Glassnode 联合创始人预测，尽管经济低迷，加密货币市场仍将大幅飙升

Glassnode 联合创始人预测，尽管最近出现了调整，但不包括十大加密货币（“其他”），加密货币市场将出现大幅增长。他们的分析表明“其他”有强劲的上升趋势，有可能比当前水平增长 350%。这种看涨情绪与整体市场复苏相一致，比特币和以太坊等主要加密货币都出现上涨。值得注意的是，比特币因高交易费用而受到批评，但其平均费用最近有所下降，而分析师预测减半后其价格将飙升。

Crypto Market Poised for Massive Upswing, Defying Recent Downturns, According to Glassnode Cofounders

Glassnode 联合创始人表示，加密货币市场将迎来大幅上涨，克服近期的低迷

Amidst the turbulence and uncertainty that has gripped the crypto market in the wake of the recent Bitcoin halving, the cofounders of Glassnode, through their official Twitter account, Negentropic, have injected a surge of optimism, predicting a significant upswing in the market.

最近比特币减半后，加密市场陷入动荡和不确定性，Glassnode 的联合创始人通过他们的官方 Twitter 账户 Negentropic 注入了一股乐观情绪，预测市场将大幅上涨。

Market Analysis Unveils Strong Uptrend

市场分析揭示强劲的上升趋势

Negentropic's analysis reveals that the crypto market, excluding the top 10 cryptocurrencies, known as "OTHERS," is exhibiting signs of a robust uptrend, hinting at the potential for further upward momentum. This observation stands in stark contrast to the heightened volatility and uncertainty that followed the Bitcoin halving event on April 20, which reduced miners' block subsidy rewards from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC.

Negentropic 的分析显示，除排名前 10 的加密货币（称为“其他”）之外，加密货币市场正在表现出强劲的上升趋势迹象，暗示有进一步上升势头的潜力。这一观察结果与 4 月 20 日比特币减半事件后波动性和不确定性加剧形成鲜明对比，减半事件将矿工的区块补贴奖励从 6.25 BTC 减少到 3.125 BTC。

Drawing parallels to the "strong correction" witnessed in early 2021, which they identified as "wave 4" in the market cycle, the Glassnode cofounders draw attention to an intriguing pattern in the market's behavior.

Glassnode 联合创始人将 2021 年初见证的“强烈调整”视为市场周期的“第四波”，并提请人们注意市场行为中一个有趣的模式。

"OTHERS" follows Crypto excl. the largest 10 Cryptos. Observe that we in early 2021 had a strong correction. We believe that was a wave 4. We now have a similar strong decline. More upside is coming. This index and our Fibonacci levels… pic.twitter.com/qKtIOSXneP

“其他”遵循加密货币，不包括在内。最大的 10 个加密货币。观察到我们在 2021 年初经历了一次强烈的调整。我们认为这是第四波。现在我们也有类似的强劲下跌。更多的上涨空间即将到来。该指数和我们的斐波那契水平… pic.twitter.com/qKtIOSXneP

— 𝗡𝗲𝗴𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗶𝗰 (@Negentropic_) April 22, 2024

- 𝗡𝗲𝗴𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗶𝗰（@Negentropic_）2024年4月22日

Armed with their index and Fibonacci levels, they anticipate an exponential increase of approximately 350% from the current market levels, underscoring their unwavering belief in the potential for sustained market expansion despite recent downturns.

凭借指数和斐波那契水平，他们预计当前市场水平将呈指数增长约 350%，这突显了他们对尽管近期低迷但市场持续扩张潜力的坚定信念。

Overall Market Sentiment Remains Bullish

整体市场情绪依然看涨

While Glassnode's cofounders have painted a rosy picture for the crypto market, it is essential to acknowledge that the overall market sentiment remains bullish. Following last week's notable decline, the global crypto market is displaying signs of recovery, with a nearly 3% increase over the past 24 hours.

尽管 Glassnode 的联合创始人为加密货币市场描绘了一幅美好的图景，但必须承认整体市场情绪仍然看涨。继上周显着下跌之后，全球加密货币市场正在显示出复苏的迹象，过去 24 小时内增长了近 3%。

This positive movement is largely attributed to the performance of major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, which have recorded gains of 2.7% and 1.7%, respectively, over the same period.

这一积极走势很大程度上归功于比特币和以太坊等主要加密货币的表现，它们同期分别上涨了 2.7% 和 1.7%。

Bitcoin Faces Criticism, but Transaction Fees Drop

比特币面临批评，但交易费用下降

Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, has recently faced criticism from prominent figures like Peter Schiff, who has highlighted its high transaction fees and longer processing times.

旗舰加密货币比特币最近面临彼得·希夫等知名人士的批评，他强调了其高昂的交易费用和较长的处理时间。

The cost to complete a #Bitcoin transaction is now $128 and it takes a half hour to process. This is another reason why Bitcoin can’t function as a digital currency. The cost to actually use Bitcoin as a currency is prohibitively high for almost all transactions. It’s a failure.

现在完成#Bitcoin 交易的成本为 128 美元，处理时间为半小时。这是比特币不能作为数字货币的另一个原因。对于几乎所有交易来说，实际使用比特币作为货币的成本都非常高。这是一个失败。

— Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) April 22, 2024

— 彼得·希夫 (@PeterSchiff) 2024 年 4 月 22 日

Schiff's criticism stems from the challenges associated with using Bitcoin as a practical digital currency; however, it is important to note that Bitcoin's average transaction fee has significantly decreased to $34.86 on April 21, following a record high of $128.45 the day before.

希夫的批评源于使用比特币作为实用数字货币所面临的挑战；然而，值得注意的是，比特币的平均交易费用在前一天创下 128.45 美元的历史新高后，于 4 月 21 日大幅下降至 34.86 美元。

Post-Halving Predictions: Optimism for Bitcoin

减半后的预测：对比特币的乐观情绪

Meanwhile, Charles Edwards, analyst and founder of the Capriole Investment fund, has shared three possible scenarios for Bitcoin in the aftermath of the halving.

与此同时，Capriole 投资基金分析师兼创始人 Charles Edwards 分享了比特币减半后的三种可能情况。

Edwards emphasizes the increase in Bitcoin's electrical cost to $77,400 per new BTC coin produced, while the overall miner price, including block rewards and fees, has surged to $244,000.

Edwards 强调，比特币的电力成本增加至每生产一枚新 BTC 硬币 77,400 美元，而包括区块奖励和费用在内的整体矿工价格已飙升至 244,000 美元。

His predictions include the possibility of a significant surge in Bitcoin's price, the shutdown of approximately 15% of miners, or the persistence of higher transaction fees. Edwards anticipates a combination of these scenarios, ultimately leading to Bitcoin's price surpassing $100,000.

他的预测包括比特币价格可能大幅上涨、约 15% 的矿机关闭或交易费用持续上涨。 Edwards 预计这些情况的结合，最终会导致比特币的价格超过 100,000 美元。

As the crypto market navigates the uncharted waters of the post-halving era, the optimism exuded by Glassnode's cofounders provides a beacon of hope for investors. Their analysis suggests that the market is poised for significant growth, defying the recent corrections and challenging the doubts that have been cast. With Bitcoin continuing to evolve and the overall market sentiment remaining bullish, the future of crypto appears increasingly promising.

随着加密货币市场在减半后时代的未知水域中航行，Glassnode 联合创始人所表现出的乐观情绪为投资者提供了希望的灯塔。他们的分析表明，市场有望显着增长，无视最近的调整并挑战人们的疑虑。随着比特币的不断发展和整体市场情绪仍然看涨，加密货币的未来似乎越来越有希望。