卡尔达诺：深入探讨第三代加密货币

Cardano 由 Charles Hoskinson 联合创立，是一个领先的区块链平台，旨在解决以太坊面临的可扩展性和互操作性等挑战。尽管最近因美国证券交易委员会将 ADA 归类为证券而遭受挫折，但卡尔达诺仍然受到高度评价。该平台的生态系统见证了 TVL 和稳定币的增长，其价格在 2024 年 3 月经历了飙升。技术分析表明其可能突破 1 美元大关，而长期价格预测表明未来几年将出现显着增长。然而，值得注意的是，加密货币投资存在风险，建议进行尽职调查。

Cardano: A Comprehensive Analysis

卡尔达诺：综合分析

Cardano, conceived by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson as a "third-generation" cryptocurrency, seeks to address challenges such as scalability, interoperability, and enhancing decentralization that Ethereum encounters. Despite recent setbacks following the SEC's classification of ADA, along with other major tokens, as securities, supporters of Cardano hold onto the belief that it may rival ETH in the future.

卡尔达诺由以太坊联合创始人 Charles Hoskinson 构想为“第三代”加密货币，旨在解决以太坊遇到的可扩展性、互操作性和增强去中心化等挑战。尽管最近美国证券交易委员会将 ADA 与其他主要代币一起归类为证券，但卡尔达诺的支持者仍然相信它在未来可能会与 ETH 竞争。

Cardano's Working Module and Roadmap

卡尔达诺的工作模块和路线图

Cardano distinguishes itself through several key features. It prioritizes a research-first approach, with developments grounded in academic scrutiny and findings shared via peer-reviewed journals. A hallmark of its innovation is the integration of smart contracts, enabling computer programs to execute transactions automatically under specific conditions, a functionality introduced in September 2021.

卡尔达诺通过几个关键特征脱颖而出。它优先考虑研究第一的方法，其发展基于学术审查和通过同行评审期刊分享的发现。其创新的一个标志是智能合约的集成，使计算机程序能够在特定条件下自动执行交易，该功能于 2021 年 9 月推出。

The platform operates on its native cryptocurrency, ADA, named in honor of Ada Lovelace, a pioneer in 19th-century computing. ADA serves multiple purposes: rewarding participants who contribute to the blockchain's maintenance, allowing holders to vote on network proposals or to delegate their voting rights in exchange for additional rewards.

该平台以其原生加密货币 ADA 运行，该加密货币以 19 世纪计算先驱艾达·洛夫莱斯 (Ada Lovelace) 的名字命名。 ADA 有多种用途：奖励为区块链维护做出贡献的参与者，允许持有者对网络提案进行投票或委托投票权以换取额外奖励。

Cardano's unique consensus protocol, Ouroboros, ensures network security and efficiency. This protocol is supported by a dual-layer architecture: The Cardano Settlement Layer (CSL) handles transaction recording and state transitions, while the Cardano Computation Layer (CCL) runs smart contracts. The network supports three distinct user roles: mCore nodes, which govern the blockchain; relay nodes, which facilitate data transmission between mCore nodes and the internet; and edge nodes, which are responsible for initiating cryptocurrency transactions. This structure ensures a versatile and robust ecosystem.

卡尔达诺独特的共识协议Ouroboros确保了网络的安全性和效率。该协议由双层架构支持：卡尔达诺结算层（CSL）处理交易记录和状态转换，而卡尔达诺计算层（CCL）运行智能合约。该网络支持三种不同的用户角色： mCore 节点，管理区块链；中继节点，促进mCore节点和互联网之间的数据传输；和边缘节点，负责发起加密货币交易。这种结构确保了一个多功能且强大的生态系统。

The Vasil Hard Fork

Vasil 硬分叉

The latest update to the Cardano blockchain, known as the Vasil hard fork, was postponed from its initial date of June 29 to September 22, 2022. This upgrade honors the memory of Vasil St. Dabov, a prominent Cardano ambassador who passed away the previous year. An IOHK blog post stated, "The Vasil upgrade introduces enhanced functionality, efficiency, scalability, and interoperability to Cardano by incorporating new features and improvements. It not only augments smart contract capabilities but is also a key part of the Basho stage in Cardano's development journey. This phase emphasizes scaling, as well as network and ledger optimization, ushering in numerous advancements."

卡尔达诺区块链的最新更新，即瓦西尔硬分叉，从最初的日期 6 月 29 日推迟到 2022 年 9 月 22 日。此次升级是为了纪念著名的卡尔达诺大使瓦西尔·圣达博夫 (Vasil St. Dabov)，他去世了前任大使。年。 IOHK 博客文章指出：“Vasil 升级通过融入新功能和改进，为 Cardano 引入了增强的功能、效率、可扩展性和互操作性。它不仅增强了智能合约功能，而且也是 Cardano 开发旅程中 Basho 阶段的关键部分.这个阶段强调扩展以及网络和账本优化，带来了众多进步。”

Cardano Price Prediction

卡尔达诺价格预测

Price History

价格历史

Initially hitting the market in 2017, Cardano's value was approximately $0.02. However, during the crypto boom of late 2017 to early 2018, ADA's price surged to $1.33 by January 4, before experiencing a significant downturn, stabilizing around $0.08 for a considerable period. A notable shift occurred in early 2021, sending ADA above the $1 mark in February and reaching a zenith of $2.46 by May 16. Nevertheless, the widespread cryptocurrency crash on May 19 led to a period of stagnation. Subsequent enthusiasm for Cardano's Alonzo upgrade, which introduced smart contracts, drove its price to an all-time high of $3.10. Post-Alonzo excitement, the market corrected, and ADA fell below $2, ending the year at $1.31. The year 2022 proved challenging for the cryptocurrency market, including ADA, which dipped below one dollar in April and faced several downturns despite the anticipated improvements from the Vasil hard fork aimed at enhancing system performance. The year concluded with ADA at $0.2465, marking an annual decline of over 80%.

卡尔达诺于 2017 年首次上市，当时的价值约为 0.02 美元。然而，在 2017 年底至 2018 年初的加密货币繁荣期间，ADA 的价格在 1 月 4 日飙升至 1.33 美元，然后经历了大幅下滑，在相当长的一段时间内稳定在 0.08 美元左右。 2021 年初发生了显着的转变，2 月份 ADA 突破 1 美元大关，并于 5 月 16 日达到 2.46 美元的顶峰。然而，5 月 19 日的大范围加密货币崩盘导致了一段时期的停滞。随后，人们对卡尔达诺 Alonzo 升级（引入了智能合约）的热情推动其价格升至 3.10 美元的历史新高。阿朗佐兴奋过后，市场进行了调整，ADA 跌破 2 美元，年底收于 1.31 美元。事实证明，2022 年对于包括 ADA 在内的加密货币市场来说是充满挑战的一年，尽管 Vasil 硬分叉旨在增强系统性能，但 ADA 的预期改进在 4 月份跌破 1 美元，并面临数次低迷。 2019 年 ADA 价格为 0.2465 美元，年跌幅超过 80%。

Technical Analysis

技术分析

Cardano price has seen a solid recovery in the last few hours as buyers have strongly defended the support line at $0.56. Though they are aiming to break through immediate Fib levels, sellers are preventing a surge. As of writing, ADA price trades at $0.66, surging over 1.2% from yesterday's rate. Should the price stay above the moving averages, this would imply that the ADA/USDT trading pair might aim for an immediate breakout soon. The leveling 20-day EMA at $0.65 and the RSI hovering around the neutral zone hint at a potential period of sideways movement shortly. A price rebound from the current level followed by a climb over $0.70 would suggest that buyers are gaining momentum. In this scenario, the pair might pursue an upward movement towards $0.81, at which point sellers could mount a significant resistance. However, a drop below the $0.56 level will strengthen bearish pressure, resulting in a decline toward $0.46.

由于买家强烈捍卫 0.56 美元的支撑线，卡尔达诺价格在过去几个小时内稳步复苏。尽管他们的目标是突破近期斐波那契水平，但卖家正在阻止价格飙升。截至撰写本文时，ADA 价格交易价格为 0.66 美元，较昨天上涨 1.2% 以上。如果价格保持在移动平均线之上，这将意味着 ADA/USDT 交易对可能很快就会立即突破。 20 日均线处于 0.65 美元水平，RSI 徘徊在中性区域附近，暗示短期内可能会出现横盘整理。价格从当前水平反弹，然后攀升至 0.70 美元以上，表明买家正在获得动力。在这种情况下，该货币对可能会上涨至 0.81 美元，此时卖家可能会遇到重大阻力。然而，跌破 0.56 美元水平将加剧看跌压力，导致跌向 0.46 美元。

Price Predictions by Year

每年的价格预测

2024

2024年

• Minimum: $0.9265
• Average: $0.9536
• Maximum: $1.06

2025

最低：$0.9265平均：$0.9536最高：$1.062025

• Minimum: $1.37
• Average: $1.41
• Maximum: $1.59

2026

最低：$1.37平均：$1.41最高：$1.592026

• Minimum: $1.98
• Average: $2.05
• Maximum: $2.38

2027

最低：$1.98平均：$2.05最高：$2.382027

• Minimum: $2.97
• Average: $3.07
• Maximum: $3.41

2028

最低：$2.97平均：$3.07最高：$3.412028

• Minimum: $4.53
• Average: $4.68
• Maximum: $5.18

2029

最低：$4.53平均：$4.68最高：$5.182029

• Minimum: $6.62
• Average: $6.80
• Maximum: $7.83

2030

最低：$6.62平均：$6.80最高：$7.832030

• Minimum: $9.94
• Average: $10.28
• Maximum: $11.47

2031

最低：$9.94平均：$10.28最高：$11.472031

• Minimum: $14.09
• Average: $14.50
• Maximum: $17.27

2032

最低：$14.09平均：$14.50最高：$17.272032

• Minimum: $20.35
• Average: $21.07
• Maximum: $24.45

2033

最低：$20.35平均：$21.07最高：$24.452033

• Minimum: $27.28
• Average: $28.33
• Maximum: $35.21

Expert Price Targets

最低：$27.28平均：$28.33最高：$35.21专家价格目标

• Coincodex predicts a 4.37% increase, reaching $0.672701 by April 28, 2024.
• Digital Coin Price suggests Cardano could secure its position in the market by the end of 2025, breaking through the $1.70 barrier.
• Venture capitalist Tim Draper forecasts a price of $1.70 by the end of 2025 or early 2026.
• By 2030, Cardano's value is anticipated to rise to $4.80.

Investment Potential

Coincodex 预计上涨 4.37%，到 2024 年 4 月 28 日将达到 0.672701 美元。数字货币价格表明卡尔达诺可以在 2025 年底之前巩固其市场地位，突破 1.70 美元的障碍。风险投资家 Tim Draper 预测到 2024 年 4 月 28 日价格将达到 1.70 美元2025年底或2026年初。到2030年，卡尔达诺的价值预计将升至4.80美元。投资潜力

Evaluating Cardano's (ADA) investment potential is challenging due to the volatile nature of cryptocurrencies. Analysts praise Cardano's foundation and growth but highlight the need for increased efforts for success. They predict ADA's price may vary between $1 and $3, with technological advancements potentially boosting its value. Investing in Cardano involves weighing its prospects against possible ecosystem, regulatory, and economic uncertainties.

由于加密货币的波动性，评估卡尔达诺（ADA）的投资潜力具有挑战性。分析师赞扬卡尔达诺的基础和发展，但强调需要加大努力才能取得成功。他们预测 ADA 的价格可能在 1 美元到 3 美元之间变化，技术进步可能会提升其价值。投资卡尔达诺需要权衡其前景与可能的生态系统、监管和经济不确定性。

Conclusion

结论

Cardano's value, like any cryptocurrency, is influenced by various factors. Short-term fluctuations are often driven by trader sentiment and major investors (whales). Increased interest from buyers tends to raise the price, while whale actions can significantly impact its value. The Cardano blockchain, however, is actively developing with over 1,000 dApps under construction. Emurgo, a founding entity, pledged $200 million to strengthen the ecosystem in 2022. These developments position Cardano as a potential leader in the cryptocurrency market. Nevertheless, the impact of recent SEC allegations should be considered, as they could hinder Cardano's price progression. Due diligence and research are advisable before investing in this volatile market.

与任何加密货币一样，卡尔达诺的价值受到多种因素的影响。短期波动通常是由交易者情绪和主要投资者（鲸鱼）驱动的。买家兴趣的增加往往会提高价格，而鲸鱼的行为会显着影响其价值。然而，卡尔达诺区块链正在积极开发，正在建设超过 1,000 个 dApp。创始实体 Emurgo 承诺在 2022 年投入 2 亿美元来加强生态系统。这些发展使卡尔达诺成为加密货币市场的潜在领导者。尽管如此，应考虑美国证券交易委员会最近指控的影响，因为它们可能会阻碍卡尔达诺的价格上涨。在投资这个动荡的市场之前，建议进行尽职调查和研究。