比特幣 FUD 現在處於歷史水平，這是加密貨幣有希望的跡象嗎？

在過去 24 小時內，比特幣價格在再次接近 10 萬美元水平後暴跌至 9.5 萬美元。初步恢復

After coming close to reclaiming the $100K level once again, the price of Bitcoin plummeted to $95K in the last 24 hours. The initial recovery toward the six-figure level came after a crash to $92K last week. However, the recovery rally failed to sustain as the market is tanking again.

在再次接近 10 萬美元水平後，比特幣價格在過去 24 小時內暴跌至 9.5 萬美元。在上週暴跌至 9.2 萬美元之後，股價首次回升至六位數水準。然而，隨著市場再次下跌，復甦反彈未能持續。

Bitcoin FUD Now at Historic Levels

比特幣 FUD 現在處於歷史水平

The recent price slump has triggered a wave of fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) among traders, reaching the highest levels of negativity recorded this year.

最近的價格暴跌引發了交易者的恐懼、不確定性和懷疑（FUD）浪潮，達到了今年有史以來的最高水平。

According to a report from market intelligence platform Santiment, social media sentiment metrics now reveal a striking imbalance between negative and positive commentary, which could signal a more sustainable rebound for the cryptocurrency.

根據市場情報平台 Santiment 的一份報告，社群媒體情緒指標現在顯示負面和正面評論之間存在驚人的不平衡，這可能預示著加密貨幣將出現更可持續的反彈。

Santiments’ data shows that for every four positive comments about Bitcoin, there are five negative ones — a stark indicator of market pessimism.

Santiments 的數據顯示，每 4 則關於比特幣的正面評論，就有 5 則負面評論——這是市場悲觀情緒的鮮明指標。

Historically, such sentiment extremes have coincided with bullish turnarounds. For instance, on July 4, a similar negative sentiment preceded a 17.2% price surge within 11 days. Similarly, on August 4, a comparable wave of negativity was followed by a 14.3% rally in just four days.

從歷史上看，這種極端的情緒往往與看漲的轉變同時發生。例如，7 月 4 日，類似的負面情緒導致價格在 11 天內飆升 17.2%。同樣，8 月 4 日，一波類似的負面情緒隨後在短短四天內上漲了 14.3%。

A Promising Sign for Bitcoin?

比特幣有希望的跡象？

These patterns align with the contrarian view that markets often move in the opposite direction of retail sentiment. When traders exhibit excessive FUD, it frequently indicates overselling and a potential reversal as smart money steps in.

這些模式與逆向觀點一致，即市場往往與零售情緒的方向相反。當交易者表現出過度的 FUD 時，通常表示有超售，並且隨著聰明資金的介入，可能會出現逆轉。

Santiment emphasizes that the sharp increase in negativity could be a promising setup for a bullish recovery, potentially mirroring past scenarios where the market defied the crowd’s bearish expectations.

桑蒂門特強調，負面情緒的急劇增加可能是看漲復甦的一個有希望的基礎，可能反映了過去市場違背大眾看跌預期的情況。

For seasoned investors and contrarian traders, this could represent an opportunity to capitalize on the heightened uncertainty in the market. Whether history will repeat itself remains to be seen, but the sentiment metrics suggest that Bitcoin’s next move could catch many off guard.

對於經驗豐富的投資者和逆向交易者來說，這可能是利用市場不確定性加劇的機會。歷史是否會重演還有待觀察，但情緒指標顯示比特幣的下一步走勢可能會讓許多人措手不及。

It is important to note that the overall crypto market fear and greed index has dropped to 59, which is a neutral point. This is compared to a greed score of 77 observed last week. The market was even at extreme levels beyond 92 as of last month.

值得注意的是，整體加密市場恐懼和貪婪指數已降至 59，這是一個中性點。與上週觀察到的貪婪得分 77 相比。截至上個月，市場甚至處於超過 92 的極端水平。

At press time, Bitcoin is hovering around $96,500 with a loss of 2.5% in the last 24 hours.

截至發稿，比特幣徘徊在 96,500 美元附近，過去 24 小時下跌 2.5%。