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今天,2024 年 10 月 30 日星期三,1.75 億個 Celestia 的 TIA 代幣將解鎖。鑑於目前流通供應量為2.2億枚代幣,今天的解鎖將突然增加約80%。
Celestia (CELT) tokens to the tune of 175 million will be unlocked on Wednesday, increasing the circulating supply by 80%.
Celestia (CELT) 代幣將於週三解鎖,流通量將增加 80%。
What is Celestia and the native token TIA?
Celestia 和原生代幣 TIA 是什麼?
Celestia is a crypto project that was launched about a year ago. It is a level 1 blockchain with an innovative modular architecture that separates execution from consensus, allowing for better efficiency and scalability.
Celestia 是一個大約一年前推出的加密項目。它是一個具有創新模組化架構的 1 級區塊鏈,將執行與共識分開,從而實現更好的效率和可擴展性。
In this way, it acts as a data availability layer for rollup and layer 2, to improve their performance and scalability.
透過這種方式,它充當匯總和第 2 層的資料可用性層,以提高其效能和可擴展性。
The project has garnered a lot of interest thanks to its innovative technological approach, so much so that it has raised 155 million dollars in funding.
該項目因其創新的技術方法而引起了廣泛關注,以至於籌集了 1.55 億美元的資金。
Its goal is to provide a new tool for easy implementation of new blockchains, thus allowing developers to experiment and innovate without the typically high costs associated with the development of new blockchains.
其目標是提供一種新工具來輕鬆實施新的區塊鏈,從而使開發人員能夠進行實驗和創新,而無需承擔與開發新區塊鏈相關的通常較高的成本。
The native cryptocurrency of Celestia is TIA, whose total supply is about 1 billion tokens.
Celestia的原生加密貨幣是TIA,其總供應量約10億枚。
Price performance of the TIA token (Celestia)
TIA 代幣 (Celestia) 的價格表現
Up to now, of the billion TIA tokens created, only 220 million have been released, which is just over 20%.
截至目前,在創建的 10 億個 TIA 代幣中,僅釋放了 2.2 億個,僅佔 20% 多一點。
With today’s unlocking, the percentage rises to just under 40%, and this means that in the coming years, many more unlockings will occur.
隨著今天的解鎖,這一比例上升到略低於 40%,這意味著在未來幾年,將會出現更多的解鎖。
TIA debuted on the crypto markets in November 2023 at a price of about $2.3.
TIA 於 2023 年 11 月在加密貨幣市場首次亮相,售價約為 2.3 美元。
Thanks to the bull run at the end of 2023/beginning of 2024, its price in February even reached $20, almost tenfold in three months.
由於2023年底/2024年初的牛市,2月份其價格甚至達到了20美元,三個月內幾乎翻了十倍。
However, that was evidently a mini-bubble, and in fact, it already started to burst in March.
然而,這顯然是一個小泡沫,事實上,它在三月就已經開始破裂。
In July, the post-bubble decline was already over, and at that point, the price had still remained above the initial one.
7月份,泡沫後的下跌已經結束,此時價格仍保持在最初價格之上。
Then, however, from the 4.8$ in July there was a further decline, much less steep, with a minimum peak of 2024 at 3.9$ in September.
然而,隨後,價格從 7 月的 4.8 美元開始進一步下跌,但跌幅要小得多,9 月達到 2024 年的最低峰值 3.9 美元。
Since then until today, it has done nothing but move sideways between $4.5 and $6.6, so much so that it has not been able to take advantage of the Bitcoin recovery in recent days. In fact, compared to seven days ago, it is at -14%, while compared to thirty days ago, it is at -16%.
從那時起直到今天,它除了在 4.5 美元到 6.6 美元之間橫向波動之外什麼也沒做,以至於它無法利用最近幾天比特幣的複蘇。事實上,與7天前相比,該比例為-14%,而與30天前相比,該比例為-16%。
The paure
恐懼
The recent trend of the TIA price, which is now around $5, is heavily influenced by fears of today’s unlocking.
TIA 價格近期走勢目前在 5 美元左右,很大程度上受到了對今天解鎖的擔憂的影響。
A sudden 80% increase in the circulating supply could also mean a sudden increase in selling pressure, given that many of those who will receive the TIA tokens today might decide to sell them.
流通供應量突然增加 80% 也可能意味著拋售壓力突然增加,因為許多今天將收到 TIA 代幣的人可能會決定出售它們。
There are in fact two factors that lead to consider this possible.
事實上有兩個因素導致我們認為這是可能的。
The first is that the current market value is more than double the initial one. This means that those who receive the tokens today could sell them for a good profit, and therefore could easily decide to take advantage of it.
第一個是現在的市值是最初的兩倍多。這意味著今天收到代幣的人可以出售它們以獲得豐厚的利潤,因此可以輕鬆決定利用它。
The second is that the current phase of the crypto market sees capital temporarily shifting to Bitcoin.
其次,當前階段的加密貨幣市場資本暫時轉向比特幣。
Just consider that among the top 15 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, only two perform better than BTC in the last seven days: SOL of Solana, whose percentage gain is only slightly greater than that of Bitcoin, and DOGE of Dogecoin, pumped once again by Elon Musk but still very far from the highs.
想想看,在市值排名前15 的加密貨幣中,只有兩種在過去7 天內的表現優於BTC:Solana 的SOL,其百分比漲幅僅略高於比特幣;以及Dogecoin 的DOGE,再次受到Elon 的提振。
There are even five cryptos among the top 15 (one third) that are in loss compared to seven days ago, precisely because the +8% of Bitcoin is draining capital from altcoins. Just consider that the dominance of BTC is at its highest since March 2021, and it has been steadily increasing for almost ten days.
與 7 天前相比,前 15 名的加密貨幣中甚至有 5 個(三分之一)出現虧損,正是因為比特幣上漲 8% 正在耗盡山寨幣的資金。想想看,BTC 的主導地位處於 2021 年 3 月以來的最高水平,並且近十天來一直在穩步增長。
The unlocking of TIA tokens (Celestia)
TIA 代幣(Celestia)的解鎖
Approximately 175 million previously blocked TIA will be today.
先前被封鎖的 TIA 大約有 1.75 億個,今天將被封鎖。
This is the largest single unlock event since the token was launched. The total value of the tokens released will be over 900 million dollars.
這是該代幣推出以來最大規模的單次解鎖事件。發行的代幣總價值將超過9億美元。
The overall spot trading volume of TIA on exchanges in the last 24 hours was below 200 million dollars, so there is a serious risk of a true surge in selling pressure today.
過去24小時TIA在交易所的整體現貨交易量低於2億美元,因此今天存在拋售壓力真正激增的嚴重風險。
58 million tokens will be given to the main contributors of the project, while the others will be distributed to the early investors, with 65 million tokens given to the early investors of the series A and B funding rounds, and 52 million to the initial investors.
5800萬枚將分配給專案主要貢獻者,其餘分配給早期投資者,其中6500萬枚分配給A輪和B輪融資的早期投資者,5200萬枚分配給初始投資者。
The reason why these tokens were not distributed earlier, that is, a year ago, is precisely to avoid the selling pressure from being immediately high. And so there could be the mini-bubble mentioned before.
這些代幣之所以沒有事先分發,也就是一年前分發,正是為了避免拋售壓力立刻居高不下。所以可能會出現之前提到的小泡沫。
Now, however, a year later, they are being distributed, and it is very likely that a part of these will end up being sold.
然而一年後的現在,它們正在分發,很可能其中一部分最終會被出售。
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