到 2037 年，0.001 BTC 能讓你成為百萬富翁嗎？

著名加密貨幣評論員、《山寨幣日報》主持人亞倫·阿諾德最近引發了一場關於一小部分比特幣變革潛力的討論

Crypto commentator Aaron Arnold, host of Altcoin Daily, recently took to Twitter to share his thoughts on the potential for a fraction of Bitcoin to transform an individual into a multi-millionaire.

加密貨幣評論員、《山寨幣日報》主持人亞倫·阿諾德 (Aaron Arnold) 最近在 Twitter 上分享了他對比特幣的一小部分就可以將個人轉變為千萬富翁的潛力的看法。

According to Arnold, holding 0.001 BTC could be enough to make an investor a multi-millionaire in the years to come. He shared a chart from trillion-dollar asset manager Fidelity, which showcased Bitcoin’s price journey over two decades.

Arnold 表示，持有 0.001 BTC 就足以讓投資者在未來幾年成為千萬富翁。他分享了價值數兆美元的資產管理公司富達的圖表，該圖表展示了比特幣二十年來的價格走勢。

The chart highlighted a future where Bitcoin’s floor price could gradually rise to around the billion-dollar mark by 2037.

這張圖表強調了未來，到 2037 年，比特幣的底價可能會逐漸升至 10 億美元大關左右。

Bitcoin’s price journey has been marked by exponential growth, fueled by its scarcity and increasing adoption. The graph visualizes this evolution, aligning historical price trends with two predictive models: the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model and an S-curve demand model inspired by the adoption of mobile technology.

在其稀缺性和日益普及的推動下，比特幣的價格走勢呈現指數級成長。該圖直觀地展示了這一演變，將歷史價格趨勢與兩個預測模型保持一致：庫存到流量 (S2F) 模型和受行動技術採用啟發的 S 曲線需求模型。

In its early days, Bitcoin’s price surged from mere cents to thousands of dollars, closely following the projections of the S2F model. This model takes into account Bitcoin’s fixed supply and the diminishing flow of new coins into circulation due to halving events.

在早期，比特幣的價格從幾美分飆升至數千美元，與 S2F 模型的預測密切相關。該模型考慮了比特幣的固定供應量以及由於減半事件而導致的新硬幣流入流通量的減少。

The S-curve demand model, on the other hand, draws parallels between Bitcoin’s adoption and the widespread uptake of technologies like mobile phones.

另一方面，S 曲線需求模型將比特幣的採用與行動電話等技術的廣泛採用進行了比較。

In particular, the model cites Metcalfe’s Law, which posits that the value of a network expands exponentially as additional users join.

該模型特別引用了梅特卡夫定律，該定律認為，隨著更多用戶的加入，網路的價值呈指數級增長。

It is worth noting that the Bitcoin forecast presented by the chart was made several years ago. Interestingly, both models cited in the chart accurately predicted Bitcoin’s current 2025 price, which is hovering around the $100,000 level.

值得注意的是，該圖表所呈現的比特幣預測是幾年前做出的。有趣的是，圖表中引用的兩個模型都準確預測了比特幣目前的 2025 年價格，該價格徘徊在 10 萬美元左右。

Bitcoin Price by 2037 and Becoming a “Multi-Millionaire”

2037 年比特幣價格及成為“百萬富翁”

Looking ahead, the models suggest even more optimistic futures for Bitcoin. The S2F model anticipates sharp price increases, with projections reaching astronomical levels as high as $1 billion in the 2030s.

展望未來，這些模型顯示比特幣的未來更加樂觀。 S2F 模型預計價格將大幅上漲，預計到 2030 年代將達到高達 10 億美元的天文數字。

Meanwhile, the S-curve model suggests a more conservative trajectory. Yet, it indicates that Bitcoin could be worth over $1 million by the same time. For context, Bitcoin is currently worth $96,000 per coin.

同時，S 曲線模型提出了更保守的軌跡。然而，這表明比特幣的價值屆時可能會超過 100 萬美元。就背景而言，比特幣目前每枚價值 96,000 美元。

Based on these promising projections, Arnold confidently stated that even 0.001 BTC, currently valued at $96, could translate into a significant fortune by 2037.

基於這些充滿希望的預測，阿諾德自信地表示，即使是目前價值 96 美元的 0.001 BTC，到 2037 年也可能轉化為一筆巨大的財富。

In the scenario where the $1 billion market price materializes, 0.001 BTC would indeed be worth $1 million. However, it would still be worth $1,000 under the more conservative forecast.

如果市場價格達到 10 億美元，那麼 0.001 BTC 確實價值 100 萬美元。然而，根據更保守的預測，它的價值仍為 1,000 美元。

While past performance has shown strong alignment with the models, the authors of the projections stress that past performance does not guarantee future outcomes.

雖然過去的表現與模型顯示出強烈的一致性，但預測的作者強調，過去的表現並不能保證未來的結果。