比特币 FUD 现在处于历史水平，这是加密货币有希望的迹象吗？

在过去 24 小时内，比特币价格在再次接近 10 万美元水平后暴跌至 9.5 万美元。初步恢复情况

After coming close to reclaiming the $100K level once again, the price of Bitcoin plummeted to $95K in the last 24 hours. The initial recovery toward the six-figure level came after a crash to $92K last week. However, the recovery rally failed to sustain as the market is tanking again.

在再次接近 10 万美元水平后，比特币价格在过去 24 小时内暴跌至 9.5 万美元。在上周暴跌至 9.2 万美元之后，股价首次回升至六位数水平。然而，随着市场再次陷入低迷，复苏反弹未能持续。

Bitcoin FUD Now at Historic Levels

比特币 FUD 现在处于历史水平

The recent price slump has triggered a wave of fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) among traders, reaching the highest levels of negativity recorded this year.

最近的价格暴跌引发了交易者的恐惧、不确定性和怀疑（FUD）浪潮，达到了今年有记录以来的最高水平。

According to a report from market intelligence platform Santiment, social media sentiment metrics now reveal a striking imbalance between negative and positive commentary, which could signal a more sustainable rebound for the cryptocurrency.

根据市场情报平台 Santiment 的一份报告，社交媒体情绪指标现在显示负面和正面评论之间存在惊人的不平衡，这可能预示着加密货币将出现更可持续的反弹。

Santiments’ data shows that for every four positive comments about Bitcoin, there are five negative ones — a stark indicator of market pessimism.

Santiments 的数据显示，每有 4 条关于比特币的正面评论，就有 5 条负面评论——这是市场悲观情绪的鲜明指标。

Historically, such sentiment extremes have coincided with bullish turnarounds. For instance, on July 4, a similar negative sentiment preceded a 17.2% price surge within 11 days. Similarly, on August 4, a comparable wave of negativity was followed by a 14.3% rally in just four days.

从历史上看，这种极端情绪往往与看涨的转变同时发生。例如，7 月 4 日，类似的负面情绪导致价格在 11 天内飙升 17.2%。同样，8 月 4 日，一波类似的负面情绪随后在短短四天内上涨了 14.3%。

A Promising Sign for Bitcoin?

比特币有希望的迹象？

These patterns align with the contrarian view that markets often move in the opposite direction of retail sentiment. When traders exhibit excessive FUD, it frequently indicates overselling and a potential reversal as smart money steps in.

这些模式与逆势观点相一致，即市场往往与零售情绪的方向相反。当交易者表现出过度的 FUD 时，通常表明存在超售，并且随着聪明资金的介入，可能出现逆转。

Santiment emphasizes that the sharp increase in negativity could be a promising setup for a bullish recovery, potentially mirroring past scenarios where the market defied the crowd’s bearish expectations.

桑蒂门特强调，负面情绪的急剧增加可能是看涨复苏的一个有希望的基础，可能反映了过去市场违背大众看跌预期的情况。

For seasoned investors and contrarian traders, this could represent an opportunity to capitalize on the heightened uncertainty in the market. Whether history will repeat itself remains to be seen, but the sentiment metrics suggest that Bitcoin’s next move could catch many off guard.

对于经验丰富的投资者和逆向交易者来说，这可能是利用市场不确定性加剧的机会。历史是否会重演还有待观察，但情绪指标表明比特币的下一步走势可能会让许多人措手不及。

It is important to note that the overall crypto market fear and greed index has dropped to 59, which is a neutral point. This is compared to a greed score of 77 observed last week. The market was even at extreme levels beyond 92 as of last month.

值得注意的是，整体加密市场恐惧和贪婪指数已降至 59，这是一个中性点。与上周观察到的贪婪得分 77 相比。截至上个月，市场甚至处于超过 92 的极端水平。

At press time, Bitcoin is hovering around $96,500 with a loss of 2.5% in the last 24 hours.

截至发稿，比特币徘徊在 96,500 美元附近，过去 24 小时内下跌 2.5%。