比特币为 2024 年减半事件做准备，看涨情绪高涨

随着 2024 年比特币减半事件的结束，分析师预测 BTC 的未来看涨，并根据历史趋势和新的机构兴趣预测前所未有的价格水平。尽管近期价格下跌且 ETF 资金流入缓慢，但乐观情绪依然存在，几乎所有 BTC 都已被开采，早期投资者通过 ETF 进行投资，对通胀对冲的需求不断增加，以及效用的增加被认为是看涨因素。

Bullish Optimism Surge for Bitcoin Post-Halving 2024

2024 年减半后比特币看涨乐观情绪激增

As the curtains descended on the highly anticipated Bitcoin halving event of 2024, a wave of bullish predictions has swept through the analytical community. Experts foresee unprecedented price levels for the digital asset, drawing parallels to historical trends and a surge in institutional interest.

随着备受期待的 2024 年比特币减半事件落下帷幕，一波看涨预测席卷了分析界。专家预计数字资产的价格水平将达到前所未有的水平，这与历史趋势和机构兴趣的激增相似。

Pre-Halving Momentum and Institutional Backing

减半前的势头和机构支持

In the lead-up to the halving on April 20th, Bitcoin's price trajectory mirrored historical patterns. Cointelegraph reported that Bitcoin had reached an all-time high of over $73,600 on March 13th, showcasing a robust upward momentum. Historically, Bitcoin prices have ascended to new peaks within a time frame of 518 to 546 days following previous halving events.

在 4 月 20 日减半之前，比特币的价格轨迹反映了历史模式。 Cointelegraph 报道称，比特币于 3 月 13 日创下超过 73,600 美元的历史新高，显示出强劲的上涨势头。从历史上看，比特币价格在之前减半事件发生后的 518 至 546 天内曾升至新高。

Sukhveer Sanghera, the visionary behind Earth Wallet, echoed the bullish sentiment. He emphasized that the pre-halving all-time high, coupled with the substantial inflows from established Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States, had created an unparalleled "bullish setup" for Bitcoin.

Earth Wallet 背后的远见卓识者 Sukhveer Sanghera 也表达了这种看涨情绪。他强调，减半前的历史新高，加上美国现有比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）的大量资金流入，为比特币创造了无与伦比的“看涨格局”。

"The amalgamation of Bitcoin's finite supply, substantial institutional investments facilitated by ETFs, the growing demand for inflation hedges, and its expanding utility have elevated Bitcoin's fundamental value proposition to unprecedented heights," Sanghera affirmed.

桑格拉确认道：“比特币的有限供应、ETF促进的大量机构投资、对通胀对冲的需求不断增长以及其不断扩大的效用，这些因素的结合将比特币的基本价值主张提升到了前所未有的高度。”

Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis

市场情绪和技术分析

Despite recent setbacks and a relatively subdued inflow from ETFs, the overall market sentiment remains optimistic. On the weekly chart, Bitcoin experienced a modest decline of 5.6%, trading in the vicinity of $63,600. TradingView data indicated a modest 2.85% increase in the preceding month, although Bitcoin has registered an impressive surge of more than 50% since the commencement of 2024.

尽管近期遭遇挫折且 ETF 资金流入相对疲软，但整体市场情绪仍然乐观。周线图上，比特币小幅下跌 5.6%，交投于 63,600 美元附近。 TradingView 数据显示，尽管比特币自 2024 年初以来已大幅上涨 50% 以上，但上个月小幅上涨 2.85%。

While Bitcoin's long-term price action is anticipated to be bullish, halving events have historically been accompanied by short-term fluctuations. Temujin Louie, the CEO of Wanchain, suggested that the recent downturn could subside if Bitcoin surpasses the resistance level of $65,000.

虽然比特币的长期价格走势预计将看涨，但减半事件历来伴随着短期波动。 Wanchain 首席执行官 Temujin Louie 表示，如果比特币突破 65,000 美元的阻力位，近期的低迷可能会消退。

"Scrutiny of Bitcoin's halving history reveals a pattern of subsequent market declines. We can anticipate ongoing consolidation as long as the support around $58,000 persists. If Bitcoin surpasses recent highs, it could potentially trigger a rapid ascent to $80,000, $90,000, or even $100,000, as investors gravitate towards round psychological figures," Louie explained.

“对比特币减半历史的审视揭示了随后市场下跌的模式。只要 58,000 美元左右的支撑位持续存在，我们就可以预期比特币将持续盘整。如果比特币突破近期高点，它可能会引发快速上涨至 80,000 美元、90,000 美元甚至 100,000 美元，因为投资者倾向于圆形心理数字，”路易解释道。

ETF Inflows and Bitcoin's Evolving Role

ETF 流入和比特币角色的演变

Over the past month, Bitcoin accumulation in the 10 U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs has slowed down, with net inflows turning negative during the halving week. Dune Analytics reported that these ETFs experienced negative net withdrawals of $398 million during that week, compared to the previous week's positive net inflows of approximately $199 million.

过去一个月，美国10只现货比特币ETF的比特币积累速度放缓，减半周期间净流入转为负值。 Dune Analytics 报告称，这些 ETF 在该周经历了 3.98 亿美元的负净撤资，而前一周的正净流入约为 1.99 亿美元。

Simas Simanavicius, the CEO of Inchain, provided insights into this fluctuation. "While prominent institutional players have entered the Bitcoin market, the next wave of institutions is taking their time to prepare their inflows. Large banks predict a potential downward movement in post-halving Bitcoin, but I anticipate strength due to an influx of new money and Bitcoin's growing recognition as a strategic inflation hedge."

Inchain 首席执行官 Simas Simanavicius 就这种波动提供了见解。 “虽然知名机构参与者已经进入比特币市场，但下一波机构正在花时间准备资金流入。大型银行预测比特币减半后可能会出现下行趋势，但我预计由于新资金的涌入和比特币作为一种战略性通胀对冲手段越来越被认可。”

Simanavicius further emphasized that Bitcoin is increasingly seen as a sanctuary asset amid escalating global tensions. This perception could further bolster its position as a haven in the face of geopolitical uncertainty.

西马纳维丘斯进一步强调，在全球紧张局势不断升级的情况下，比特币越来越被视为一种避难资产。面对地缘政治的不确定性，这种看法可能会进一步巩固其作为避风港的地位。

Conclusion

结论

As the dust settles following the Bitcoin halving of 2024, the prevailing sentiment remains undeniably bullish. Analysts foresee an unprecedented trajectory for Bitcoin's price, with institutional interest and a robust long-term bullish outlook providing strong foundations for the digital asset's future. While short-term fluctuations may occur, the overall optimism surrounding Bitcoin's long-term prospects is palpable.

随着 2024 年比特币减半尘埃落定，无可否认，普遍的情绪仍然看涨。分析师预计比特币的价格将出现前所未有的轨迹，机构兴趣和强劲的长期看涨前景为数字资产的未来奠定了坚实的基础。尽管可能会出现短期波动，但围绕比特币长期前景的整体乐观情绪是显而易见的。