比特幣 (BTC) 奪回主導地位，但山寨幣搶盡風頭，是時候逢低買入山寨幣了嗎？

比特幣最近的回調為山寨幣的飆升打開了大門。隨著比特幣的喘息，山寨幣正在取得令人印象深刻的兩位數漲幅。

Bitcoin’s recent setback has paved the way for altcoins to soar. As BTC takes a breather, altcoins are notching up double-digit gains. This surge in altcoin demand is a clear indication that investors are seizing the opportunity to diversify their portfolios and recoup losses.

比特幣最近的下跌為山寨幣的飆升鋪平了道路。隨著比特幣的喘息，山寨幣正在取得兩位數的漲幅。山寨幣需求的激增清楚地表明，投資者正在抓住機會實現投資組合多元化並彌補損失。

Retail buyers usually strategize around Bitcoin’s peak, viewing it as the ideal time to shift capital into the altcoin market. But if the market’s current shift suggests BTC might be nearing a local top, could this be the sweet spot to scoop up altcoins on the ‘dip’?

散戶買家通常會圍繞比特幣的高峰制定策略，將其視為將資金轉移到山寨幣市場的理想時機。但如果市場當前的轉變表明 BTC 可能已接近局部頂部，那麼這可能是在「下跌」時吸收山寨幣的最佳時機嗎？

Bitcoin is reclaiming its dominance but there’s a catch

比特幣正在重新奪回其主導地位，但有一個問題

Currently, all eyes are on Bitcoin. After bouncing back from the chaos post-FOMC, BTC is inching closer to the $100K mark, trading at $97K (at the time of writing).

目前，所有人的目光都集中在比特幣上。從 FOMC 後的混亂中恢復過來後，BTC 正在慢慢接近 10 萬美元大關，交易價格為 9.7 萬美元（截至撰寫本文時）。

However, don’t expect a smooth ride – challenges still lie ahead. While Bitcoin dominance has climbed to 59%, that doesn’t guarantee a bullish run. On the psychological front, BTC still faces hurdles.

然而，不要指望一帆風順——挑戰仍然存在。儘管比特幣的主導地位已攀升至 59%，但這並不能保證看漲。在心理方面，比特幣仍然面臨障礙。

For one, the greed index has slipped back to early November levels. A small pullback could push it into the “fear” zone, signaling caution among traders – a logical move after the recent dump.

其一，貪婪指數已回落至 11 月初的水平。小幅回檔可能會將其推入「恐懼」區域，這表明交易者持謹慎態度——這是近期暴跌後的合乎邏輯的舉動。

Secondly, short-sellers are reaping rewards by betting against BTC, a strategy as rewarding as buying at the bottom and selling at the top of the cycle.

其次，賣空者透過做空 BTC 來獲得回報，這種策略與在周期底部買入並在周期頂部賣出一樣有價值。

These factors combined suggest that while BTC’s current price may look inviting, the cautious mood among investors points to a likely consolidation phase ahead.

這些因素綜合起來表明，雖然比特幣當前的價格可能看起來很誘人，但投資者的謹慎情緒表明未來可能會出現盤整階段。

Meanwhile, the altcoin market has been flourishing in Bitcoin’s recovery, leading the charge in the top gainers’ chart. If this trend continues, most altcoins could be up for a massive leg-up.

同時，隨著比特幣的復甦，山寨幣市場一直蓬勃發展，在漲幅榜上名列前茅。如果這種趨勢持續下去，大多數山寨幣可能會大幅上漲。

So, time to dig into the altcoin dip?

那麼，是時候深入研究山寨幣的下跌了嗎？

The next few days will be crucial in determining whether the altcoin market is really seeing an influx of fresh capital.

接下來的幾天對於確定山寨幣市場是否真的看到新資本湧入至關重要。

Recent activity shows big players scooping up major names – a classic indication of a bottom forming – but a strong rebound may still be premature.

最近的活動顯示，大型企業紛紛買入大牌——這是底部形成的典型跡象——但強勁反彈可能仍為時過早。

Why? For one, Bitcoin is still in the early stages of recovery. As highlighted earlier, the distinction between “consolidation” and “correction” remains razor-thin, keeping the market on edge.

為什麼？一方面，比特幣仍處於復甦的早期階段。正如前面所強調的，「盤整」和「調整」之間的差異仍然非常微小，這讓市場感到緊張。

Even more telling is the ETH/BTC correlation chart below, which hints at further downside unless the RSI reaches historical lows. This uncertainty might keep altcoin investors cautious, at least for the present.

更能說明問題的是下面的 ETH/BTC 相關圖，該圖暗示除非 RSI 達到歷史低點，否則還會進一步下跌。這種不確定性可能會讓山寨幣投資者保持謹慎，至少目前是如此。

A smarter move could be to focus on low to mid-cap altcoins for quicker returns, given the current market dynamics.

鑑於當前的市場動態，更明智的舉措可能是專注於中低市值山寨幣，以獲得更快的回報。

Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2024-25

閱讀比特幣 [BTC] 2024-25 價格預測

Top-tier altcoins, however, are still closely linked to Bitcoin’s price action and remain riskier bets – especially until Bitcoin shows clearer signs of consolidation or an overheated market.

然而，頂級山寨幣仍然與比特幣的價格走勢密切相關，並且仍然是風險較高的押注——尤其是在比特幣顯示出更明顯的整合跡像或市場過熱之前。

Moreover, with whales accumulating top altcoins, these coins could become more susceptible to manipulation. Staying agile could be key to seizing opportunities, which, for now, may lie in low-cap gems.

此外，隨著鯨魚累積頂級山寨幣，這些硬幣可能會變得更容易受到操縱。保持敏捷可能是抓住機會的關鍵，目前機會可能存在於低市值寶石中。