比特幣為 2024 年減半做準備，看漲情緒高漲

隨著 2024 年比特幣減半事件的結束，分析師預測 BTC 的未來看漲，並根據歷史趨勢和新的機構興趣預測前所未有的價格水平。儘管近期價格下跌且 ETF 資金流入緩慢，但樂觀情緒依然存在，幾乎所有 BTC 都已被開採，早期投資者透過 ETF 進行投資，對通膨對沖的需求不斷增加，以及效用的增加被認為是看漲因素。

Bullish Optimism Surge for Bitcoin Post-Halving 2024

2024 年減半後比特幣看漲樂觀情緒激增

As the curtains descended on the highly anticipated Bitcoin halving event of 2024, a wave of bullish predictions has swept through the analytical community. Experts foresee unprecedented price levels for the digital asset, drawing parallels to historical trends and a surge in institutional interest.

隨著備受期待的 2024 年比特幣減半事件落下帷幕，一波看漲預測席捲了分析界。專家預計數位資產的價格水平將達到前所未有的水平，這與歷史趨勢和機構興趣的激增相似。

Pre-Halving Momentum and Institutional Backing

減半前的動能與機構支持

In the lead-up to the halving on April 20th, Bitcoin's price trajectory mirrored historical patterns. Cointelegraph reported that Bitcoin had reached an all-time high of over $73,600 on March 13th, showcasing a robust upward momentum. Historically, Bitcoin prices have ascended to new peaks within a time frame of 518 to 546 days following previous halving events.

在 4 月 20 日減半之前，比特幣的價格軌跡反映了歷史模式。 Cointelegraph 報導稱，比特幣於 3 月 13 日創下超過 73,600 美元的歷史新高，顯示出強勁的上漲勢頭。從歷史上看，比特幣價格在先前減半事件發生後的 518 至 546 天內曾升至新高。

Sukhveer Sanghera, the visionary behind Earth Wallet, echoed the bullish sentiment. He emphasized that the pre-halving all-time high, coupled with the substantial inflows from established Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States, had created an unparalleled "bullish setup" for Bitcoin.

Earth Wallet 背後的遠見卓識者 Sukhveer Sanghera 也表達了這種看漲情緒。他強調，減半前的歷史新高，加上美國現有比特幣交易所交易基金（ETF）的大量資金流入，為比特幣創造了無與倫比的「看漲格局」。

"The amalgamation of Bitcoin's finite supply, substantial institutional investments facilitated by ETFs, the growing demand for inflation hedges, and its expanding utility have elevated Bitcoin's fundamental value proposition to unprecedented heights," Sanghera affirmed.

桑格拉確認說：「比特幣的有限供應、ETF促進的大量機構投資、對通膨對沖的需求不斷增長以及其不斷擴大的效用，這些因素的結合將比特幣的基本價值主張提升到了前所未有的高度。 」

Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis

市場情緒與技術分析

Despite recent setbacks and a relatively subdued inflow from ETFs, the overall market sentiment remains optimistic. On the weekly chart, Bitcoin experienced a modest decline of 5.6%, trading in the vicinity of $63,600. TradingView data indicated a modest 2.85% increase in the preceding month, although Bitcoin has registered an impressive surge of more than 50% since the commencement of 2024.

儘管近期遭遇挫折且 ETF 資金流入相對疲軟，但整體市場情緒仍樂觀。在周線圖上，比特幣小幅下跌 5.6%，交投於 63,600 美元附近。 TradingView 數據顯示，儘管比特幣自 2024 年初以來已大幅上漲 50% 以上，但上個月小幅上漲 2.85%。

While Bitcoin's long-term price action is anticipated to be bullish, halving events have historically been accompanied by short-term fluctuations. Temujin Louie, the CEO of Wanchain, suggested that the recent downturn could subside if Bitcoin surpasses the resistance level of $65,000.

雖然比特幣的長期價格走勢預計將看漲，但減半事件歷來伴隨著短期波動。 Wanchain 執行長 Temujin Louie 表示，如果比特幣突破 65,000 美元的阻力位，近期的低迷可能會消退。

"Scrutiny of Bitcoin's halving history reveals a pattern of subsequent market declines. We can anticipate ongoing consolidation as long as the support around $58,000 persists. If Bitcoin surpasses recent highs, it could potentially trigger a rapid ascent to $80,000, $90,000, or even $100,000, as investors gravitate towards round psychological figures," Louie explained.

「對比特幣減半歷史的審視揭示了隨後市場下跌的模式。只要58,000 美元左右的支撐位持續存在，我們就可以預期比特幣將持續盤整。如果比特幣突破近期高點，它可能會引發快速上漲至80,000 美元、90,000 美元甚至100,000 美元，因為投資者傾向於圓形心理數字，」路易解釋道。

ETF Inflows and Bitcoin's Evolving Role

ETF 流入和比特幣角色的演變

Over the past month, Bitcoin accumulation in the 10 U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs has slowed down, with net inflows turning negative during the halving week. Dune Analytics reported that these ETFs experienced negative net withdrawals of $398 million during that week, compared to the previous week's positive net inflows of approximately $199 million.

過去一個月，美國10隻現貨比特幣ETF的比特幣累積速度放緩，減半週期間淨流入轉為負值。 Dune Analytics 報告稱，這些 ETF 在該週經歷了 3.98 億美元的負淨撤資，而前一周的正淨流入約為 1.99 億美元。

Simas Simanavicius, the CEO of Inchain, provided insights into this fluctuation. "While prominent institutional players have entered the Bitcoin market, the next wave of institutions is taking their time to prepare their inflows. Large banks predict a potential downward movement in post-halving Bitcoin, but I anticipate strength due to an influx of new money and Bitcoin's growing recognition as a strategic inflation hedge."

Inchain 執行長 Simas Simanavicius 就這種波動提供了見解。 「雖然知名機構參與者已經進入比特幣市場，但下一波機構正在花時間準備資金流入。大型銀行預測比特幣減半後可能會出現下行趨勢，但我預計由於新資金的湧入和比特幣作為一種策略性通膨對沖手段越來越被認可。

Simanavicius further emphasized that Bitcoin is increasingly seen as a sanctuary asset amid escalating global tensions. This perception could further bolster its position as a haven in the face of geopolitical uncertainty.

西馬納維丘斯進一步強調，在全球緊張局勢不斷升級的情況下，比特幣越來越被視為一種避難資產。面對地緣政治的不確定性，這種看法可能會進一步鞏固其作為避風港的地位。

Conclusion

結論

As the dust settles following the Bitcoin halving of 2024, the prevailing sentiment remains undeniably bullish. Analysts foresee an unprecedented trajectory for Bitcoin's price, with institutional interest and a robust long-term bullish outlook providing strong foundations for the digital asset's future. While short-term fluctuations may occur, the overall optimism surrounding Bitcoin's long-term prospects is palpable.

隨著 2024 年比特幣減半塵埃落定，無可否認，普遍的情緒仍然看漲。分析師預計比特幣的價格將出現前所未有的軌跡，機構興趣和強勁的長期看漲前景為數位資產的未來奠定了堅實的基礎。儘管可能會出現短期波動，但圍繞比特幣長期前景的整體樂觀情緒是顯而易見的。