卡爾達諾：深入探討第三代加密貨幣

Cardano 由 Charles Hoskinson 共同創立，是一個領先的區塊鏈平台，旨在解決以太坊面臨的可擴展性和互通性等挑戰。儘管最近因美國證券交易委員會將 ADA 歸類為證券而遭受挫折，但卡爾達諾仍然受到高度評價。該平台的生態系統見證了 TVL 和穩定幣的增長，其價格在 2024 年 3 月經歷了飆升。技術分析表明其可能突破 1 美元大關，而長期價格預測表明未來幾年將顯著增長。然而，值得注意的是，加密貨幣投資存在風險，建議進行盡職調查。

Cardano: A Comprehensive Analysis

卡爾達諾：綜合分析

Cardano, conceived by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson as a "third-generation" cryptocurrency, seeks to address challenges such as scalability, interoperability, and enhancing decentralization that Ethereum encounters. Despite recent setbacks following the SEC's classification of ADA, along with other major tokens, as securities, supporters of Cardano hold onto the belief that it may rival ETH in the future.

卡爾達諾由以太坊聯合創始人 Charles Hoskinson 構思為「第三代」加密貨幣，旨在解決以太坊遇到的可擴展性、互通性和增強去中心化等挑戰。儘管最近美國證券交易委員會將 ADA 與其他主要代幣一起歸類為證券，但卡爾達諾的支持者仍然相信它在未來可能會與 ETH 競爭。

Cardano's Working Module and Roadmap

卡爾達諾的工作模組和路線圖

Cardano distinguishes itself through several key features. It prioritizes a research-first approach, with developments grounded in academic scrutiny and findings shared via peer-reviewed journals. A hallmark of its innovation is the integration of smart contracts, enabling computer programs to execute transactions automatically under specific conditions, a functionality introduced in September 2021.

卡爾達諾透過幾個關鍵特徵脫穎而出。它優先考慮研究第一的方法，其發展是基於學術審查和透過同行評審期刊分享的發現。其創新的一個標誌是智慧合約的集成，使電腦程式能夠在特定條件下自動執行交易，該功能於 2021 年 9 月推出。

The platform operates on its native cryptocurrency, ADA, named in honor of Ada Lovelace, a pioneer in 19th-century computing. ADA serves multiple purposes: rewarding participants who contribute to the blockchain's maintenance, allowing holders to vote on network proposals or to delegate their voting rights in exchange for additional rewards.

該平台以其原生加密貨幣 ADA 運行，該加密貨幣以 19 世紀計算先驅艾達·洛夫萊斯 (Ada Lovelace) 的名字命名。 ADA 有多種用途：獎勵為區塊鏈維護做出貢獻的參與者，允許持有者對網路提案進行投票或委託投票權以換取額外獎勵。

Cardano's unique consensus protocol, Ouroboros, ensures network security and efficiency. This protocol is supported by a dual-layer architecture: The Cardano Settlement Layer (CSL) handles transaction recording and state transitions, while the Cardano Computation Layer (CCL) runs smart contracts. The network supports three distinct user roles: mCore nodes, which govern the blockchain; relay nodes, which facilitate data transmission between mCore nodes and the internet; and edge nodes, which are responsible for initiating cryptocurrency transactions. This structure ensures a versatile and robust ecosystem.

卡爾達諾獨特的共識協議Ouroboros確保了網路的安全性和效率。該協定由雙層架構支援：卡爾達諾結算層（CSL）處理交易記錄和狀態轉換，而卡爾達諾運算層（CCL）運行智慧合約。此網路支援三種不同的使用者角色： mCore 節點，管理區塊鏈；中繼節點，促進mCore節點與網際網路之間的資料傳輸；和邊緣節點，負責發起加密貨幣交易。這種結構確保了一個多功能且強大的生態系統。

The Vasil Hard Fork

Vasil 硬分叉

The latest update to the Cardano blockchain, known as the Vasil hard fork, was postponed from its initial date of June 29 to September 22, 2022. This upgrade honors the memory of Vasil St. Dabov, a prominent Cardano ambassador who passed away the previous year. An IOHK blog post stated, "The Vasil upgrade introduces enhanced functionality, efficiency, scalability, and interoperability to Cardano by incorporating new features and improvements. It not only augments smart contract capabilities but is also a key part of the Basho stage in Cardano's development journey. This phase emphasizes scaling, as well as network and ledger optimization, ushering in numerous advancements."

卡爾達諾區塊鏈的最新更新，即瓦西爾硬分叉，從最初的日期6 月29 日推遲到2022 年9 月22 日。此次升級是為了紀念著名的卡爾達諾大使瓦西爾·聖達博夫(Vasil St. Dabov)，他去世了前任大使。年。 IOHK 部落格文章指出：「Vasil 升級透過融入新功能和改進，為Cardano 引入了增強的功能、效率、可擴展性和互通性。它不僅增強了智能合約功能，而且也是Cardano 開發旅程中Basho 階段的關鍵部分。這個階段強調擴展以及網絡和賬本優化，帶來了眾多進步。”

Cardano Price Prediction

卡爾達諾價格預測

Price History

價格歷史

Initially hitting the market in 2017, Cardano's value was approximately $0.02. However, during the crypto boom of late 2017 to early 2018, ADA's price surged to $1.33 by January 4, before experiencing a significant downturn, stabilizing around $0.08 for a considerable period. A notable shift occurred in early 2021, sending ADA above the $1 mark in February and reaching a zenith of $2.46 by May 16. Nevertheless, the widespread cryptocurrency crash on May 19 led to a period of stagnation. Subsequent enthusiasm for Cardano's Alonzo upgrade, which introduced smart contracts, drove its price to an all-time high of $3.10. Post-Alonzo excitement, the market corrected, and ADA fell below $2, ending the year at $1.31. The year 2022 proved challenging for the cryptocurrency market, including ADA, which dipped below one dollar in April and faced several downturns despite the anticipated improvements from the Vasil hard fork aimed at enhancing system performance. The year concluded with ADA at $0.2465, marking an annual decline of over 80%.

卡爾達諾於 2017 年首次上市，當時的價值約為 0.02 美元。然而，在 2017 年底至 2018 年初的加密貨幣繁榮期間，ADA 的價格在 1 月 4 日飆升至 1.33 美元，然後經歷了大幅下滑，在相當長的時間內穩定在 0.08 美元左右。 2021 年初發生了顯著的轉變，2 月 ADA 突破 1 美元大關，並於 5 月 16 日達到 2.46 美元的頂峰。然而，5 月 19 日的大規模加密貨幣崩盤導致了一段時期的停滯。隨後，人們對卡爾達諾 Alonzo 升級（引入了智能合約）的熱情推動其價格升至 3.10 美元的歷史新高。阿朗佐興奮過後，市場進行了調整，ADA 跌破 2 美元，年底收在 1.31 美元。事實證明，2022 年對於包括ADA 在內的加密貨幣市場來說是充滿挑戰的一年，儘管Vasil 硬分叉旨在增強系統性能，但ADA 的預期改進在4 月份跌破1 美元，並面臨數次低迷。 2019 年 ADA 價格為 0.2465 美元，年跌幅超過 80%。

Technical Analysis

技術分析

Cardano price has seen a solid recovery in the last few hours as buyers have strongly defended the support line at $0.56. Though they are aiming to break through immediate Fib levels, sellers are preventing a surge. As of writing, ADA price trades at $0.66, surging over 1.2% from yesterday's rate. Should the price stay above the moving averages, this would imply that the ADA/USDT trading pair might aim for an immediate breakout soon. The leveling 20-day EMA at $0.65 and the RSI hovering around the neutral zone hint at a potential period of sideways movement shortly. A price rebound from the current level followed by a climb over $0.70 would suggest that buyers are gaining momentum. In this scenario, the pair might pursue an upward movement towards $0.81, at which point sellers could mount a significant resistance. However, a drop below the $0.56 level will strengthen bearish pressure, resulting in a decline toward $0.46.

由於買家強烈捍衛 0.56 美元的支撐線，卡爾達諾價格在過去幾個小時內穩步復甦。儘管他們的目標是突破近期斐波那契水平，但賣家正在阻止價格飆升。截至撰寫本文時，ADA 價格交易價格為 0.66 美元，較昨天上漲 1.2% 以上。如果價格保持在移動平均線之上，這將意味著 ADA/USDT 交易對可能很快就會立即突破。 20 日均線處於 0.65 美元水平，RSI 徘徊在中性區域附近，暗示短期內可能會出現橫盤整理。價格從當前水平反彈，然後攀升至 0.70 美元以上，表明買家正在獲得動力。在這種情況下，該貨幣對可能會上漲至 0.81 美元，此時賣家可能會遇到重大阻力。然而，跌破 0.56 美元水準將加劇看跌壓力，導致跌向 0.46 美元。

Price Predictions by Year

每年的價格預測

2024

2024年

• Minimum: $0.9265
• Average: $0.9536
• Maximum: $1.06

2025

最低：$0.9265平均：$0.9536最高：$1.062025

• Minimum: $1.37
• Average: $1.41
• Maximum: $1.59

2026

最低：$1.37平均：$1.41最高：$1.592026

• Minimum: $1.98
• Average: $2.05
• Maximum: $2.38

2027

最低：$1.98平均：$2.05最高：$2.382027

• Minimum: $2.97
• Average: $3.07
• Maximum: $3.41

2028

最低：$2.97平均：$3.07最高：$3.412028

• Minimum: $4.53
• Average: $4.68
• Maximum: $5.18

2029

最低：$4.53平均：$4.68最高：$5.182029

• Minimum: $6.62
• Average: $6.80
• Maximum: $7.83

2030

最低：$6.62平均：$6.80最高：$7.832030

• Minimum: $9.94
• Average: $10.28
• Maximum: $11.47

2031

最低：$9.94平均：$10.28最高：$11.472031

• Minimum: $14.09
• Average: $14.50
• Maximum: $17.27

2032

最低：$14.09平均：$14.50最高：$17.272032

• Minimum: $20.35
• Average: $21.07
• Maximum: $24.45

2033

最低：$20.35平均：$21.07最高：$24.452033

• Minimum: $27.28
• Average: $28.33
• Maximum: $35.21

Expert Price Targets

最低：$27.28平均：$28.33最高：$35.21專家價格目標

• Coincodex predicts a 4.37% increase, reaching $0.672701 by April 28, 2024.
• Digital Coin Price suggests Cardano could secure its position in the market by the end of 2025, breaking through the $1.70 barrier.
• Venture capitalist Tim Draper forecasts a price of $1.70 by the end of 2025 or early 2026.
• By 2030, Cardano's value is anticipated to rise to $4.80.

Investment Potential

Coincodex 預計上漲4.37%，到2024 年4 月28 日將達到0.672701 美元。數位貨幣價格顯示卡爾達諾可以在2025 年底前鞏固其市場地位，突破1.70 美元的障礙。創投家Tim Draper 預測到2024 年4 月28 日價格將達到1.70 美元2025年底或2026年初。到2030年，卡爾達諾的價值預計將升至4.80美元。投資潛力

Evaluating Cardano's (ADA) investment potential is challenging due to the volatile nature of cryptocurrencies. Analysts praise Cardano's foundation and growth but highlight the need for increased efforts for success. They predict ADA's price may vary between $1 and $3, with technological advancements potentially boosting its value. Investing in Cardano involves weighing its prospects against possible ecosystem, regulatory, and economic uncertainties.

由於加密貨幣的波動性，評估卡爾達諾（ADA）的投資潛力具有挑戰性。分析師讚揚卡爾達諾的基礎和發展，但強調需要加強努力才能取得成功。他們預測 ADA 的價格可能在 1 美元到 3 美元之間變化，技術進步可能會提升其價值。投資卡爾達諾需要權衡其前景與可能的生態系統、監管和經濟不確定性。

Conclusion

結論

Cardano's value, like any cryptocurrency, is influenced by various factors. Short-term fluctuations are often driven by trader sentiment and major investors (whales). Increased interest from buyers tends to raise the price, while whale actions can significantly impact its value. The Cardano blockchain, however, is actively developing with over 1,000 dApps under construction. Emurgo, a founding entity, pledged $200 million to strengthen the ecosystem in 2022. These developments position Cardano as a potential leader in the cryptocurrency market. Nevertheless, the impact of recent SEC allegations should be considered, as they could hinder Cardano's price progression. Due diligence and research are advisable before investing in this volatile market.

與任何加密貨幣一樣，卡爾達諾的價值受到多種因素的影響。短期波動通常是由交易者情緒和主要投資者（鯨魚）驅動的。買家興趣的增加往往會提高價格，而鯨魚的行為會顯著影響其價值。然而，卡爾達諾區塊鏈正在積極開發，正在建造超過 1,000 個 dApp。創始實體 Emurgo 承諾在 2022 年投入 2 億美元來加強生態系統。這些發展使卡爾達諾成為加密貨幣市場的潛在領導者。儘管如此，應考慮美國證券交易委員會最近指控的影響，因為它們可能會阻礙卡爾達諾的價格上漲。在投資這個動盪的市場之前，建議進行盡職調查和研究。