幣的樂觀情緒

Meanwhile, Charles Edwards, analyst and founder of the Capriole Investment fund, has shared three possible scenarios for Bitcoin in the aftermath of the halving.

同時，Capriole 投資基金分析師兼創辦人 Charles Edwards 分享了比特幣減半後的三種可能情況。

Edwards emphasizes the increase in Bitcoin's electrical cost to $77,400 per new BTC coin produced, while the overall miner price, including block rewards and fees, has surged to $244,000.

Edwards 強調，比特幣的電力成本增加至每生產一枚新 BTC 硬幣 77,400 美元，而包括區塊獎勵和費用在內的整體礦工價格已飆升至 244,000 美元。

His predictions include the possibility of a significant surge in Bitcoin's price, the shutdown of approximately 15% of miners, or the persistence of higher transaction fees. Edwards anticipates a combination of these scenarios, ultimately leading to Bitcoin's price surpassing $100,000.

他的預測包括比特幣價格可能大幅上漲、約 15% 的礦機關閉或交易費用持續上漲。 Edwards 預計這些情況的結合，最終會導致比特幣的價格超過 10 萬美元。

As the crypto market navigates the uncharted waters of the post-halving era, the optimism exuded by Glassnode's cofounders provides a beacon of hope for investors. Their analysis suggests that the market is poised for significant growth, defying the recent corrections and challenging the doubts that have been cast. With Bitcoin continuing to evolve and the overall market sentiment remaining bullish, the future of crypto appears increasingly promising.

隨著加密貨幣市場在減半後時代的未知水域中航行，Glassnode 聯合創始人所表現出的樂觀情緒為投資者提供了希望的燈塔。他們的分析表明，市場有望顯著成長，無視最近的調整並挑戰人們的疑慮。隨著比特幣的不斷發展和整體市場情緒仍然看漲，加密貨幣的未來似乎越來越有希望。